1992/93 | 1993/94 | 1994/95 | 1995/96 |
1996/97
forecast |
Change 1996/97
over 1995/96 |
|
WORLD PRODUCTION 1/ | (. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . million ton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ) | (. .percentage . ) | ||||
Wheat | 565 | 564 | 527 | 547 | 588 | + 7.5 |
Coarse grains | 878 | 812 | 894 | 811 | 905 | + 11.6 |
Rice, milled | 355 | 355 | 362 | 372 | 379 | + 2.0 |
(paddy) | (530) | (529) | (539) | (554) | (566) | (+ 2.2) |
All cereals (including milled rice) | 1 799 | 1 731 | 1 783 | 1 730 | 1 872 | + 8.2 |
Developing countries | 917 | 934 | 932 | 961 | 1 005 | + 4.6 |
Developed countries | 882 | 797 | 851 | 769 | 867 | + 12.8 |
WORLD IMPORTS 2/ | ||||||
Wheat | 103 | 95 | 91 | 94 | 84 | - 11.0 |
Coarse grains | 94 | 85 | 89 | 92 | 83 | - 9.8 |
Rice (milled) | 15 | 17 | 21 | 19 | 19 | - 2.6 |
All cereals | 212 | 196 | 201 | 206 | 186 | - 9.8 |
Developing countries | 129 | 130 | 145 | 151 | 134 | - 11.3 |
Developed countries | 83 | 66 | 56 | 55 | 52 | - 5.8 |
FOOD AID IN CEREALS 3/ | 15.1 | 13.0 | 9.3 | 7.2 | 7.5 4/ | + 4.7 |
WORLD UTILIZATION | ||||||
Wheat | 556 | 564 | 553 | 563 | 573 | + 1.8 |
Coarse grains | 851 | 843 | 883 | 855 | 880 | + 3.0 |
Rice (milled) | 355 | 358 | 367 | 374 | 381 | + 1.9 |
All cereals | 1 761 | 1 765 | 1 803 | 1 792 | 1 834 | + 2.4 |
Developing countries | 1 000 | 1 019 | 1 051 | 1 079 | 1 101 | + 2.0 |
Developed countries | 762 | 746 | 753 | 712 | 733 | + 3.0 |
Per Caput Food Use | ( . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . kg/year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .) | |||||
Developing countries | 171 | 171 | 171 | 171 | 172 | + 0.5 |
Developed countries | 130 | 130 | 129 | 128 | 129 | + 0.5 |
WORLD STOCKS 5/ | ( . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . million tons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ) | |||||
Wheat | 148 | 145 | 117 | 106 | 117 | + 11.3 |
Coarse grains | 168 | 137 | 147 | 103 | 124 | + 21.1 |
Rice (milled) | 67 | 63 | 55 | 54 | 52 | - 3.9 |
All cereals | 383 | 346 | 319 | 262 | 294 | + 12.1 |
Developing countries | 167 | 169 | 158 | 155 | 156 | + 0.3 |
Developed countries | 216 | 176 | 161 | 107 | 138 | + 29.4 |
Stocks as % of world | ( . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. percentage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .) | |||||
cereal consumption | 21.7 | 19.2 | 17.8 | 14.3 | 15.8 | |
EXPORT PRICES 3/ | ( . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . U.S.$/ton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .) | |||||
Rice (Thai, 100%, 2nd grade) 1/ | 278 | 250 | 289 | 336 | 352 | + 4.8 |
Wheat (U.S. No.2 Hard Winter) | 143 | 143 | 157 | 216 | 186 6/ | - 6.9 7/ |
Maize (U.S. No.2 Yellow) | 97 | 113 | 104 | 159 | 145 6/ | + 3.8 7/ |
OCEAN FREIGHT RATES 3/ | ||||||
From U.S. Gulf to Egypt | 12.1 | 15.1 | 19.0 | 16.8 | 13.1 6/ | - 31.4 7/ |
LOW-INCOME FOOD-DEFICIT COUNTRIES 8/ | ( . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . million tons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .) | |||||
Roots & tubers production 1/ | 323 | 343 | 339 | 337 | 344 | + 2.2 |
Cereal production 1/ | 863 | 884 | 882 | 916 | 950 | + 3.7 |
Per caput production (kg.) | 252 | 253 | 248 | 254 | 259 | + 2.1 |
Cereal imports 2/ | 67 | 62 | 71 | 77 | 61 | - 20.7 |
of which: Food aid 3/ | 10.2 | 8.0 | 7.9 | 5.7 | 5.9 | + 3.5 |
Proportion of cereal import | ( . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . percentage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .) | |||||
covered by food aid | 15 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 10 |