1995/96
|
1996/97
|
1997/98
|
1998/99
|
1999/2000
forecast |
Change 1999/2000
over 1998/99 |
|
WORLD PRODUCTION 1/
|
(. . .. . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . . . )
|
(percentage)
|
||||
Wheat
|
548
|
589
|
613
|
595
|
582
|
-2.1
|
Coarse grains
|
810
|
920
|
905
|
905
|
889
|
-1.8
|
Rice, milled
|
369
|
383
|
387
|
383
|
395
|
2.9
|
(paddy)
|
(550)
|
(5710
|
(578)
|
(573)
|
(590)
|
2.9
|
All cereals (including milled rice)
|
1 727
|
1 892
|
1 905
|
1 883
|
1 866
|
-0.9
|
Developing countries
|
958
|
1 025
|
1 006
|
1 026
|
1 029
|
0.3
|
Developed countries
|
770
|
867
|
899
|
857
|
836
|
-2.4
|
WORLD IMPORTS 2/
|
||||||
Wheat
|
99
|
102
|
100
|
97
|
102
|
4.8
|
Coarse grains
|
95
|
91
|
89
|
92
|
96
|
4.0
|
Rice (milled)
|
19
|
19
|
28
|
24
|
23
|
-0.9
|
All cereals
|
214
|
211
|
216
|
213
|
221
|
3.8
|
Developing countries
|
151
|
150
|
158
|
156
|
160
|
2.7
|
Developed countries
|
62
|
62
|
58
|
57
|
61
|
7.0
|
FOOD AID IN CEREALS 3/
|
7.4
|
5.5
|
6.2
|
9.5
|
|
|
WORLD UTILIZATION
|
||||||
Wheat
|
563
|
577
|
591
|
591
|
592
|
0.1
|
Coarse grains
|
856
|
896
|
892
|
887
|
892
|
0.6
|
Rice (milled)
|
373
|
380
|
382
|
388
|
392
|
1.1
|
All cereals
|
1 791
|
1 854
|
1 865
|
1 866
|
1 876
|
0.5
|
Developing countries
|
1 078
|
1 107
|
1 110
|
1 128
|
1 142
|
1.3
|
Developed countries
|
713
|
747
|
755
|
739
|
734
|
-0.6
|
Per Caput Food Use
|
( . . . . . . . . . . kg/year . . . . . . . . . .)
|
|||||
Developing countries
|
171
|
172
|
171
|
172
|
172
|
-0.2
|
Developed countries
|
128
|
129
|
129
|
130
|
130
|
0.1
|
WORLD STOCKS 5/
|
( . . . . . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . .
. )
|
|||||
Wheat
|
102
|
113
|
136
|
139
|
131
|
-5.9
|
Coarse grains
|
99
|
123
|
139
|
147
|
145
|
-1.8
|
Rice (milled)
|
52
|
56
|
55
|
54
|
56
|
4.1
|
All cereals
|
253
|
292
|
330
|
340
|
331
|
-2.5
|
Developing countries
|
150
|
172
|
163
|
167
|
164
|
-1.4
|
Developed countries
|
102
|
120
|
167
|
173
|
167
|
-3.6
|
Stocks as % of world
cereal consumption
|
( . . . . . . .. percentage . . . . . . .)
|
|||||
13.6
|
15.6
|
17.7
|
18.1
|
17.3
|
|
|
EXPORT PRICES 3/
|
( . . . . . . . . . . U.S.$/tonne . . . . . . . .)
|
|||||
Rice (Thai, 100%, 2nd grade) 1/
|
336
|
352
|
316
|
315
|
256 5/
|
-20.5 7/
|
Wheat (U.S. No.2 Hard Winter)
|
216
|
181
|
142
|
120
|
113 6/
|
-4.2 7/
|
Maize (U.S. No.2 Yellow)
|
159
|
135
|
112
|
95
|
73 6/
|
-20.7 7/
|
OCEAN FREIGHT RATES 3/
|
||||||
From U.S. Gulf to Egypt
|
16.8
|
12.8
|
11.7
|
9.3
|
13.3 6/
|
60.2 7/
|
LOW-INCOME FOOD-DEFICIT COUNTRIES 8/
|
( . . . . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . . .)
|
|||||
Roots & tubers production 1/
|
359
|
379
|
373
|
359
|
363
|
0.9
|
Cereal production (milled rice) 1/
|
744
|
803
|
784
|
799
|
815
|
2.0
|
Per caput production (kg.) 9/
|
211
|
224
|
216
|
217
|
218
|
0.5
|
Cereal imports 2/
|
78.9
|
69.2
|
77.8
|
70.5
|
71.6
|
1.6
|
of which: Food aid 3/
|
6.4
|
4.6
|
5.5
|
6.8
|
|
|
Proportion of cereal import
|
( . . . . . . . . percentage . . . . . . . .)
|
|||||
covered by food aid
|
8.1
|
6.7
|
7.0
|
9.6
|
|
|