| A key decision support tool
under development is EXTRAPOLATE (EX-ante
Tool for RAnking POLicy AlTErnatives). This is a participatory
tool that enables users to visualize the predicted impacts
of policy interventions on livelihood outcomes, based on numerical
analysis. EXTRAPOLATE serves as
a rapid screening device to carry out quick assessments of
likely candidate policy changes that may have particularly
beneficial impacts on the poor in particular situations, the
most promising of which can be explored in greater detail
in terms of costs and feasibility of implementation, and expected
outcomes on different groups.
In collaboration with the University of Berkeley, the project
is developing a methodology termed Integrated
Poverty Assessment for Livestock Promotion (IPALP), which
aims to support more quantitative livestock policy analysis,
with deeper insight into economic conditions, behaviour, and
market linkages. For the Pro-Poor Livestock
Policy Initiative (PPLPI), Integrated Poverty Assessments
(IPAs) of this kind can serve as an important evaluation tool
both ex-ante and ex-post. Analysis of initial
conditions can improve identification of target groups and
anticipate their needs for effective program support and market
access. Continuing and ex-post economic assessment
can strengthen ongoing program implementation and increase
effectiveness of future programs.
The Technology Impact and Policy
Impact Calculation Model (TIPI-CAL v4.0) is a tool to
analyse impacts of technology and policy changes on farm households.
The PPLPI is adapting this tool to developing country circumstances
and applying it in PPLPI focus countries. The household model
is flexible in terms of a 10 year strategy analysis with reference
to changes in both non-farm and farm activities, liability
allocation, household asset management, living expenses, capital
inflow and outflow, etc. The model is being adapted to include
non-cash aspects and risk and variability associated with
smallholder dairy farming.
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