FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1 - May 2003 p.46
The third official production forecast indicates cereal output of 12.1 million tonnes, 6 percent lower than both last year and average. However, export availabilities are expected to remain around last year’s level.
| CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2003/04 MARKETING YEAR (May/April) | ||||
| Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
| [ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
| Previous year production | 2 321 | 3 | 10 451 | 12 775 |
| Previous five years average production | 2 157 | 3 | 9 208 | 11 368 |
| Previous year imports | 450 | 550 | 656 | 1 656 |
| Previous five years average imports | 567 | 530 | 583 | 1 680 |
| 2003/04 Domestic Availability | 2 450 | 2 | 9 676 | 12 128 |
| 2003 Production (rice in paddy terms) | 2 400 | 3 | 9 676 | 12 079 |
| 2003 Production (rice in milled terms) | 2 400 | 2 | 9 676 | 12 078 |
| Possible stock drawdown | 50 | - | - | 50 |
| 2003/04 Utilization | 2 970 | 552 | 10 272 | 13 794 |
| Food use | 2 560 | 512 | 4 495 | 7 567 |
| Non-food use | 190 | 40 | 4 487 | 4 717 |
| Exports or re-exports | 220 | - | 1 135 | 1 355 |
| Possible stock build up | - | - | 155 | 155 |
| 2003/04 Import Requirement | 520 | 550 | 596 | 1 666 |
| Anticipated commercial imports | 520 | 550 | 596 | 1 666 |
| of which: received or contracted | - | - | - | - |
| Food aid needs | - | - | - | - |
| Current Aid Position | ||||
| Food aid pledges | - | - | - | - |
| of which: delivered | - | - | - | - |
| Donor-financed purchases | - | - | - | - |
| of which: for local use | - | - | - | - |
| for export | - | - | - | - |
| Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 61 | 12 | 107 | 181 |
| Indexes | [ | percentage | ] | |
| 2003 Prod. compared to average (rice paddy terms): | 111 | 100 | 105 | 106 |
| 2003/04 Import requirement compared to average: | 92 | 104 | 102 | 99 |
| Cereal share of total calorie intake: | 54 | |||
| Additional Information | ||||
| Major foodcrops: | maize, wheat | |||
| Lean season: | February-April | |||
| Population (000s): | 41 844 | |||
| GNP per capita in 2001 (US$): | 2 900 | |||