The objective of this study was to revise the FAO Provisional Outlook for Global Forest Products Consumption, Production and Trade to 2010 (FAO 1997). This revision is based on new estimates of future economic growth, a re-evaluation of the assumptions regarding timber supply, refinement of input-output parameters and detailed analysis of the Asia-Pacific region (Zhang et al. 1997; FAO 1998).
The global forest products model (GFPM) used to produce the projections gives fully consistent projections of quantities produced, consumed and traded, within each country and between a country and the rest of the world. It also provides projections of market-clearing prices.
The first part of this report summarizes the structure of the GFPM and the revised assumptions used in these forecasts. The second part presents the main trends in production, consumption and trade from 1995 to 2010, by region. The detailed tables of projections by country and product are presented in report's appendices.