FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - August 2002 p.46

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  NAMIBIA

Area:823 000 sq km
Climate:Mostly arid (south-west and coast) or semi-arid. Only north and north-east gets regular rainfall in November-April
Population:1.98 million (2002 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$2 030 (2000)
Specific characteristics of the country:Arid to semi-arid country; cereal production mainly in the north
Logistics:Good road and railway network
Major foodcrops:Millet, maize, sorghum, wheat
Marketing year:May/April;
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:48 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

The 2002 cereal crop was sharply reduced. Final official estimates indicate a cereal output of 69 000 tonnes, 36 percent below last year’s normal level. Insufficient rains at planting time sharply reduce the area sown to millet/sorghum and maize, while a dry spell in January adversely affected yields. Subsequent precipitation arrived too late to prevent yield reductions. The cereal import requirement in 2002/03 (May/April) is estimated at 156 000 tonnes. The food supply situation is anticipated to be tight in the remainder of the year, particularly for farmers who gathered a poor harvest last year and for vulnerable groups in urban areas.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2002/03 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

 WheatRiceCoarse grainsTotal
     Previous five years average production5-105110
     Previous five years average imports56-92148
2002/03 Domestic Availability6-7581
     2002 Production (rice in paddy terms)6-6369
     2002 Production (rice in milled terms)6-6369
     Possible stock drawdown--1212
2002/03 Utilization54-183237
     Food use53-176229
       of which: local purchase requirement----
     Non-food use--77
     Exports or re-exports----
     Possible stock build up1--1
2002/03 Import Requirement48-108156
     Anticipated commercial imports48-108156
     Food aid needs----
Current Aid Position    
     Food aid pledges----
       of which: delivered----
     Donor-financed purchases----
       of which: for local use----
                        for export----
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)28-95124
Indexes    
     2002 Production as % of average:   63
     2002/03 Import requirement as % of average:   105

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