Ecological conditions could remain favourable for several months in Western Sahara and northern Mauritania (from September rains), and in eastern Yemen (from October floods).
Good rains in Western Sahara and N Mauritania could maintain favourable breeding conditions for several months.
Summer breeding is in progress but no significant developments are expected.
A few small locust swarms could move from the Ethiopian Highlands to the Ogaden, northern Somalia and perhaps southern Yemen in early July.
Increased vigilance required in Ethiopia to detect any breeding and potential threat to crops in the Ogaden.
Potential threat to crops in southern Ethiopia and southeastern Iran, and to irrigated farms on the northern edge of the Empty Quarter in Saudi Arabia.
Threat to crops in southern Ethiopia and southeastern Iran. Lower risk of swarms affecting neighbouring areas of Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia, Yemen, Oman and Pakistan.