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Table A5: Cereal balances

 

Demand million tonnes

Production

Net trade

SSR1 (%)

Growth rates % per year

Food

Feed

All uses

 

Demand

Production

World

1979-81

706

575

1 437

1 442

3

100

1979-99

1.4

1.4

1997-99

1 003

657

1 864

1 889

9

101

1989-99

1.0

1.0

2015

1 227

911

2 379

2 387

8

100

1997-99 to 2015

1.4

1.4

2030

1 406

1 148

2 831

2 839

8

100

2015-2030

1.2

1.2

Industrial countries

1979-81

110

286

428

551

111

129

1979-99

1.0

0.8

1997-99

142

331

525

652

111

124

1989-99

1.7

1.4

2015

150

387

599

785

187

131

1997-99 to 2015

0.8

1.1

2030

155

425

652

899

247

138

2015-2030

0.6

0.9

Transition countries

1979-81

72

176

297

242

-41

81

1979-99

-1.9

-1.1

1997-99

72

105

211

210

1

100

1989-99

-4.9

-4.2

2015

70

127

237

247

10

104

1997-99 to 2015

0.7

1.0

2030

66

149

261

287

25

110

2015-2030

0.7

1.0

Developing countries

1979-81

524

113

712

649

-66

91

1979-99

2.6

2.5

1997-99

790

222

1 129

1 026

-103

91

1989-99

2.2

2.1

2015

1 007

397

1 544

1 354

-190

88

1997-99 to 2015

1.9

1.6

2030

1 185

573

1 917

1 652

-265

86

2015-2030

1.5

1.3

Sub-Saharan Africa

1979-81

40

2

48

41

-8

85

1979-99

3.4

3.4

1997-99

71

4

86

71

-14

82

1989-99

3.1

2.7

2015

116

8

139

114

-25

82

1997-99 to 2015

2.9

2.8

2030

173

15

208

168

-40

81

2015-2030

2.7

2.6

Near East and North Africa

1979-81

47

19

80

58

-24

72

1979-99

2.7

2.4

1997-99

79

34

133

83

-49

63

1989-99

2.2

1.3

2015

107

62

192

107

-85

56

1997-99 to 2015

2.2

1.5

2030

131

93

249

133

-116

54

2015-2030

1.8

1.5

Latin America and Caribbean

1979-81

46

37

94

87

-8

93

1979-99

2.3

1.8

1997-99

66

60

142

125

-14

88

1989-99

2.8

3.1

2015

85

98

204

188

-16

92

1997-99 to 2015

2.1

2.4

2030

99

135

257

244

-13

95

2015-2030

1.6

1.8

South Asia

1979-81

134

2

151

147

-2

98

1979-99

2.6

2.7

1997-99

208

3

234

239

-3

102

1989-99

1.8

2.0

2015

295

11

335

323

-12

97

1997-99 to 2015

2.1

1.8

2030

360

22

416

393

-22

95

2015-2030

1.5

1.3

East Asia

1979-81

257

53

339

316

-24

93

1979-99

2.5

2.5

1997-99

366

120

534

507

-23

95

1989-99

2.1

2.1

2015

404

218

675

622

-53

92

1997-99 to 2015

1.4

1.2

2030

422

309

787

714

-73

91

2015-2030

1.0

0.9

1 SSR = Self-sufficiency ratio = Production / total demand.




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