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Long-term Outlook Studies and Papers

Rapid Urbanization and Food Security: Using food density maps to identify future food security hotspots
Paper by Ira Matuschke presented as contributed paper at the International Association of Agricultural Economists Conference, Beijing, China, 16-22 August 2009

Capital Requirements for Agriculture in Developing Countries to 2050
Paper by Josef Schmidhuber, Jelle Bruinsma and Gerold Boedeker presented at the Expert Meeting on "How to feed the world in 2050", FAO, 24-26 June 2009, Rome

World Food and Agriculture to 2030/50: Highlights and views from mid-2009
Paper by Nikos Alexandratos presented at the Expert Meeting on "How to feed the world in 2050", FAO, 24-26 June 2009, Rome

The resource outlook to 2050: By how much do land, water use and crop yields need to increase by 2050?
Paper by Jelle Bruinsma presented at the Expert Meeting on "How to feed the world in 2050", FAO, 24-26 June 2009, Rome

Climate Change Response Strategies for Agriculture: Challenges and Opportunities for the 21st Century
Discussion Paper by Francesco Tubiello, Josef Schmidhuber, Mark Howden, Peter G. Neofotis, Sarah Park, Erick Fernandes and Dipti Thapa, Agriculture and Rural Development Discussion Paper 42, The World Bank, Washington, DC, USA, 2008

Food price surges: Possible causes, past experiences, relevance for exploring long-term prospects
Paper by Nikos Alexandratos prepared for the Global Perspective Studies Unit and published in somewhat shortened version in Population and Development Review, 34 (4): 663ľ697, Dec. 2008 (http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/117976239/home)

Global food security under climate change
Paper by Josef Schmidhuber and Francesco N. Tubiello, published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA (PNAS), Volume 104, Number 50, December 2007

The EU Diet ľ Evolution, Evaluation and Impacts of the CAP
Paper by Josef Schmidhuber presented at the WHO Forum on "Trade and healthy food and diets", Montreal, 7-13 November, 2007

Impact of an increased biomass use on agricultural markets, prices and food security: A longer-term perspective
Paper by Josef Schmidhuber presented at the “International Symposium of Notre Europe”, Paris, 27-29 November, 2006

The changing structure of diets in the European Union in relation to healthy eating guidelines
Paper by Josef Schmidhuber and W Bruce Traill, published in Public Health Nutrition, Volume 9, Number 5, pages 584–595, 2006

The Mediterranean diet in a world context
Paper by Nikos Alexandratos published in the Mediterranean Diet Special issue of Public Health Nutrition, Volume 9, Number 1A, February 2006

The Rapid Rise of Supermarkets?
Paper by W. Bruce Traill published in Development Policy Review, 2006, 24 (2): 163-174

Introductory Lecture The Epidemiology and Determinants of Obesity in Developed and Developing Countries
Paper by Prakash Shetty and Josef Schmidhuber, published in International Journal for Vitamin and Nutrition Research, Volume 76, Number 4, pages 157-162, 2006

The growing global obesity problem: some policy options to address it
Paper by Josef Schmidhuber presented at the 97th Seminar of the European Association of Agricultural Economists, University of Reading, UK, 21st-22nd April, 2005

The nutrition transition to 2030
Why developing countries are likely to bear the major burden

Plenary Paper by Josef Schmidhuber and Prakash Shetty presented at the 97th Seminar of the European Association of Agricultural Economists, University of Reading, UK, 21st-22nd April, 2005

Countries with Rapid Population Growth and Resource Constraints: Issues of Food, Agriculture, and Development
Paper by Nikos Alexandratos published in Population and Development Review 31(2): 237-258, June 2005

World agriculture: towards 2015/2030, An FAO Perspective
FAO, Rome, and Earthscan, London, January 2003
ISBN 92-5-104835-5 (FAO paperback)
1-84407-007-7 (Earthscan paperback)
1-84407-008-5 (Earthscan hardback)
This report can be ordered at
http://www.fao.org/icatalog/inter-e.htm

World agriculture: towards 2015/2030, Summary report
FAO, Rome, August 2002
ISBN 92-5-104761-8
This report can be ordered at http://www.fao.org/icatalog/inter-e.htm

World Agriculture: Towards 2010, An FAO Study
FAO, Rome and John Wiley & Sons, Chichester, 1995.
ISBN: 92-5-103590-3
This report can be ordered at
http://www.fao.org/icatalog/inter-e.htm

European Agriculture: Policy Issues and Options to 2000, An FAO Study
FAO, Rome and Belhaven Press, London, 1990.
ISBN: 1-85293-119-1

World Agriculture: Towards 2000, An FAO Study
FAO, Rome, Belhaven Press, London and New York University Press, New York, 1988.
ISBN: 1-85293-057-8

Agriculture: Towards 2000
FAO, Rome, 1981.
ISBN: 92-5-101080-3



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