1993/94 | 1994/95 | 1995/96 | 1996/97 |
1997/98
forecast |
Change 1997/98
over 1996/97 |
|
WORLD PRODUCTION 1/ | (. . . . . . . . . . million ton . . . . . . . . . ) | (.percentage ) | ||||
Wheat | 564 | 528 | 548 | 590 | 613 | 3.8 |
Coarse grains | 809 | 892 | 810 | 919 | 911 | -0.9 |
Rice, milled | 355 | 362 | 372 | 382 | 384 | 0.3 |
(paddy) | (529) | (539) | (554) | (570) | (572) | 0.3 |
All cereals (including milled rice) | 1 729 | 1 782 | 1 730 | 1 892 | 1 908 | 0.8 |
Developing countries | 932 | 931 | 960 | 1 022 | 1 005 | -1.7 |
Developed countries | 797 | 851 | 770 | 870 | 903 | 3.8 |
WORLD IMPORTS 2/ | ||||||
Wheat | 95 | 93 | 93 | 94 | 92 | -1.2 |
Coarse grains | 85 | 88 | 94 | 88 | 88 | -0.8 |
Rice (milled) | 16 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 22 | 17.7 |
All cereals | 196 | 202 | 206 | 200 | 202 | 0.7 |
Developing countries | 130 | 146 | 151 | 145 | 151 | 4.4 |
Developed countries | 66 | 56 | 55 | 55 | 51 | -8.9 |
FOOD AID IN CEREALS 3/ | 13.0 | 9.4 | 7.7 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 12.9 |
WORLD UTILIZATION | ||||||
Wheat | 564 | 556 | 563 | 578 | 599 | 3.6 |
Coarse grains | 840 | 880 | 859 | 898 | 906 | 1.0 |
Rice (milled) | 359 | 368 | 373 | 381 | 384 | 0.8 |
All cereals | 1 763 | 1 804 | 1 795 | 1 857 | 1 889 | 1.7 |
Developing countries | 1 015 | 1 052 | 1 081 | 1 113 | 1 122 | 0.7 |
Developed countries | 748 | 752 | 714 | 743 | 768 | 3.3 |
Per Caput Food Use | ( . . . . . . . . . . . . kg/year . . . . . . . . .) | |||||
Developing countries | 170 | 170 | 171 | 172 | 172 | -0.1 |
Developed countries | 131 | 129 | 130 | 130 | 131 | 0.6 |
WORLD STOCKS 5/ | ( . . . . . .. . . . million tons . . . . . . . ) | |||||
Wheat | 147 | 118 | 104 | 113 | 126 | 11.7 |
Coarse grains | 138 | 148 | 103 | 123 | 122 | -0.4 |
Rice (milled) | 62 | 54 | 54 | 56 | 54 | -5.1 |
All cereals | 347 | 320 | 261 | 292 | 302 | 3.4 |
Developing countries | 172 | 160 | 156 | 167 | 152 | -9.5 |
Developed countries | 175 | 159 | 105 | 124 | 150 | 20.6 |
Stocks as % of world | ( . . . . . . . .. percentage . . . . . . . . . .) | |||||
cereal consumption | 19.2 | 17.8 | 14.1 | 15.4 | 15.9 | |
EXPORT PRICES 3/ | ( . . . . . . . . . . U.S.$/ton . . . . . . . .) | |||||
Rice (Thai, 100%, 2nd grade) 1/ | 250 | 289 | 336 | 352 | 316 | -10.2 |
Wheat (U.S. No.2 Hard Winter) | 143 | 157 | 216 | 183 | 147 6/ | -20.1 7/ |
Maize (U.S. No.2 Yellow) | 113 | 104 | 159 | 137 | 114 6/ | -18.6 7/ |
OCEAN FREIGHT RATES 3/ | ||||||
From U.S. Gulf to Egypt | 15.1 | 19.0 | 16.8 | 12.8 | 12.7 6/ | -4.5 7/ |
LOW-INCOME FOOD-DEFICIT COUNTRIES 8/ | ( . . . . . . . . . . million tons . . . . . . . . . .) | |||||
Roots & tubers production 1/ | 349 | 340 | 358 | 349 | 350 | 0.3 |
Cereal production 1/ | 863 | 861 | 891 | 951 | 932 | -2.0 |
Per caput production (kg.) | 253 | 248 | 252 | 265 | 255 | -3.5 |
Cereal imports 2/ | 62.8 | 73.0 | 78.2 | 64.4 | 70.5 | 9.5 |
of which: Food aid 3/ | 7.9 | 7.9 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 4.6 | 11.7 |
Proportion of cereal import | ( . . . . . . . . percentage . . . . . . . . .) | |||||
covered by food aid | 12.5 | 10.9 | 8.6 | 6.4 | 6.5 |