FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1 - May 2003 p.34
Aggregate 2002 cereal production is estimated at about 116 000 tonnes, about 31 percent lower than the average for the previous five years and 5 percent below 2001 poor harvest. The rainfed crop, which represents more than 80 percent of planted areas or 60 percent of total cereal production in a normal year, decreased by 80 percent to only 8 000 tonnes. Cereal import requirement in marketing year 2002/03 (November/October) is estimated at 323 000 tonnes, of which wheat accounts for 74 percent. The anticipated commercial imports of 258 000 tonnes and 18 000 tonnes of pledged food assistance leave a deficit of about 41 000 tonnes to be covered by additional food assistance.
CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2002/03 MARKETING YEAR (November/October) | ||||
Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
[ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
Previous year production | 3 | 59 | 60 | 122 |
Previous five years average production | 1 | 81 | 87 | 169 |
Previous year imports | 264 | 34 | 4 | 302 1/ |
Previous five years average imports | 250 | 43 | 5 | 298 |
2002/03 Domestic Availability | 20 | 52 | 39 | 110 |
2002 Production (rice in paddy terms) | - | 77 | 39 | 116 |
2002 Production (rice in milled terms) | - | 52 | 39 | 90 |
Possible stock drawdown | 20 | - | - | 20 |
2002/03 Utilization | 259 | 99 | 75 | 433 |
Food use | 219 | 89 | 68 | 375 |
Non-food use | 25 | 9 | 7 | 41 |
Exports or re-exports | 15 | 1 | 1 | 17 |
Possible stock build up | - | - | - | - |
2002/03 Import Requirement | 239 | 48 | 37 | 323 1/ |
Anticipated commercial imports | 233 | 18 | 8 | 258 |
of which: received or contracted | 13 | - | - | 13 |
Food aid needs | 6 | 30 | 29 | 65 |
Current Aid Position | ||||
Food aid pledges | 18 | - | - | 18 |
of which: delivered | 15 | - | - | 15 |
Donor-financed purchases | - | - | - | - |
of which: for local use | - | - | - | - |
for export | - | - | - | - |
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 81 | 33 | 25 | 139 |
Indexes | [ | percentage | ] | |
2002 Prod. compared to average (rice paddy terms): | - | 96 | 45 | 69 |
2002/03 Import requirement compared to average: | 96 | 110 | 730 | 108 |
Cereal share of total calorie intake: | 54 | |||
Additional Information | ||||
Major foodcrops: | wheat; rice; millet; sorghum | |||
Lean season: | July-September | |||
Population (000s): | 2 712 | |||
GNP per capita in 2001 (US$): | 350 |