TWENTY-FOURTH FAO REGIONAL CONFERENCE FOR LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN |
WORLD FOOD SUMMIT:
|
Asunción, Paraguay, 2 to 6 July 1996 |
CONTENTS
1. The purpose of this document is to stimulate discussion, at the regional level, of policies and priority actions required to face the problems of food security in Latin America and the Caribbean. Similar documents have been prepared for other Regional Conferences to be held in 1996. The Committee on Food Security (CFS) expressed its desire to benefit from the perspective regarding region-specific main problems, policies and actions, that may be provided by the Conferences, as a contribution to the Plan of Action of the World Food Summit.
2. Over the past three decades world food production has increased at a greater rate than population. At present, per capita food production is 18% greater than 30 years ago. Food supplies for direct human consumption are equivalent to approximately 2 700 calories a day per person, as compared to 2 300 calories 30 years ago. On the one hand, per capita food supplies in Western Europe amount to 3 500 calories and in North America to about 3 600. At the other end, average per capita food supplies in Africa, amount to only 2 300 calories.
3. In spite of considerable progress made towards increasing per capita food supplies, at the beginning of the 90s there were over 800 million malnourished people in the developing countries. Additionally, another several million people suffer debilitating diseases due to lack of micronutrients and to food and water contamination. In the developing world one out of every five persons does not have enough food to meet daily requirements, while in 17 African countries two or three out of every five persons are in this situation. The Western European, North American, Near East and Latin American and Caribbean regions have the lowest percentage of malnourished people. The highest number, although decreasing, is in Asia. In Africa it has increased in absolute numbers, and in many countries as a percentage of the population.
4. In addition to chronic malnutrition, civil conflicts and wars have a negative effect on millions of people. Although food aid is provided to them to relieve their difficult situation, the per capita amount provided is often not enough to ensure good health. The acute decrease in the availability of food aid in the last three years has reduced the capacity to face situations of crisis.
5. To cover the energy requirements of every malnourished person (2 200 calories per day), an average of another 570 calories/day would be required. It is evident that these figures cannot be considered a realistic estimate to eliminate malnutrition. In 1990-92, world food consumption was approximately 3% below these requirements. In other words, considering that cereals represent nearly 60% of the calorie supply for the population of developing countries, the grain deficit increased to about 30 million tons (a volume which should be compared with the 9-12 million tons of food aid in the past few years). The food deficit varies considerably among regions, fluctuating from insignificant quantities in some western industrialized countries to 5% in low income food deficit countries (LIFDC), 10% in Africa and close to 5% in developing countries as a whole.
6. Prospects for the future according to the FAO study Agriculture: Toward the Year 2010 (AT 2010) (1995) indicate that the trend towards an increase in per capita food supplies in nearly all developing countries will continue. It is foreseen that per capita food supplies in the developing countries as a whole will reach an average of 2 730 calories by the year 2010, representing a considerable increase in comparison with the 2 520 calories in 1990-92.
7. In spite of this progress, it is still estimated that the number of malnourished people in developing countries will be between 700 and 800 million by the year 2010. It is foreseen that the two regions with the most malnourished people will continue to be southern Asia and Africa. However, while it is foreseen that this number will decrease considerably in southern Asia, bringing the proportion in relation to the total population to the 12% average of the developing countries as a whole, it is expected that in Africa, the number of malnourished people will increase by some 100 million people, to a total of 300 million people, mostly in the LIFDCs.
8. This malnutrition level would be accompanied by an increase of food imports in developing countries. Net cereal imports would increase from close to 90 million tons in 1989-91 to about 162 million in the year 2010, while the overall self-sufficiency rate for cereals would decrease from 92 to 90%. Although the largest increases are to be expected in the Near East and in North Africa (33 million tons) and in Latin America and the Caribbean (15 million tons), only a small number of countries in these regions are currently facing severe foreign exchange shortages.
9. On the other hand, the doubling of the trade deficit for grains (from 27 to 50 million tons) foreseen for Africa, is of greater concern especially when taking into account the precarious situation of the balance of payments in a number of countries of the Region and the unfavourable prospects for many of them, especially in the case of countries which must continue financing their growing need for food imports with income from agricultural exports.
10. These prospects of prolonged incidence of malnutrition affecting hundreds of millions of people would be the likely consequence of allowing the situation to remain as up to now. It is therefore necessary to mobilize every resource in order to reduce the incidence of malnutrition as quickly and broadly as possible, so that by the year 2010 better results than those foreseen in the AT 2010 Study can be achieved.
11. The supplementary amount of food that would be required to increase per capita consumption of the expected 700-800 million malnourished people, to a level covering average requirements to lead a healthy life, is small in relation to the requirements of the world population. Therefore, it is not only a matter of whether the world as a whole can produce this supplementary amount of food, but above all, a matter of ensuring that countries with a higher concentration of malnourished people may improve access of the entire population to food. This would require a considerable increase of the food import capacity, international food aid, income and food production in the countries where it is foreseen that by the year 2010, food supplies will be low and malnutrition high. In the case of developing countries included in this category, per capita food supplies of 2 360 calories are expected for that year. For none of them to have less than 2 700 calories by that date (which, with present incomes and food aid, would reduce the incidence of malnutrition in the developing countries to a more moderate figure of 6% or 330 million people), food supplies would have to increase by 3.5% a year, instead of 2.7% as foreseen. To achieve this it would be necessary for the world production to increase at a rate of 10-12%, going from the 1.8% envisaged for the year 2010 to 2% a year. However, it is more important to know where this supplementary food will be coming from. In those countries and regions with high malnutrition rates, the task would represent a great challenge for themselves and the international community. For instance, if food were to be obtained from within the region , production in Africa would have to increase by 4% a year over 20 years, in spite of the increase in commercial imports or very favourable conditions, instead of the 2% recorded in 1970-90 and the 2.9% envisaged for the year 2010. This objective may not be sustainable from de economic or environmental point of view.
12. To increase world food production, especially where natural conditions make such increase compatible with the sustainability of the natural resources base; to ensure that growing food requirements are met at a moderate cost; to increase and distribute incomes so that the greatest possible number of people may meet their food requirements; to provide food aid to vulnerable groups of the population; and ensure that stable food supplies and access to them are objectives to be steadfastedly pursued by all countries and regions, as well as by the international community to keep such somber forecasts from coming true.
13. Despite considerable progress in the overall process of regional economic growth, serious problems of poverty still persist. At the beginning of the present decade, poverty affected 34% of the region's urban population and 53% of the rural population, with indigence levels of 13% and 30% respectively. Reality is much more dramatic when the situation of countries with food deficits and low incomes is taken into account, where urban poverty affects over 50% of the population and rural poverty exceeds 60%. Added to this is a trend towards an increase in the inequality of income distribution in 70% of the countries, which does not only remain unchanged by this reactivation of economic growth but, in some cases, is even becoming more acute.
14. Undoubtedly, the worst and most degrading form of poverty is food insecurity which, in its extreme degrees, does not only imply a permanent risk to life itself, but also to the safety of a future life where human potentials will be drastically and permanently reduced. Food insecurity levels in the region are still intolerably high, with nearly 64 million people in a situation of malnutrition, representing 13% of the regional population. The situation is much more delicate in low income countries with a food deficit, where these levels range between 20% and 40% of the population.
15. The persistence of these situations does not only reveal the existence of unacceptable living conditions from an ethical point of view, but also threatens the very basis of the stability of the region's societies and, consequently, of the process of growth itself which has begun to take place in the present decade. The urban-rural migratory process, caused by unacceptable levels of rural poverty and food insecurity in those sectors, feeds the concentration of poverty in the large cities of the region, with the consequent decrease of the best farmlands, congestion, pollution, lack of safety for citizens and, general deterioration of the quality of life. The flight from poverty and food insecurity caused by the lack of opportunities to generate income in rural areas, not only affects the large cities of Latin America and the Caribbean but, as a result of growing integration of economies at the world level, it is also beginning to overflow toward developed societies, even affecting their own stability. This has been called "the globalization of poverty". Reverting of this situation is a major challenge that the region must face in the immediate future.
16. In the two decades preceding the eighties nearly all the countries of the region experienced sustained increases in food energy supply (FES); on the regional average, these increases were of a yearly accumulated percentage of 0.8 and 0.6 respectively. This situation reverted in the decade of the eighties with a drop in the order of 0.2% per year.
17. The recent evolution of FES for the region as a whole, shows that the problems of the so called "lost decade" have been solved or overcome, and it is estimated that its level will reach approximately 2 950 calories by the year 2010. However, serious shortages persist in a series of countries representing about 16% of the regional population, and problems of poverty and access to food continue in all the countries, including those with adequate aggregate availability and even those that are food exporters.
18. The evolution of regional food security must be examined from the viewpoint of aggregate availability or food energy supply (FES) and in connection with individual or family access to an adequate nutritional level From the viewpoint of supply, it is necessary to determine if it was enough to meet socially desirable levels of demand; if it is stable in the long term; if its degree of external dependency is within manageable ranges and, finally if the food system is sustainable, or rather, if it is capable of ensuring the above conditions to future generations.
a) Aggregate supplies
i) Sufficiency levels
19. Given the unequal distribution of income and food consumption, characteristic to all the countries in the region, a FES equal to the mean of basic needs is clearly inadequate to cover the requirements of the low income sectors. On this basis, that is, at the beginning of the present decade, nine countries of the region were in a critical situation, with supplies below the basic norm, 13 were in a precarious situation, with supplies less than 1.1 times the basic norm. In nine countries, at least regarding aggregate availability, domestic supply might be enough to meet effective demand and the basic food requirements of the population affected by poverty and indigence, should there be adequate policies to ensure etc..
(See Annex 1).
ii) Instability
20. Regarding instability of aggregate supply, there is a group of 12 countries which show high and very high levels of instability in the availability of basic grains, with coefficients of variance that, sometimes, by far exceed 4%. Almost all the countries of the group which will probably not be able to reach adequate supplies, even by the year 2010, are among them; some Caribbean countries must also be added to this group. By contrast, there are 7 countries in the region, almost all of them with adequate aggregate availabilities, which show high levels of stability (See Annex 2).
iii) Dependency levels
21. If dependency is measured in terms of the weight of imports over export earnings, nine countries use less than 9% of such income and another 8 countries use less than 20%. The critical situation affects the Caribbean countries in general, particularly the small islands, and 4 of the 10 countries of the group which would not achieve acceptable levels of sufficiency by 2010. (See Annex 3).
22. When examining the weight of imported calories in the FES, it is noted that the Caribbean countries are at levels of critical dependence, representing over 40% of supplies, and in some case more than 70%. A group of seven countries appeared to show higher levels of dependency (over 30% but under 40%) and among them four of the nine countries where it is estimated that adequate supplies may not be achieved by 2010 (See Annex 4).
iv) The problems of sustainability
23. Various manifestations of environmental deterioration conspire against the possibility of increasing food security and, above all, and unless certain trends are reverted, of ensuring it for future generations. Among them: desertification processes threatening 70% of the productive drylands (30% of the area) and which, in only 6 countries, cover nearly 500 million hectares; deforestation processes which have reconverted natural tropical ecosystems to livestock activities at a rate of 2.4 million hectares a year ; flood and salinization processes as well as the drop of groundwater levels, the impact of which has not been sufficiently evaluated. Erosion of slopes and highlands in dry areas, where the linkage between poverty and destruction is most eloquent, must be added to the above.
24. Mention should also be made of another type of erosion which does not receive due attention: it is the erosion of traditional knowledge of scarcely disseminated crops or plants with nutritional or medicinal value.
25. A third relevant aspect in the matter of sustainability of the food systems is their energetic efficiency, understood as the amount of commercial energy required per food calorie consumed. In this regard, suffice it to point out that the generalization of a food consumption pattern such as that exhibited by medium-high income level groups, would require the regions total present energy consumption of the region in terms of crude oil, only to meet food requirements.
b) Problems of access
26. Poverty is the main cause of hunger and malnutrition. As mentioned earlier, the level of poverty at the beginning of the present decade encompassed 34% of the region's urban population and 53% of the rural population.
27. In spite of the present trend towards a decrease in unemployment in many countries, low income groups are specially affected by this problem; thus, relative unemployment in the lower 10%, is, on the average, four times higher than in the upper 5%.
28. In addition to food access difficulties faced by the poor, shortages in matters of health, education and equipment, which contribute to reduce the biologic utilization of scarce food, aggravate malnutrition and morbidity problems attributable to food consumption.
c) Differences among countries regarding food problems
29. Given the great differences among the countries of the region regarding food security, it is advisable to distinguish at least two situations: countries simultaneously facing serious shortages in food energy supplies and problems of access to them of large sectors of the population; and those where the main problem is the persistence of population groups that do not have access to minimum nutritional requirements, in spite of food availability which, in some cases, by far exceeds the amounts required to satisfy both the demand as well as the requirements of needy sectors, if their needs could be expressed as market demand.
30. Countries in the first group, or low income food deficit countries (LIFDC), which represent 16% of the regional population, concentrate 47% of the malnourished population. Additionally, in these countries: population growth rate is almost 40% higher than the regional average; rural population exceeds, in most cases, 50% ; demographic dependency rates are significantly higher than the regional average; with few exceptions, they show a much higher growth rate of the economically active population in agriculture than that of the region as a whole and its participation in the total economically active population in agriculture ranges between 40 and 70%; and have a significantly higher participation of small producers in the total productive units and in the contribution to basic food supplies, than in Latin America and the Caribbean as a whole.
31. During the 80's, and varying in depth, all the countries of the region undertook structural adjustment programmes, which are bringing about important changes in the scenario that prevailed for over four decades. State deregulation and the opening of the economies are the most important measures in these programmes, constituting in turn, the basis for a new development strategy within which actions aimed at improving food security conditions will have to be implemented.
a) State reforms
32. Regarding the public sector, there is a trend towards reducing the role of the State as a direct producer, and to strengthen and increase its efficiency as a regulating agent. In this context, a close subordination of sectoral policies to the macroeconomic policy has become evident, together with a delegation of the determination of prices and distribution of resources to market forces.
33. Accepting the priority of macroeconomic balances and the greater capacity of the market to coordinate the complex networks of relationships among a multiplicity of heterogeneous private agents, it must be recognised that this does not ensure access to basic food to those who lack the purchasing power to translate their needs into market demand. Given the unequal income distribution, production structures that are coherent with the potential of national and regional resources are not automatically guaranteed either.
b) Opening of trade
34. Most of the countries have implemented broad reductions of import barriers, through the conversion of non-tariff to tariff measures and the simultaneous reduction of such tariffs. Added to this is adherence to the Uruguay Round of GATT agreements and the furthering of integration processes, such as MERCOSUR, NAFTA and recent trade agreements.
35. The World Food Summit constitutes a call to all parties to reaffirm their commitment to ensure universal access to the food required for a healthy and active life, through an adequate and environmentally sustainable domestic supply, stable over time, and with a reasonable degree of autonomy to avoid widespread vulnerability of food systems vis-à-vis external fluctuations.
36. As regards Latin American and Caribbean countries, FAO has estimated that at the beginning of this decade, there were approximately 64 million malnourished people in the region, with a deficit of around 580 calories per day/person.
37. Based on the AT 2010 study, trends in malnutrition levels indicate that by the year 2010, it will affect 9.2% of the regional population, but with significantly higher levels in the LIFDCs. Accounting for 16% of the regional population, they would concentrate 47% of the malnourished population. In 2010, malnutrition in these countries will fluctuate between 20% and over 40% (Haiti). This situation calls for an urgent adoption of decisive national policies and concerted efforts with the international community, undertaking the commitment of reducing malnutrition levels to an average of 16% in the LIFDC group, instead of the 25% figure that would otherwise be expected in 2010.
38. Regarding the LIFDC group, FAO has proposed and initiated the implementation of a special programme geared towards increasing domestic food supply through strengthening the productive capacity of small units, as this contributes to increase the supply of basic foods, as well as to improve income and nutrition of one of the most deprived sectors. Direct measures are proposed for the region as a whole, aimed at reducing the malnutrition levels of the most vulnerable population and ensure that policies to combat poverty, emphasize access to food and factors affecting the biologic utilization of food (drinking water, health, innocuous food). The latter would be the type of measures to be privileged by countries with food surpluses and higher average incomes than those of the previously mentioned group.
39. Availability of natural, human and technological resources indicates that the region is in the position of adopting as a goal for 2010, the simultaneous atteinmement of two complementary objectives: to reduce of malnutrition from 15% - which was the level in 1991-92 - to 6% of the population and ensure that food energy supply is not under 2 700 calories per day per person in any country.
40. Reducing malnutrition in this proportion means going from the estimated level of 55 million people in the year 2010 (9% of the population), to 22 million. Assuming this target is achieved, one fourth of the countries in the region would still have malnutrition levels affecting an average of 25% of their population (40% in Haiti).
41. The target of supplying 2 700 calories per day per inhabitant by the year 2010, would require special efforts in the nine countries which presumably would not reach this level by that year, among them all the countries with the highest malnutrition levels.
42. As most of the countries in the region would exceed the target of 2 700 calories of FES by the year 2010, and several would be close to achieving it, the average regional production increase required would be slightly above growth trends: of 2.3 to 2.4%. However, for the group of countries with deficits, this rate should reach an average yearly growth of 3.5%, and of as much as 4.5% in the case of Haiti. This indicates that food transfers, under various concepts, will continue to be necessary for a long period of time in order to achieve the required supply.
43. The yearly average investment required to reach the above targets would be in the order of 37 billion (in 1993 US dollars), equivalent to about 22% of the value of sectoral production, 20 billion of which would be assigned to primary production; 10 billion to processing agroindustries, transport and storage of basic products; and 7 billion to the construction of infrastructure directly linked to production and distribution. While for the region as a whole this represents a marginal increase in relation to the value of sectoral investment trends, countries below 2 700 calories, would have to increase the investment level to a figure around 26% of the value of the agricultural sectors gross production.
44. The areas for action and priority measures to progress in reducing malnutrition in the framework of the World Plan of Action, are the following:
a) In relation with basic food
b) Bases for action
45. The region possesses the resources and knowledge to provide a significant impetus to food production in basic grains as well as in meat, dairy products and fish. Per capita land availability is in the order of 1.8 ha/person for the region as a whole and of 1.3 hectares in the LIFDCs. Only 23% of this land is being used in the first group and only 17% in the second. On the other hand, there is an important margin for crop intensification and for the dissemination of already available modern varieties of the main food grains, provided substantial progress is made in incrementing the availability as well as, and above all, the efficiency of irrigation management.
46. Besides wheat, maize, rice, tubers and bananas, there are a number of different crops that are important at the local consumption level and which could be extended to other areas, such as cereals, legumes for human consumption, roots and tubers, as well as hundreds of wild and cultivated species used in tropical zones with high protein, calcium and iron contents, which on the average are two or three times higher than those of European crops and which, additionally, do not require the use of large amounts of fertilizers and pesticides.
47. In the area of livestock, the region has abundant grazing lands and is in a position to eradicate foot and mouth disease from the continent in the short and medium term; on the other hand, the region has shown the capacity to react quickly to the demand for poultry products. All of this, with the adequate policies, would allow satisfying the enormous future growth in the demand for meat products.
48. Coastal, lake and river resources, could allow a short term response to any increase in the demand for fish, the consumption of which, particularly in LIFDCs, is less than one kilo/inhabitant/year.
49. However, it is important to emphasize that, as the food supply of the countries of the Region has proved to be quite flexible in responding to demand stimuli, the production increase targets proposed below assume the adoption of agroeconomic policy measures -many of which transcend the rural activity- to determine that effective demand levels are the ones required for their implementation.
Objectives
50. In connection with average levels attained during 1989-91:
Actions to be undertaken
51.
b) In connection with water resources management
Bases for action
52. The following problems have been detected in connection with water management: growing competition for its use between agriculture and other activities; water contamination processes; low efficiency in the utilization of traditional gravity irrigation systems; decrease in groundwater levels and flooding and salinization processes in a context where expanded control and more efficient utilization appear to be necessary conditions for any increase in production and productivity. Recent generalization of regional initiatives to reform water usage legislation would create the conditions to improve its management and promote its development.
Objectives
53.
Actions to be undertaken
54.
2. In the area of food entitlements
Bases for action
55. As a consequence both of their magnitude and their location, problems of access to food present specific challenges to the region, particularly to LIFDCs, depending on whether they affect small producers, landless workers, or the urban poor in large or medium size cities. These groups have the common characteristic of having been or still being the more deeply affected by adjustment policies.
56. The heterogeneity of current situations, even within the small producers' sector, imposes the need to establish differentiated policies by type of unit and location.
Objectives
57.
Actions to be undertaken
58.
3. In the area of sustainability of food systems
Bases for action
59. The need to find increasingly sustainable production processes and consumption patterns is imperative, considering the magnitude and rate of deterioration suffered by agroecologic systems as a result of desertification, erosion, water pollution, salinization, loss of biologic diversity and the risk of increasing genetic crop uniformity; growing public awareness and pressure in relation to the consequences of these phenomena and the need to revert them; and the fact that environmental considerations may be construed as barriers to imports.
Objectives
60.
Actions to be undertaken
4. In the area of dissemination of technology
Bases for action
61. Changes in the functioning rules of economies have given rise to the imperative need to increase competitivity and the dissemination of technical progress. However, productive transformation and dissemination of technology in the region has been concentrated on certain areas, products and producers, overlooking small scale dry farming. On the other hand, structural adjustment measures themselves, with the reduction of public expenditure, have particularly affected agricultural research and development activities and, in many countries, transfer activities to small producers have practically been abandoned.
Objectives
62.
Action to be taken
63.
5. In the area of food trade
Bases for action
64. The context within which links between national food systems and the world market will be established is provided by the agreements signed in the Uruguay Round of GATT, the role of the World Trade Organization, regional integration agreements and bilateral agreements. In the framework of recent economic reforms, most countries of the region have reduced barriers to food imports without equivalent counterpart action from developed countries. In general, it is estimated that, while countries exporting grain, meat and dairy products will obtain the greatest advantages, importers of these products in the LIFDC group will be adversely affected; the same is true, and even more so, for the Caribbean countries that depend on products affected by the loss of preexisting preferential agreements.
Objectives
65.
Action to be taken
66.
6. In the Area of Demography and Human Resources
Bases for Action
67. The drop of the overall birth rate in the region (from about 6% in the 60's to 3% at the end of the past decade) was not uniform among countries or among the various social strata in each country. In fact, very high rates continue to be prevalent in several of them, for example, in Bolivia (4.6%), El Salvador (5.4%), Haiti (4.8%), Honduras (4.9%), Nicaragua (5%), etc.; in other words, precisely in low income food deficit countries. Therefore, it is estimated that in LIFDCs, population growth will remain at high levels (2.2 %) up to the year 2010, as compared to the remaining countries of the region (1.5%). The increase in economically active population will be even greater than population growth and it will be difficult for it to be productively absorbed in agricultural activities. This will lead to increased migratory processes, first to urban centres and/or neighbouring countries, and a considerable number of people will try to establish themselves in developed countries.
Objectives
68.
Action to be taken
69.
7. In the Institutional Area
Bases for Action
70. Resource decentralization and deconcentration processes, as well as the opening of potential space for the participation of civil society, have become part of the policies of many countries of the region. In any event, even in cases of a clear political will to develop them, these policies face obstacles because they reproduce, at the local level, the compartmentalized nature of public functions at the central level. Additionally, an aggravating factor lies in the fact that the formation of technical cadres is not always in line with the need to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of greater public resources made available to them. Both factors - compartmentalization and an inadequate technical level - constitute obstacles to the utilization of the development potential provided by strengthened links between medium size cities and their rural hinterland, in terms of stimulating mutual demand of goods and services.
Objectives
71.
Action to be taken
72.
Responsibilities for the implementation of priority actions
73. National governments have the initial responsibility for creating the conditions required to achieve food security in their respective countries, through the implementation of the priority actions outlined in the foregoing paragraphs. Additionally, they share responsibilities with other countries within and outside the region, with international and non governmental organizations and with civil society, in the pursuit of food security target.
Responsibilities at the regional and sub-regional levels
74. he governments of the region should create adequate incentives so that the behaviour of the agents involved will be coherent with food security objectives and targets.
Responsibilities at the international level
75. International agencies and the donor country community should:
76. International financing agencies should:
The expected role of civil society
77. Private enterprise non governmental organizations have an important role to play in the following areas:
78. Society must resist the various forms of discrimination affecting women, youth, indigenous groups and the poor in general.
| BASIC | MEAN | SUFFICIENCY** | |||||||
| NORM* | |||||||||
| Country | 1961-70 | 1971-80 | 1981-90 | 1961-70 | 1971-80 | 1981-90 | |||
| Argentina | 2386 | 3163.0 | 3176.3 | 3098.8 | 132.6 | 133.1 | 129.9 | ||
| Barbados | 2344 | 2608.2 | 2936.3 | 3100.7 | 111.3 | 125.3 | 132.3 | ||
| Belize | 2323 | 2211.5 | 2533.1 | 2553.2 | 95.2 | 109.0 | 109.9 | ||
| Bolivia | 2172 | 1868.6 | 2052.9 | 2056.5 | 86.0 | 94.5 | 94.7 | ||
| Brazil | 2242 | 2416.6 | 2592.4 | 2682.8 | 107.8 | 115.6 | 119.7 | ||
| Chile | 2286 | 2604.8 | 2600.4 | 2510.0 | 113.9 | 113.8 | 109.8 | ||
| Colombia | 2241 | 2091.5 | 2267.9 | 2446.3 | 93.3 | 101.2 | 109.2 | ||
| Costa Rica | 2243 | 2292.9 | 2546.9 | 2669.7 | 102.2 | 113.5 | 119.0 | ||
| Cuba | 2318 | 2451.5 | 2794.6 | 3131.4 | 105.8 | 120.6 | 135.1 | ||
| Dominican Republic | 2221 | 1914.3 | 2180.1 | 2317.8 | 86.2 | 98.2 | 104.4 | ||
| Ecuador | 2200 | 2117.1 | 2228.1 | 2363.2 | 96.2 | 101.3 | 107.4 | ||
| El Salvador | 2174 | 1818.0 | 2095.0 | 2352.9 | 83.6 | 96.4 | 108.2 | ||
| Guatemala | 2164 | 2015.8 | 2110.8 | 2227.7 | 93.2 | 97.5 | 102.9 | ||
| Guyana | 2247 | 2267.2 | 2442.9 | 2489.0 | 100.9 | 108.7 | 110.8 | ||
| Haiti | 2175 | 2005.9 | 2007.5 | 2051.8 | 92.2 | 92.3 | 94.3 | ||
| Honduras | 2242 | 2027.1 | 2138.3 | 2137.7 | 90.4 | 95.4 | 95.3 | ||
| Jamaica | 2226 | 2250.1 | 2664.7 | 2572.5 | 101.1 | 119.7 | 115.6 | ||
| Mexico | 2203 | 2572.1 | 2774.5 | 3092.9 | 116.8 | 125.9 | 140.4 | ||
| Nicaragua | 2155 | 2336.7 | 2338.0 | 2298.1 | 108.4 | 108.5 | 106.6 | ||
| Panama | 2333 | 2248.8 | 2300.1 | 2397.5 | 96.4 | 98.6 | 102.8 | ||
| Peru | 2212 | 2256.8 | 2193.2 | 2037.8 | 102.0 | 99.2 | 92.1 | ||
| Paraguay | 2286 | 2534.3 | 2633.7 | 2677.3 | 110.9 | 115.2 | 117.1 | ||
| Suriname | 2139.9 | 2293.9 | 2451.8 | ||||||
| Trinidad and Tobago | 2263 | 2448.6 | 2677.5 | 2938.9 | 108.2 | 118.3 | 129.9 | ||
| Uruguay | 2362 | 2831.0 | 2852.7 | 2695.2 | 119.9 | 120.8 | 114.1 | ||
| Venezuela | 2224 | 2291.2 | 2491.0 | 2547.0 | 103.0 | 112.0 | 114.5 |
Source: AGROSTAT (and calculations in TSP)
*/ Basic norm: Calculated on the basis of the ENERQ, FAO programme
**/ Sufficiency = Mean / Basic norm
| 1961 1970 | 1971 1980 | 1981 1990 | |||||||||
| Mean Kg/inh/day | Standard Error | Coef of Var.**/ | Mean Kg/inh/day | Standard Error | Coef of Var. | Mean Kg/inh/day | Standard Error | Coef of Var. | |||
| Argentina | 225.49 | 16.653 | 7.39 | 204.42 | 6.924 | 3.39 | 208.11 | 7.106 | 3.41 | ||
| Barbados | 222.65 | 13.164 | 5.91 | 195.94 | 20.191 | 10.3 | 180.17 | 4.995 | 2.77 | ||
| Belize | 144.89 | 3.868 | 2.67 | 145.03 | 2.146 | 1.48 | 142.19 | 3.866 | 2.72 | ||
| Bolivia | 232.55 | 6.287 | 2.7 | 239.64 | 8.985 | 3.75 | 221.69 | 25.908 | 11.69 | ||
| Brazil | 261.91 | 6.682 | 2.55 | 245.38 | 6.943 | 2.83 | 219.19 | 1.792 | 0.82 | ||
| Chile | 213.35 | 5.787 | 2.71 | 212.91 | 3.783 | 1.78 | 204.24 | 1.155 | 0.57 | ||
| Colombia | 154.12 | 5.723 | 3.71 | 178.83 | 1.595 | 0.89 | 190.53 | 5.4 | 2.83 | ||
| Costa Rica | 136.77 | 3.747 | 2.74 | 133.62 | 2.082 | 1.56 | 143.09 | 4.269 | 2.98 | ||
| Cuba | 182.11 | 8.295 | 4.55 | 205.93 | 7.099 | 3.45 | 216.98 | 5.121 | 2.36 | ||
| Dom. Republic | 137.61 | 1.612 | 1.17 | 146.4 | 8.228 | 5.62 | 130.98 | 4.922 | 3.76 | ||
| Ecuador | 170.15 | 6.59 | 3.87 | 161.41 | 7.859 | 4.87 | 140.46 | 5.426 | 3.86 | ||
| El Salvador | 126.77 | 1.831 | 1.44 | 145.89 | 3.266 | 2.24 | 163.17 | 5.296 | 3.25 | ||
| Guatemala | 151.1 | 1.286 | 0.85 | 152.78 | 0.838 | 0.55 | 163.47 | 2.764 | 1.69 | ||
| Guyana | 181.91 | 4.342 | 2.39 | 175.86 | 5.206 | 2.96 | 182.83 | 9.094 | 4.97 | ||
| Haiti | 211.33 | 3.675 | 1.74 | 210.33 | 4.42 | 2.1 | 209.38 | 3.536 | 1.69 | ||
| Honduras | 147.91 | 2.284 | 1.54 | 140.26 | 2.456 | 1.75 | 138.25 | 3.75 | 2.71 | ||
| Jamaica | 158.34 | 7.805 | 4.93 | 206.64 | 6.346 | 3.07 | 192.81 | 11.791 | 6.12 | ||
| Mexico | 185.82 | 1.78 | 0.96 | 190.16 | 3.015 | 1.59 | 200.89 | 3.279 | 1.63 | ||
| Nicaragua | 154.77 | 5.891 | 3.81 | 146.42 | 3.312 | 2.26 | 161.49 | 6.742 | 4.17 | ||
| Panama | 167.64 | 5.863 | 3.5 | 152.75 | 14.902 | 9.76 | 153.05 | 8.693 | 5.68 | ||
| Peru | 269.87 | 8.968 | 3.32 | 233.71 | 4.891 | 2.09 | 204.32 | 11.622 | 5.69 | ||
| Paraguay | 311.74 | 6.751 | 2.17 | 306.94 | 8.422 | 2.74 | 287.19 | 7.302 | 2.54 | ||
| Suriname | 157.93 | 10.928 | 6.92 | 166.05 | 3.299 | 1.99 | 188.05 | 8.452 | 4.49 | ||
| T. and Tobago | 176.61 | 6.074 | 3.44 | 188.32 | 3.53 | 1.87 | 195.21 | 8.21 | 4.21 | ||
| Uruguay | 176.9 | 11.895 | 6.72 | 183.4 | 7.871 | 4.29 | 186.33 | 3.853 | 2.07 | ||
| Venezuela | 163.35 | 4.046 | 2.48 | 158.69 | 5.419 | 3.41 | 154.69 | 10.365 | 6.7 |
| 1961-1970 | 1971-1980 | 1981-1990 | |||||||
| MEAN | MAXIMUM | MINIMUM | MEAN | MAXIMUM | MINIMUM | MEAN | MAXIMUM | MINIMUM | |
| BOLIVIA | 28.3 | 34.3 | 23.2 | 32.2 | 41.7 | 26.6 | 29.5 | 47.9 | 17.0 |
| ECUADOR | 12.0 | 15.9 | 7.2 | 26.3 | 45.5 | 10.2 | 31.8 | 38.8 | 21.8 |
| PERU | 33.5 | 43.5 | 27.7 | 41.5 | 55.7 | 23.2 | 46.4 | 53.1 | 36.5 |
| COLOMBIA | 13.5 | 18.0 | 7.9 | 19.5 | 30.5 | 11.5 | 22.1 | 28.4 | 14.9 |
| VENEZUELA | 54.3 | 65.1 | 44.1 | 61.8 | 69.6 | 52.9 | 61.1 | 72.3 | 48.4 |
| MEXICO | 2.2 | 7.1 | 0.2 | 13.5 | 29.4 | 1.6 | 20.0 | 30.1 | 9.8 |
| GUATEMALA | 11.3 | 13.3 | 9.1 | 14.3 | 20.5 | 9.2 | 14.1 | 21.5 | 8.2 |
| HONDURAS | 12.3 | 16.1 | 9.2 | 17.1 | 26.2 | 12.0 | 19.2 | 22.2 | 15.5 |
| COSTA RICA | 37.4 | 46.3 | 33.1 | 39.5 | 49.9 | 28.6 | 47.1 | 68.5 | 31.6 |
| EL SALVADOR | 20.5 | 28.7 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 29.5 | 12.4 | 23.0 | 30.3 | 18.1 |
| NICARAGUA | 17.3 | 22.0 | 10.8 | 21.5 | 37.2 | 12.5 | 28.4 | 47.0 | 15.8 |
| CUBA | 82.1 | 88.9 | 74.1 | 80.8 | 87.4 | 77.3 | 82.2 | 83.9 | 78.6 |
| DOMINICAN REPUBLIC | 37.5 | 50.6 | 23.3 | 48.3 | 55.6 | 39.5 | 52.9 | 63.7 | 36.6 |
| HAITI | 10.4 | 16.3 | 7.0 | 22.5 | 36.3 | 8.6 | 34.6 | 40.6 | 30.9 |
| PANAMA | 22.3 | 26.3 | 17.8 | 32.7 | 41.8 | 26.8 | 32.8 | 39.0 | 24.2 |
| ARGENTINA | 0.6 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| CHILE | 19.2 | 31.3 | 8.5 | 36.6 | 62.0 | 21.1 | 23.7 | 48.4 | 5.9 |
| PARAGUAY | 30.2 | 40.9 | 22.2 | 12.6 | 19.2 | 7.2 | 5.2 | 12.9 | 1.3 |
| URUGUAY | 6.6 | 24.3 | 0.0 | 13.5 | 45.1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 26.7 | 4.5 |
| BRAZIL | 12.9 | 15.6 | 9.9 | 13.4 | 21.6 | 8.6 | 12.0 | 17.3 | 4.1 |
| BELIZE | 42.0 | 50.6 | 36.9 | 33.4 | 45.0 | 27.2 | 28.5 | 31.7 | 26.4 |
| DOMINICA | 41.7 | 57.9 | 37.1 | 55.0 | 89.7 | 43.5 | 34.6 | 52.1 | 25.8 |
| GRENADA | 59.5 | 78.3 | 42.9 | 72.1 | 107.8 | 46.2 | 66.6 | 79.8 | 51.4 |
| GUYANA | 14.4 | 16.1 | 12.7 | 12.7 | 17.8 | 9.7 | 8.9 | 12.2 | 6.2 |
| JAMAICA | 21.2 | 24.6 | 17.2 | 22.1 | 27.3 | 14.9 | 25.0 | 28.8 | 17.7 |
| ST. KITTS | 44.3 | 63.4 | 28.1 | 37.4 | 67.5 | 21.2 | 47.7 | 82.1 | 35.1 |
| ST. LUCIA | 48.6 | 95.5 | 40.0 | 62.4 | 75.4 | 54.4 | 44.3 | 58.5 | 30.2 |
| SURINAME | 12.5 | 16.7 | 8.1 | 9.1 | 10.9 | 7.4 | 9.1 | 11.1 | 7.0 |
| TRINIDAD & TOBAGO | 10.7 | 11.9 | 8.2 | 7.8 | 11.0 | 5.4 | 13.2 | 17.3 | 8.2 |
| MEAN | MAXIMUM | MINIMUM | ||||||||||
| Country | 1961-70 | 1971-80 | 1981-90 | 1961-70 | 1971-80 | 1981-90 | 1961-70 | 1971-80 | 1981-90 | |||
| Argentina | 0.55 | 0.59 | 0.26 | 2.41 | 2.58 | 0.43 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.14 | |||
| Barbados | 57.12 | 69.01 | 73.48 | 63.70 | 71.74 | 81.04 | 48.71 | 64.81 | 70.94 | |||
| Belize | 61.06 | 42.67 | 37.65 | 73.74 | 50.86 | 62.41 | 46.79 | 31.24 | 29.10 | |||
| Bolivia | 20.63 | 21.34 | 19.69 | 24.20 | 26.40 | 29.51 | 16.42 | 16.14 | 11.47 | |||
| Brazil | 6.93 | 7.59 | 7.51 | 8.32 | 11.67 | 11.96 | 5.34 | 4.60 | 2.86 | |||
| Chile | 23.41 | 36.08 | 23.13 | 30.80 | 54.02 | 45.00 | 18.08 | 23.92 | 8.62 | |||
| Colombia | 9.17 | 13.50 | 15.88 | 12.14 | 22.01 | 21.60 | 6.13 | 7.36 | 12.20 | |||
| Costa Rica | 25.54 | 26.21 | 26.00 | 32.79 | 33.80 | 35.77 | 20.63 | 19.31 | 17.76 | |||
| Cuba | 51.50 | 56.57 | 56.32 | 54.62 | 60.63 | 58.83 | 47.48 | 54.98 | 53.77 | |||
| Ecuador | 8.27 | 16.08 | 20.90 | 9.60 | 25.55 | 31.13 | 6.82 | 8.67 | 12.54 | |||
| El Salvador | 20.45 | 15.76 | 22.14 | 27.16 | 23.96 | 27.13 | 12.77 | 10.89 | 18.75 | |||
| Guatemala | 10.44 | 11.68 | 14.20 | 11.94 | 16.49 | 21.10 | 8.34 | 7.50 | 8.31 | |||
| Guyana | 35.51 | 34.58 | 18.81 | 40.43 | 38.78 | 29.93 | 32.66 | 28.90 | 6.83 | |||
| Haiti | 8.77 | 17.37 | 28.91 | 12.64 | 28.61 | 36.15 | 6.52 | 8.61 | 24.20 | |||
| Honduras | 12.06 | 14.48 | 14.03 | 14.87 | 21.98 | 15.28 | 9.90 | 10.76 | 11.82 | |||
| Jamaica | 59.77 | 64.25 | 69.65 | 68.59 | 75.11 | 80.50 | 54.71 | 41.83 | 57.99 | |||
| Mexico | 2.06 | 10.93 | 18.23 | 5.29 | 27.31 | 25.89 | 0.58 | 1.75 | 10.06 | |||
| Nicaragua | 12.90 | 15.17 | 24.91 | 16.45 | 30.61 | 39.86 | 8.47 | 9.64 | 16.84 | |||
| Panama | 19.82 | 32.25 | 32.18 | 25.49 | 40.20 | 38.97 | 16.37 | 22.39 | 25.11 | |||
| Peru | 21.08 | 27.25 | 35.24 | 28.58 | 35.09 | 40.37 | 15.73 | 17.04 | 26.41 | |||
| Paraguay | 9.85 | 4.85 | 2.47 | 13.65 | 6.91 | 5.51 | 7.33 | 2.68 | 0.85 | |||
| Dominican Republic | 18.31 | 29.51 | 38.29 | 27.77 | 37.71 | 44.77 | 8.41 | 21.14 | 26.19 | |||
| Suriname | 33.97 | 42.79 | 42.77 | 43.84 | 48.58 | 46.92 | 25.43 | 33.83 | 38.31 | |||
| Trinidad & Tabago | 67.63 | 75.52 | 82.37 | 80.05 | 85.28 | 99.45 | 59.99 | 63.17 | 67.10 | |||
| Uruguay | 10.29 | 11.38 | 9.50 | 17.40 | 28.97 | 16.13 | 4.86 | 2.34 | 4.73 | |||
| Venezuela | 34.81 | 48.26 | 53.42 | 41.54 | 61.21 | 68.17 | 28.75 | 37.54 | 38.18 |
Source: AGROSTAT (and calculations in TSP).
*/ Foods = Basic grains (roots & tubers, legumes, cereals) + sugar + milk + meat + vegatable oils (expressed in millons of calories per ton).
| Country | Population | Dependency | Growth rate | Growth rate | Growth of FES | Life | Rural |
| growth rate | EAP | EAP agricult. | 1980-90 | expectancy | population % | ||
| Bolivia | 2.4 | 80.0 | 2.9 | 45.5 | 0.5 | 59 | 49.0 |
| El Salvador | 2.2 | 83.0 | 3.2 | 43.2 | -0.1 | 63 | 56.0 |
| Guatemala | 2.9 | 92.0 | 3.2 | 56.9 | 1.2 | 65 | 58.0 |
| Haiti | 2.0 | 77.0 | 2.1 | 70.0 | 0.1 | 57 | 70.0 |
| Honduras | 2.9 | 90.0 | 3.5 | 60.5 | 2.7 | 68 | 56.0 |
| Nicaragua | 2.9 | 66.0 | 4.6 | 46.5 | 2.6 | 67 | 40.0 |
| Panama | 1.9 | 64.0 | 3.0 | 32.0 | -0.5 | 73 | 45.0 |
| Peru | 1.7 | 98.0 | 2.7 | 40.0 | 1.7 | 66 | 30.0 |
| Dominican Republic | 2.0 | 65.0 | 2.4 | 45.7 | -0.1 | 67 | 40.0 |
| Latin America & the Caribbean | 2.9 | 32.1 | 0.8 |
| 1980 | 1981 | 1982 | 1983 | 1984 | 1985 | 1986 | 1987 | 1988 | 1989 | 1990 | 1991 | 1992 | 1993 | 1994 | |
| LATIN AMERICA | 6.7 | 6.6 | 8.4 | 9.8 | 10.0 | 10.1 | 9.2 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 8.1 | |||
| ARGENTINA | 2.6 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 6.1 | 5.6 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 7.6 | 7.5 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 9.6 | 11.5 |
| BOLIVIA | 7.1 | 5.9 | 8.2 | 8.5 | 6.9 | 5.8 | 7.0 | 7.2 | 11.6 | 10.2 | 9.5 | 7.3 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 5.8 |
| BRAZIL | 6.2 | 7.9 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 7.1 | 5.3 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 5.1 |
| COLOMBIA | 9.7 | 8.3 | 9.1 | 11.7 | 13.4 | 14.1 | 13.8 | 11.8 | 11.2 | 9.9 | 10.3 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 8.6 | 8.9 |
| COSTA RICA | 6.0 | 9.1 | 9.9 | 8.5 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| CHILE | 11.7 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 19.0 | 18.5 | 17.0 | 13.1 | 11.9 | 10.0 | 7.2 | 6.5 | 7.3 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 6.3 |
| ECUADOR | 5.7 | 6.0 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 10.5 | 10.4 | 10.7 | 7.2 | 7.4 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 8.5 | 8.9 | 8.9 | 7.8 |
| GUATEMALA | 2.2 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 9.9 | 9.1 | 12.0 | 14.0 | 11.4 | 8.8 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 5.2 |
| HONDURAS | 8.8 | 9.0 | 9.2 | 9.5 | 10.7 | 11.7 | 12.1 | 11.4 | 8.7 | 7.2 | 6.9 | 7.4 | 6.0 | 7.1 | 6.3 |
| MEXICO | 4.5 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 6.6 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| PANAMA | 10.4 | 10.7 | 10.1 | 11.7 | 12.4 | 15.7 | 12.7 | 14.1 | 16.3 | 16.3 | 16.8 | 16.0 | 14.7 | 13.2 | 13.7 |
| PARAGUAY | 3.9 | 2.2 | 5.6 | 8.3 | 7.3 | 5.1 | 6.1 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 6.1 | 6.6 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 4.4 |
| PERU | 7.1 | 6.8 | 6.6 | 9.0 | 8.9 | 10.1 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 7.1 | 7.9 | 8.3 | 5.9 | 9.6 | 9.9 | 8.8 |
| URUGUAY | 7.4 | 6.7 | 11.9 | 15.5 | 14.0 | 13.1 | 10.7 | 9.3 | 9.1 | 8.6 | 9.3 | 8.9 | 9.0 | 8.4 | 9.1 |
| VENEZUELA | 6.6 | 6.8 | 7.8 | 11.2 | 14.3 | 14.3 | 12.1 | 9.9 | 7.3 | 9.2 | 10.4 | 9.5 | 7.8 | 6.6 | 8.7 |