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  1. GLOBAL OVERVIEW OF PRODUCTION AND PRODUCTION TRENDS

1.1 Status of Global Production and Production Trends

1.1.1 Trends in Global Production, 1984-1995

Rana, K.J.

It is widely acknowledged that fish supplies from traditional marine and inland capture fisheries are unlikely to increase substantially and that the projected shortfalls in fish supply will probably be met mainly from expansion within the aquaculture sector. The growth of this sector and its potential development, as well as changes in the fisheries sector as a whole, are closely monitored by FAO, the only international agency to hold a global time-series database on capture fisheries and aquaculture.

The potential of aquaculture to meet the challenges of food security and to generate employment and foreign exchange has been clearly demonstrated by the rapid expansion of this sector, which has grown at an APR1 of almost 10 since 1984 compared with 3 for livestock meat and 1.6 for capture fisheries production.

The contribution of aquaculture to total aquatic production

In recent years, the supply of fish has continued to increase steadily and in 1995, total world production of finfish, crustaceans and molluscs from capture fisheries and aquaculture reached 112.9 million mt. The inclusion of plants in aquatic production raises the total production in 1995 by a further 7.8 million mt to 120.7 million mt, an increase of around 15.6 million mt since 1989 (Figure 1.1.1.1 ).

Figure 1.1.1.1
Contribution of aquaculture to annual global aquatic production Much of the increase in annual global aquatic production is attributable to aquaculture. The actual share of aquaculture depends on whether aquatic plants are included or not (Figure 1.1.1.1). For cultured finfish and shellfish, the annual contribution to total finfish and shellfish production rose linearly from 11.7% in 1989 to 18.5% in 1995.

When aquatic plants from culture and wild harvest are included, the corresponding annual contribution of aquaculture to total aquatic production increased from to 14.4% in 1989 to 23.0% in 1995. For food fish, over a quarter of total world supply was derived from aquaculture.

Figure 1.1.1.2
Annual rate of exchange in growth of capture fisheries and aquaculture of fish and 
shellfish The annual growth rate of cultured finfish and shellfish production over the last five years increased from an APR of around 5-6 between 1990-1991 to around 14 in 1994-1995. In contrast, with the exception of the increase in 1993-1994, which is probably attributable to small pelagic fish, data reported for capture fisheries show near zero or negative growth (Figure 1.1.1.2).



Figure 1.1.1.3
Global trends in aquaculture 
production
The global contribution of aquaculture

Aquaculture is one of the fastest growing food-producing sectors, providing an acceptable supplement to and substitute for wild fish and plants. By 1995, the total production of cultured finfish, shellfish and aquatic plants, which was valued at US$42.3 thousand million reached a record 27.8 million mt, an increase of around 9.6% and 5.2% over 1994 production in quantity and value, respectively ( Figure 1.1.1.3 ). In keeping with recent trends, the increase over 1994 was highest for finfish and shellfish: 13.6% and 7.4% for quantity and value, respectively. Much of the reported increase originated from the low-income food deficit countries (LIFDCs), in particular China, and reflects the continuing trend in these countries of increased use of aquatic resources to further diversify food production.

Regional growth of aquaculture

Figure 1.1.1.4
Trends 
in regional production of aquaculture
Regional, cultural and historic attributes have played major roles in influencing both the production base and rate of expansion of aquaculture. The historic tradition of growing fish in Asia, which is well documented in countries such as China, India, Cambodia and Indonesia, has played a significant role in maintaining Asia’s dominant role in aquaculture. Production of finfish, shellfish and plants from culture in Asia increased from 8.4 million mt in 1984 at an APR of 10.4 to over 25 million mt in 1995 (Figure 1.1.1.4 ) and accounted for over 90% of world output. Much of this growth, however, specifically relates to China. When China is excluded, the growth rate (APR) of the sector in Asia is only 4.4, not too dissimilar to that in Europe (3.9) and North America (3.6). In Africa and Latin America, the aquaculture production base is considerably lower and although aquaculture traditions are uncommon, the sector has expanded at higher rates. In Africa, production increased at an APR of 12.7 from 25,000 mt in 1984 to 107,000 mt in 1995.
Figure 1.1.1.5
Trends in regional contributions 
to global aquaculture production
Similarly, in Latin America, aquaculture production has expanded at an APR of 12.8 since 1984 and in 1995 reached 500,000 mt. These varying rates of expansion have altered the contribution of regions to global aquaculture in recent years (Figure 1.1.1.5 ). The global share of Asia increased by 7% between 1984 and 1995. In the same period, Latin America’s share increased by around 0.5% while those of Europe, Former USSR and North America decreased by 4%, 2% and 2%, respectively.

Contribution of aquaculture to total national aquatic production in principal countries

Figure 1.1.1.6A
Contributioon of aquaculture 
to national aquatic production

Although the global contribution of aquaculture by quantity to total world aquatic production averaged 23% in 1995, the relative importance of aquaculture to national aquatic production varied greatly and ranged from 7% to 60% in the top 14 producing countries (Figure 1.1.1.6). In keeping with recent trends, the significance of aquaculture in terms of contribution in tonnage to national aquatic production in 1995 was greatest in China, accounting for 60.2% of total national production, nearly twice that in France, India, Republic of Korea and the Philippines (Figure 1.1.1.6A ).

Figure 1.1.1.6B
Contributioon of aquaculture 
to national aquatic production
A considerably lower contribution of aquaculture to national aquatic production was reported by Thailand (13.2%), Norway (9.4%) and the USA (7.2%) in 1995 ( Figure 1.1.1.6B ).

China, India and Japan accounted for 63.4%, 5.8% and 5.1% of total world aquaculture in 1995, respectively (Figure 1.1.1.5 ). Contributions by other major producers were lower, with the Republic of Korea, Philippines, Indonesia and Thailand accounting for 3.7% (1 million mt), 2.9% (0.8 million mt), 2.6% (0.7 million mt) and 1.7% (0.5 million mt), respectively. The ranking of some countries in 1995 has changed over the last five years (Figure 1.1.1.7 ). The positions of China (1st), Republic of Korea (4th), Philippines (5th), and Indonesia (6th) remained unchanged since 1991. India replaced Japan as 2nd and Thailand displaced the USA to take the 7th position in 1995. Although a few developed countries feature amongst the top producers (Figure 1.1.1.7 ), aquaculture is mainly an activity of the LIFDCs (Figure 1.1.1.8 ). By 1995, 21.6 million mt, or around 78%, of world total finfish, shellfish and aquatic plant production originated from LIFDCs. The growth rate of the aquaculture sector in LIFDCs between 1984 and 1995 was nearly six times faster than that for non-LIFDCs.

Figure 1.1.1.7
World share of total 
aquaculture production by major countries
Figure 1.1.1.8
Annual global changes 
in total aquaculture production, by LIFDC status
Figure 1.1.1.9
Contribution of the top 
5-6 countries to total (A) finfish and shellfish and (B) finfish, shellfish and aquatic 
plant production in LIFDCs

Aquaculture production and growth in the 67 reporting LIFDCs, however, is greatly skewed. Around 98.5 % of all aquatic production within LIFDCs originated from just six countries in 1995, with China accounting for around 82% of production ( Figure 1.1.1.9 ). Between 1984 and 1995 Chinese aquaculture expanded at an APR of 13.6. The APR for all the other LIFDCs countries was 5. In 1995, total aquaculture production from LIFDCs excluding China was only 4.0 million mt, an increase of 1.7 million mt since 1984 (Figure 1.1.1.8 ). While these LIFDCs show potential for expansion, their slow aquaculture growth rate is likely to be due to a combination of reasons, such as low national priority of aquaculture, limited water supply of appropriate quality, poor infrastructure, limited capacity of institutions, and technical and financial constraints.




1 Annual Percent Rate: average annual compounded growth rate in percent