FAO/GIEWS - Food Outlook July/August/September 1997

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Table A.5 - WORLD STOCKS: Estimated Total Carryovers of Cereals 1/


Crop Years ending in:

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997
estim.
1998
forecast

( . . . . . . . . . . . million tons . . . . . . . . . . . . )
TOTAL CEREALS 339.1 383.2 344.7 318.4 257.7 282.5 279.5
held by:
- main exporters 2/ 132.6 168.9 119.2 108.9 73.9 103.1 101.8
- others 206.5 214.2 225.5 209.6 183.8 179.4 177.7
BY GRAINS
Wheat 137.4 147.6 144.7 117.5 102.9 109.9 121.1
held by:
- main exporters 2/ 49.4 54.5 46.8 31.8 29.2 36.2 38.1
- others 88.0 93.0 97.9 85.7 73.7 73.8 83.0
Coarse Grains 136.4 168.7 137.5 146.2 100.8 117.9 107.8
held by:
- main exporters 2/ 61.8 91.2 53.3 62.6 30.9 50.5 47.8
- others 74.6 77.5 84.2 83.6 69.9 67.4 60.1
Rice (milled basis) 65.3 66.9 62.5 54.7 54.0 54.7 50.6
held by:
- main exporters 2/ 21.4 23.2 19.1 14.5 13.8 16.4 16.0
- others 43.9 43.7 43.4 40.2 40.2 38.2 34.7
BY REGIONS
Developed Countries 176.6 215.6 176.0 160.8 104.9 127.3 132.6
of which:
North America 62.7 96.4 59.9 69.3 35.2 56.7 58.8
Canada 15.0 17.6 16.2 9.2 9.7 15.2 12.2
United States 47.7 78.8 43.7 60.2 25.5 41.5 46.6
Others 113.9 119.2 116.1 91.5 69.7 70.6 72.3
Australia 3.4 5.6 4.6 2.6 3.0 2.8 2.1
CIS 3/ 36.6 46.5 49.0 35.2 19.4 14.5 19.3
EC 4/ 46.0 45.1 35.7 23.2 22.2 27.4 25.1
Japan 5.8 5.7 5.5 6.4 7.1 7.5 7.5
Developing Countries 162.5 167.5 168.7 157.7 152.8 155.2 146.9
of which:
Asia 5/ 136.5 136.1 136.7 123.3 125.6 127.0 122.3
Bangladesh 3.2 3.3 3.0 2.6 1.8 2.0 2.3
China 6/ 62.2 58.1 55.1 49.5 53.6 55.6 53.9
India 7/ 8.3 11.3 19.0 24.1 18.4 10.5 15.0
Indonesia 4.7 6.3 6.1 4.8 6.0 6.1 6.0
Korea, Rep. of 3.6 3.8 3.1 2.0 1.6 2.1 1.7
Pakistan 2.8 3.6 4.1 3.2 3.3 3.7 4.3
Philippines 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.6 2.9 2.9
Turkey 2.5 2.3 4.5 2.0 2.7 3.1 2.0
Africa 17.0 18.2 17.4 19.1 12.3 16.9 13.6
Central America 3.5 4.4 4.3 4.7 3.9 3.0 3.3
South America 5.3 8.8 10.1 10.4 10.9 8.2 7.6
Argentina 0.4 0.4 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.2
Brazil 2.5 5.6 5.1 5.7 6.1 3.7 3.4
WORLD STOCKS ( . . . . . . . . . . . . . . percentage . . . . . . . . . . . . )
as % of consumption 19.3 21.7 19.1 17.7 14.0 15.1 14.9

SOURCE: FAO
Note: Based on official and unofficial estimates. Totals computed from unrounded data.
1/ Stock data are based on an aggregate of carryovers at the end of national crop years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. 2/ For a list of main exporters of wheat, coarse grains and rice see table A.7. 3/ FAO estimates; up to crop years ending in 1991, former U.S.S.R.; thereafter, Commonwealth of Independent States. 4/ From 1996, includes 15 member countries. 5/ Total includes FAO estimates for privately-held stocks. 6/ FAO estimates and including Taiwan Province. 7/ Government stocks only.

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