|
1992/93
|
1993/94
|
1994/95
|
1995/96
|
1996/97 forecast
|
Change 1996/97 over 1995/96 |
WORLD PRODUCTION 1/
|
(. . . . . . . . million ton . . . . . . . .)
|
(percentage) |
Wheat
|
565
|
564
|
528
|
547
|
589
|
+ 7.9 |
Coarse grains
|
878
|
809
|
893
|
810
|
906
|
+ 11.8 |
Rice, milled
|
355
|
355
|
362
|
369
|
378
|
+ 2.3 |
(paddy)
|
(530)
|
(529)
|
(539)
|
(550)
|
(563)
|
(+ 2.4) |
All cereals (including milled rice)
|
1 799
|
1 729
|
1 783
|
1 726
|
1 873
|
+ 8.5 |
Developing countries
|
917
|
932
|
932
|
957
|
1 003
|
+ 4.8 |
Developed countries
|
882
|
797
|
851
|
769
|
870
|
+ 13.1 |
WORLD IMPORTS 2/
|
|
|
Wheat
|
103
|
95
|
92
|
95
|
87
|
- 8.1 |
Coarse grains
|
94
|
85
|
89
|
92
|
83
|
- 10.3 |
Rice (milled)
|
15
|
17
|
21
|
19
|
18
|
- 3.7 |
All cereals
|
212
|
196
|
201
|
207
|
189
|
- 8.7 |
Developing countries
|
129
|
130
|
145
|
152
|
136
|
- 10.7 |
Developed countries
|
82
|
66
|
56
|
55
|
53
|
- 3.3 |
FOOD AID IN CEREALS 3/
|
15.1
|
13.0
|
9.4
|
7.5
|
7.5 4/
|
+ 0.6 |
WORLD UTILIZATION
|
|
|
Wheat
|
556
|
564
|
553
|
564
|
576
|
+ 2.0 |
Coarse grains
|
850
|
840
|
881
|
855
|
876
|
+ 2.5 |
Rice (milled)
|
355
|
358
|
367
|
373
|
381
|
+ 2.0 |
All cereals
|
1 760
|
1 763
|
1 801
|
1 792
|
1 833
|
+ 2.3 |
Developing countries
|
998
|
1 017
|
1 049
|
1 080
|
1 100
|
+ 1.9 |
Developed countries
|
762
|
746
|
752
|
712
|
732
|
+ 2.9 |
Per Caput Food Use
|
( . . . . . . . kg/year . . . . . . . .
|
|
Developing countries
|
171
|
171
|
171
|
171
|
172
|
+ 0.6 |
Developed countries
|
130
|
130
|
129
|
128
|
129
|
+ 0.5 |
WORLD STOCKS 5/
|
( . . . . . . . million tons . . . . . . . .)
|
|
Wheat
|
148
|
146
|
118
|
105
|
117
|
+ 11.3 |
Coarse grains
|
169
|
137
|
147
|
104
|
127
|
+ 22.8 |
Rice (milled)
|
67
|
63
|
55
|
53
|
50
|
- 5.1 |
All cereals
|
383
|
346
|
319
|
261
|
294
|
+ 12.6 |
Developing countries
|
167
|
169
|
159
|
154
|
154
|
- 0.1 |
Developed countries
|
216
|
176
|
161
|
107
|
141
|
+ 31.0 |
Stocks as % of world
|
( . . . . . . . percentage . . . . . . .)
|
|
cereal consumption
|
21.7
|
19.2
|
17.8
|
14.3
|
15.9
|
|
EXPORT PRICES 3/
|
( . . . . . . . . U.S.$/ton . . . . . . . .)
|
|
Rice (Thai, 100%, 2nd grade) 1/
|
278
|
250
|
289
|
336
|
352
|
+ 4.8 |
Wheat (U.S. No.2 Hard Winter)
|
143
|
143
|
157
|
216
|
184 6/
|
- 10.3 7/ |
Maize (U.S. No.2 Yellow)
|
97
|
113
|
104
|
159
|
140 6/
|
- 4.1 7/ |
OCEAN FREIGHT RATES 3/
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
From U.S. Gulf to Egypt
|
12.1
|
15.1
|
19.0
|
16.8
|
13.3 6/
|
- 25.7 7/ |
LOW-INCOME FOOD-DEFICIT COUNTRIES 8/
|
( . . . . . . . . . million tons . . . . . . . . .)
|
|
Roots & tubers production 1/
|
323
|
347
|
338
|
352
|
350
|
- 0.7 |
Cereal production 1/
|
863
|
884
|
884
|
914
|
952
|
+ 4.1 |
Per caput production (kg.)
|
252
|
253
|
249
|
253
|
259
|
+ 2.5 |
Cereal imports 2/
|
66
|
62
|
71
|
77
|
62
|
- 19.8 |
of which: Food aid 3/
|
10.3
|
8.1
|
7.9
|
5.9
|
5.9
|
+ 0.7 |
Proportion of cereal import
|
( . . . . . . . . . percentage . . . . . . . . .)
|
|
covered by food aid
|
15
|
13
|
11
|
8
|
10
|
|