forecast | over 1995/96 | |||||
WORLD PRODUCTION 1/ | ||||||
Wheat | 566 | 564 | 527 | 547 | 571 | + 4.4 |
Coarse grains | 878 | 810 | 890 | 799 | 883 | +10.5 |
Rice, milled | 355 | 356 | 361 | 371 | 374 | + 0.8 |
(paddy) | (529) | (531) | (538) | (552) | (557) | (+ 0.9) |
All cereals (including milled rice) | 1 799 | 1 730 | 1 778 | 1 717 | 1 828 | + 6.5 |
Developing countries | 914 | 934 | 927 | 955 | 977 | + 2.3 |
Developed countries | 885 | 797 | 851 | 762 | 851 | +11.7 |
WORLD IMPORTS 2/ | ||||||
Wheat | 103 | 94 | 94 | 94 | 91 | - 3.1 |
Coarse grains | 93 | 85 | 88 | 89 | 84 | - 5.3 |
Rice (milled) | 15 | 17 | 21 | 18 | 18 | - |
All cereals | 210 | 196 | 203 | 201 | 193 | - 3.8 |
Developing countries | 128 | 130 | 146 | 144 | 142 | - 1.7 |
Developed countries | 83 | 66 | 57 | 56 | 51 | - 9.4 |
FOOD AID IN CEREALS 3/ | 15.2 | 12.6 | 9.2 | 7.6 4/ | ||
WORLD UTILIZATION | ||||||
Wheat | 556 | 569 | 553 | 557 | 567 | + 1.8 |
Coarse grains | 850 | 839 | 881 | 838 | 860 | + 2.6 |
Rice (milled) | 354 | 359 | 367 | 374 | 378 | + 1.1 |
All cereals | 1 760 | 1 768 | 1 802 | 1 769 | 1 805 | + 2.0 |
Developing countries | 995 | 1 017 | 1 049 | 1 070 | 1 087 | + 1.6 |
Developed countries | 765 | 751 | 753 | 699 | 718 | + 2.7 |
Per Caput Food Use | ||||||
Developing countries | 170 | 170 | 170 | 170 | 170 | - |
Developed countries | 129 | 130 | 129 | 128 | 128 | - |
WORLD STOCKS 5/ | | |||||
Wheat | 144 | 136 | 110 | 102 | 105 | + 3.0 |
Coarse grains | 169 | 139 | 146 | 105 | 117 | +11.9 |
Rice (milled) | 67 | 63 | 55 | 54 | 49 | - 8.0 |
All cereals | 381 | 339 | 311 | 260 | 271 | + 4.3 |
Developing countries | 167 | 169 | 157 | 155 | 148 | - 4.5 |
Developed countries | 214 | 169 | 153 | 105 | 123 | +17.1 |
Stocks as % of world | | |||||
cereal consumption | 22 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 14-15 | |
EXPORT PRICES 3/ | ||||||
Rice (Thai, 100%, 2nd grade) 1/ | 278 | 250 | 289 | 336 | 368 6/ | + 26.0 7/ |
Wheat (U.S. No.2 Hard Winter) | 150 | 143 | 143 | 157 | 214 8/ | + 37.2 7/ |
Maize (U.S. No.2 Yellow) | 110 | 97 | 113 | 104 | 155 8/ | + 51.2 7/ |
OCEAN FREIGHT RATES 3/ | ||||||
From U.S. Gulf to Egypt | 18.1 | 12.1 | 15.1 | 19.0 | 17.1 8/ | - 10.0 7/ |
LOW-INCOME FOOD-DEFICIT COUNTRIES 9/ | | |||||
Roots & tubers production 1/ | 325 | 339 | 340 | 342 | ||
Cereal production 1/ | 858 | 884 | 878 | 916 | 928 | + 1.4 |
Per caput production (kg.) | 250 | 253 | 247 | 254 | 253 | - 0.2 |
Cereal imports 2/ | 66 | 60 | 70 | 74 | ||
of which: Food aid 3/ | 10.2 | 7.8 | 7.6 | 6.3 | ||
Proportion of cereal import | | |||||
covered by food aid | 15 | 13 | 11 | 9 |