1993/94 | 1994/95 | 1995/96 | 1996/97 |
1997/98
forecast |
Change 1997/98
over 1996/97 |
|
WORLD PRODUCTION 1/ | (. . . . . . . . . . million ton . . . . . . . . . . . ) | (.percentage ) | ||||
Wheat | 564 | 528 | 548 | 592 | 611 | 3.2 |
Coarse grains | 809 | 892 | 810 | 917 | 908 | -1.0 |
Rice, milled | 355 | 362 | 371 | 382 | 383 | 0.4 |
(paddy) | (529) | (539) | (553) | (569) | (571) | 0.3 |
All cereals (including milled rice) | 1729 | 1782 | 1729 | 1890 | 1901 | 0.6 |
Developing countries | 932 | 931 | 960 | 1022 | 1005 | -1.7 |
Developed countries | 797 | 851 | 769 | 868 | 897 | 3.3 |
WORLD IMPORTS 2/ | ||||||
Wheat | 95 | 92 | 93 | 93 | 93 | -0.4 |
Coarse grains | 85 | 89 | 93 | 87 | 89 | 1.8 |
Rice (milled) | 17 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 9.4 |
All cereals | 196 | 202 | 206 | 198 | 201 | 1.4 |
Developing countries | 130 | 146 | 151 | 143 | 150 | 5.2 |
Developed countries | 66 | 56 | 54 | 55 | 51 | -8.3 |
FOOD AID IN CEREALS 3/ | 13.0 | 9.4 | 7.7 | 4.9 | 5.0 4/ | 2.6 |
WORLD UTILIZATION | ||||||
Wheat | 564 | 556 | 564 | 581 | 600 | 3.3 |
Coarse grains | 840 | 881 | 859 | 895 | 906 | 1.2 |
Rice (milled) | 359 | 367 | 372 | 380 | 385 | 1.1 |
All cereals | 1763 | 1804 | 1796 | 1856 | 1891 | 1.9 |
Developing countries | 1015 | 1051 | 1081 | 1114 | 1123 | 0.8 |
Developed countries | 748 | 753 | 715 | 742 | 768 | 3.4 |
Per Caput Food Use | ( . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . kg/year . . . . .. . . . . . . . . .) | |||||
Developing countries | 170 | 170 | 170 | 172 | 173 | 0.7 |
Developed countries | 131 | 129 | 130 | 130 | 131 | 0.5 |
WORLD STOCKS 5/ | ( . . . . . . . . . . . . . million tons . . . . . . . . . . . ) | |||||
Wheat | 147 | 117 | 104 | 112 | 125 | 11.6 |
Coarse grains | 138 | 148 | 103 | 122 | 116 | -4.9 |
Rice (milled) | 62 | 55 | 54 | 56 | 54 | -4.7 |
All cereals | 347 | 319 | 261 | 290 | 295 | 1.5 |
Developing countries | 172 | 160 | 156 | 165 | 150 | -9.4 |
Developed countries | 175 | 160 | 105 | 125 | 145 | 16.0 |
Stocks as % of world | ( . . . . . . .. . . . .. percentage . . . . . . . . . . . .) | |||||
cereal consumption | 19.3 | 17.8 | 14.0 | 15.4 | 15.7 | |
EXPORT PRICES 3/ | ( . . . . . . . . . . . . . U.S.$/ton . . . . . . . . . . . .) | |||||
Rice (Thai, 100%, 2nd grade) 1/ | 250 | 289 | 336 | 352 | 316 | -10.2 |
Wheat (U.S. No.2 Hard Winter) | 143 | 157 | 216 | 183 | 149 4/ | -20.3 4/ |
Maize (U.S. No.2 Yellow) | 113 | 104 | 159 | 137 | 114 4/ | -23.6 4/ |
OCEAN FREIGHT RATES 3/ | ||||||
From U.S. Gulf to Egypt | 15.1 | 19.0 | 16.8 | 12.8 | 12.8 4/ | 1.8 4/ |
LOW-INCOME FOOD-DEFICIT COUNTRIES 8/ | ( . . . . . . . . . . million tons . . . . . . . . .) | |||||
Roots & tubers production 1/ | 349 | 340 | 358 | 349 | 350 | 0.3 |
Cereal production 1/ | 864 | 861 | 891 | 949 | 935 | -1.5 |
Per caput production (kg.) | 253 | 248 | 252 | 264 | 256 | -3.0 |
Cereal imports 2/ | 62.9 | 72.7 | 77.8 | 64.2 | 69.3 | 8.1 |
of which: Food aid 3/ | 7.9 | 7.9 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 2.0 |
Proportion of cereal import | ( . . . . . . . . . . . percentage . . . . . . . . . . .) | |||||
covered by food aid | 12.5 | 10.9 | 8.6 | 6.4 | 6.1 |