| 1998/1999 | 1999/2000 | 2000/2001 | 2001/2002 | 2002/2003 forecast | Change 2002/03 over 2001/2002 |
|
| WORLD PRODUCTION 1/ | (. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ) | (percentage) | ||||
| Wheat | 598 | 592 | 586 | 582 | 563 | -3.3 |
| Coarse grains | 915 | 889 | 875 | 907 | 874 | -3.6 |
| Rice, milled | 389 | 409 | 401 | 399 | 394 | -1.4 |
| (paddy) | (581) | (611) | (599) | (597) | (589) | -1.4 |
| All cereals (incl. milled rice) | 1 903 | 1 890 | 1 861 | 1 888 | 1 830 | -3.1 |
| Developing countries | 1 043 | 1 041 | 1 007 | 1 014 | 1 012 | -0.2 |
| Developed countries | 859 | 849 | 854 | 874 | 818 | -6.4 |
| WORLD IMPORTS 2/ | ||||||
| Wheat | 100 | 110 | 103 | 106 | 101 | -4.5 |
| Coarse grains | 97 | 106 | 109 | 106 | 108 | 2.3 |
| Rice (milled) | 25 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 1.8 |
| All cereals | 221 | 239 | 236 | 238 | 236 | -0.8 |
| Developing countries | 162 | 174 | 173 | 171 | 173 | 1.3 |
| Developed countries | 59 | 65 | 62 | 66 | 62 | -6.3 |
| FOOD AID IN CEREALS 3/ | 11.3 | 11.2 | 9.4 | 10.0 | ||
| WORLD UTILIZATION | ||||||
| Wheat | 592 | 596 | 601 | 608 | 611 | 0.5 |
| Coarse grains | 900 | 900 | 913 | 919 | 917 | -0.3 |
| Rice (milled) | 388 | 401 | 405 | 411 | 413 | 0.4 |
| All cereals | 1 879 | 1 896 | 1 919 | 1 938 | 1 940 | 0.1 |
| Developing countries | 1 132 | 1 158 | 1 166 | 1 174 | 1 188 | 1.2 |
| Developed countries | 746 | 739 | 753 | 764 | 752 | -1.6 |
| Per Caput Food Use | (. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . kg/year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ) | |||||
| Developing countries | 166 | 166 | 166 | 166 | 166 | 0.1 |
| Developed countries | 133 | 133 | 134 | 133 | 134 | 0.1 |
| WORLD STOCKS 4/ | (. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ) | |||||
| Wheat | 260 | 254 | 240 | 215 | 168 | -22.0 |
| Coarse grains | 265 | 258 | 224 | 208 | 167 | -19.7 |
| Rice (milled) | 157 | 168 | 163 | 150 | 131 | -12.6 |
| All cereals | 682 | 680 | 628 | 574 | 466 | -18.7 |
| Developing countries | 511 | 515 | 468 | 412 | 345 | -16.2 |
| Developed countries | 171 | 165 | 160 | 162 | 121 | -25.1 |
| EXPORT PRICES 5/ | (. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . US$/tonne . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ) | |||||
| Rice (Thai, 100%, 2nd grade) 1/ | 315 | 253 | 207 | 178 | 1996/ | 12.47/ |
| Wheat (U.S. No.2 HRW) | 120 | 112 | 128 | 127 | 1698/ | 33.17/ |
| Maize (U.S. No.2 Yellow) | 95 | 90 | 86 | 90 | 1088/ | 18.57/ |
| OCEAN FREIGHT RATES 5/ | ||||||
| From U.S. Gulf to Egypt | 9.3 | 13.7 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.08/ | 0.07/ |
| LOW-INCOME FOOD-DEFICIT COUNTRIES 9/ | (. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ) | |||||
| Roots & tubers production 1/ | 423 | 437 | 450 | 442 | 446 | 0.9 |
| Cereal production (milled rice) 1/ | 811 | 814 | 774 | 772 | 777 | 0.7 |
| Per caput production (kg.) 10/ | 219 | 217 | 204 | 201 | 200 | -0.5 |
| Cereal imports 2/ | 74.1 | 75.3 | 73.9 | 75.6 | 76.7 | 1.4 |
| of which: Food aid | 8.5 | 7.6 | 8.3 | 8.5 | ||
| Proportion of cereal import | (. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . percentage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ) | |||||
| covered by food aid | 11.5 | 10.1 | 11.2 | 11.2 | ||
Source: FAO Note: Totals and percentages computed from unrounded data.
1/ Data refer to the calendar year of the first year shown. 2/ July/June except for rice for which the data refer to the calendar year of the second year shown. 3/ July/June shipments. 4/ Stock data are based on aggregate of national carryover levels at the end of national crop years and, therefore, do not represent world stock levels at any point in time. 5/ July/June. 6/ Average of quotations for January-September 2002. 7/ Change from corresponding period of previous year for which figures are not shown. 8/ Average of quotations for July-September 2002. 9/ Food deficit countries with per caput income below the level used by the World Bank to determine eligibility for IDA assistance (i.e. US$1 445 in 2000). 10/ Including milled rice.