FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1 - May 2003 p.18
Aggregate 2002 cereal production is estimated at some 1.38 million tonnes, 19 percent lower than average, reflecting mainly the impact of armed conflict that forced many farmers to leave their land and disrupted economic activities. Importation of 1.18 million tonnes of cereals will be necessary to meet the country's needs. Normally, about 1.15 million tonnes are commercially imported, but in view of the continuing conflict, commercial imports may drop this year, leading to higher needs for external food assistance.
| CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2003 MARKETING YEAR (January/December) | ||||
| Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
| [ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
| Previous year production | - | 1 055 | 730 | 1 785 |
| Previous five years average production | - | 971 | 740 | 1 711 |
| Previous year imports | 270 | 1 040 | 7 | 1 317 |
| Previous five years average imports | 287 | 798 | 10 | 1 095 |
| 2003 Domestic Availability | 5 | 541 | 612 | 1 158 |
| 2002 Production (rice in paddy terms) | - | 818 | 560 | 1 378 |
| 2002 Production (rice in milled terms) | - | 491 | 560 | 1 051 |
| Possible stock drawdown | 5 | 50 | 52 | 107 |
| 2003 Utilization | 275 | 1 441 | 619 | 2 335 |
| Food use | 270 | 1 268 | 453 | 1 991 |
| Non-food use | 5 | 123 | 161 | 288 |
| Exports or re-exports | - | 50 | 5 | 55 |
| Possible stock build up | - | - | - | - |
| 2003 Import Requirement | 270 | 900 | 7 | 1 177 |
| Anticipated commercial imports | 270 | 880 | 5 | 1 155 |
| of which: received or contracted | - | 199 | - | 199 |
| Food aid needs | - | 20 | 2 | 22 |
| Current Aid Position | ||||
| Food aid pledges | - | 1 | - | 1 |
| of which: delivered | - | 1 | - | 1 |
| Donor-financed purchases | - | - | 3 | 3 |
| of which: for local use | - | - | 3 | 3 |
| for export | - | - | - | - |
| Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 17 | 81 | 29 | 128 |
| Indexes | [ | percentage | ] | |
| 2002 Prod. compared to average (rice paddy terms): | - | 84 | 76 | 81 |
| 2003 Import requirement compared to average: | 94 | 113 | 70 | 107 |
| Cereal share of total calorie intake: | 41 | |||
| Additional Information | ||||
| Major foodcrops: | roots; tubers; fruit; rice; maize | |||
| Lean season: | April-July | |||
| Population (000s): | 15 594 | |||
| GNP per capita in 2001 (US$): | 630 | |||