FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3 - December 2002 p.35

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GUINEA

Area: 245 860 sq km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry; rainy season: March/June to October/November
Population: 7.57 million (2002 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$400 (2001)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; mountainous coastal country
Logistics: Ports and roads inadequate
Major foodcrops: Rice, roots and tubers, coarse grains
Marketing year: January/December; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 52 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

Following generally below-average rainfall until late October, harvest prospects are uncertain. However, the overall food supply situation is satisfactory reflecting satisfactory harvests in 2000 and 2001. Markets are well supplied.

The presence of a large refugee population and the persistent instability in the sub-region have exacted a heavy toll on the country. According to WFP, some 30 000 new Liberian refugees entered the country since the beginning of the year, of whom 80 percent were women and children. Following armed clashes in and around the country over the period September 2000 - March 2001, there are still some 82 000 IDPs, mainly concentrated in Kissigougou, Macenta and Gueckedou Prefectures. Approximately 45 000 Liberian refugees in camps are currently receiving WFP assistance. Some 5 000 Liberians are also being assisted by WFP outside the camps in areas close to the Guinean-Liberian border waiting for transfer to the camps by UNHCR. New refugees have entered Guinea from Côte d'Ivoire into the Kankan and N'Zérékoré regions.

Cereal import requirement for the 2002 marketing year is estimated at 337 000 tonnes.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2002 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
     Previous five years average production - 769 215 984
     Previous five years average imports 117 244 3 364
2002 Domestic Availability 5 546 237 788
     2001 Production (rice in paddy terms) - 789 237 1 026
     2001 Production (rice in milled terms) - 526 237 763
     Possible stock drawdown 5 20 - 25
2002 Utilization 115 761 249 1 125
     Food use 112 636 196 943
       of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
     Non-food use 3 115 45 164
     Exports or re-exports - 10 - 10
     Possible stock build up - - 8 8
2002 Import Requirement 110 215 12 337
     Anticipated commercial imports 96 200 - 296
     Food aid needs 14 15 12 41
Current Aid Position        
     Food aid pledges 14 15 12 41
       of which: delivered 14 15 12 41
     Donor-financed purchases - - - -
       of which: for local use - - - -
                        for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 15 84 26 125
Indexes        
     2001 Production as % of average:       104
     2002 Import requirement as % of average:       93

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