The outlook for the 1999 winter wheat and coarse grain crops is satisfactory so far and current indications point to an aggregate harvest of some 31 million tonnes, about 1 million tonnes more than last year. The area sown to wheat increased marginally this year to nearly 12 million hectares. Although dry conditions initially delayed plantings, growing conditions improved subsequently and another good harvest, of 22 million tonnes, 4 percent more than last year's, is expected provided the weather remains favourable until the harvest as of October. By contrast, the area sown to barley and oats declined by about 10 and 6 percent respectively, pointing to somewhat lower harvests. The 1999 paddy harvest is almost complete and reflecting favourable growing conditions throughout the season, output is forecast to reach 1.35 million tonnes, up slightly from the previous season and close to the record established in 1997.
PAPUA NEW GUINEA (9 September)
Heavy rains in late August and high seas caused flooding in coastal areas of the Central Province and some southern areas, affecting an estimated 30,000 people. Food gardens, water supplies and housing were damaged but a precise assessment of the situation have been difficult because of the poor condition of roads in the affected areas which has restricted movement of damage and relief evaluation teams.
The country has received normal to above-normal rains during the growing season. This benefited crops, mainly roots and tubers, and harvest prospects are favourable so far. However, the food supply situation is expected to be tight for vulnerable population groups and those who will loose their crops as a result of the drought.
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