1995/96 | 1996/97 | 1997/98 | 1998/99 | 1999/2000 forecast |
Change 1999/2000 over 1998/99 |
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WORLD PRODUCTION 1/ | (. . . . . . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . . . . . ) | (percentage) | ||||||||
Wheat | 548 | 589 | 613 | 595 | 589 | -1.0 | ||||
Coarse grains | 810 | 920 | 905 | 911 | 886 | -2.7 | ||||
Rice, milled | 370 | 383 | 386 | 389 | 396 | 1.9 | ||||
(paddy) | (551) | (571) | (577) | (582) | (593) | 1.9 | ||||
All cereals (incl. milled rice) | 1 728 | 1 892 | 1 904 | 1 895 | 1 872 | -1.2 | ||||
Developing countries | 958 | 1 025 | 1 005 | 1 038 | 1 028 | -1.0 | ||||
Developed countries | 771 | 867 | 900 | 857 | 844 | -1.6 | ||||
WORLD IMPORTS 2/ | ||||||||||
Wheat | 100 | 102 | 100 | 97 | 103 | 5.6 | ||||
Coarse grains | 95 | 91 | 90 | 93 | 96 | 3.3 | ||||
Rice (milled) | 20 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 24 | -4.4 | ||||
All cereals | 214 | 211 | 218 | 215 | 222 | 3.5 | ||||
Developing countries | 151 | 150 | 159 | 157 | 161 | 2.2 | ||||
Developed countries | 63 | 62 | 59 | 57 | 62 | 7.0 | ||||
FOOD AID IN CEREALS 3/ | 7.4 | 5.5 | 6.2 | 9.5 | ||||||
WORLD UTILIZATION | ||||||||||
Wheat | 563 | 576 | 592 | 588 | 595 | 1.1 | ||||
Coarse grains | 856 | 894 | 896 | 898 | 893 | -0.6 | ||||
Rice (milled) | 373 | 380 | 382 | 391 | 395 | 1.1 | ||||
All cereals | 1 791 | 1 850 | 1 870 | 1 877 | 1 882 | 0.3 | ||||
Developing countries | 1 078 | 1 107 | 1 111 | 1 139 | 1 143 | 0.4 | ||||
Developed countries | 713 | 743 | 759 | 738 | 739 | 0.1 | ||||
Per Caput Food Use | (. . . . . . . . . . . . . . kg/year . . . . . . . . . . . . . ) | |||||||||
Developing countries | 171 | 173 | 172 | 173 | 173 | -0.2 | ||||
Developed countries | 128 | 129 | 130 | 130 | 130 | 0.0 | ||||
WORLD STOCKS 5/ | (. . . . . . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . . . . . ) | |||||||||
Wheat | 102 | 113 | 135 | 139 | 134 | -3.6 | ||||
Coarse grains | 100 | 125 | 140 | 146 | 142 | -3.3 | ||||
Rice (milled) | 52 | 56 | 55 | 56 | 58 | 3.3 | ||||
All cereals | 254 | 293 | 330 | 342 | 334 | -2.3 | ||||
Developing countries | 152 | 173 | 164 | 170 | 169 | -0.6 | ||||
Developed countries | 102 | 120 | 166 | 172 | 165 | -4.1 | ||||
Stocks as % of world | (. . . . . . . . . . . . . . percentage . . . . . . . . . . . . . ) | |||||||||
cereal consumption | 13.7 | 15.7 | 17.6 | 18.1 | 17.4 | |||||
EXPORT PRICES 3/ | (. . . . . . . . . . . . . . US$/tonne . . . . . . . . . . . . . ) | |||||||||
Rice (Thai, 100%, 2nd grade) 1/ | 336 | 352 | 316 | 315 | 253 | -19.7 | ||||
Wheat (U.S. No.2 Hard Winter) | 216 | 181 | 142 | 120 | 111 | -9.8 | ||||
Maize (U.S. No.2 Yellow) | 159 | 135 | 112 | 95 | 89 | -6.3 | ||||
OCEAN FREIGHT RATES 3/ | ||||||||||
From U.S. Gulf to Egypt | 16.8 | 12.8 | 11.7 | 9.3 | 13.2 | 57.1 | ||||
LOW-INCOME FOOD-DEFICIT COUNTRIES 8/ | (. . . . . . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . . . . . . ) | |||||||||
Roots & tubers production 1/ | 359 | 378 | 372 | 359 | 364 | 1.3 | ||||
Cereal production (milled rice) 1/ | 744 | 802 | 783 | 809 | 810 | 0.1 | ||||
Per caput production (kg.) 9/ | 212 | 224 | 216 | 219 | 216 | -1.5 | ||||
Cereal imports 2/ | 79.2 | 69.3 | 78.6 | 71.3 | 71.2 | -0.2 | ||||
of which: Food aid 3/ | 6.4 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 6.8 | ||||||
Proportion of cereal import | (. . . . . . . . . . . . . . percentage . . . . . . . . . . . . ) | |||||||||
covered by food aid | 8.1 | 6.6 | 7.0 | 9.5 |