FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3 - December 2002 p.42

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MALI

Area: 1 240 190 sq km
Climate: From north to south: arid, semi-arid and tropical wet-dry; rainy season: May-October
Population: 10.94 million (2003 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$210 (2001)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked Sahelian country
Logistics: Roads inadequate during rainy season; river transport important; rail link to Dakar (Senegal)
Major foodcrops: Millet, sorghum, rice, maize
Marketing year: November/October; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 75 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

Following irregular and below-average rains in May and June, precipitation improved in early July and remained widespread and regular until early September. However, it decreased significantly during the last dekad of September.

A joint FAO/CILSS Crop Assessment Mission which visited the country from 7 to 11 October estimated 2002 aggregate cereal production at some 2 500 000 tonnes (rice in paddy equivalent), which is similar to both last year's good harvest and the average of the last five years. Compared to last year, rice production is forecast to decrease by 13 percent to some 816 000 tonnes, while coarse grains production, estimated at about 1 700 000, increased by 4 percent.

The overall food situation is satisfactory. Overall cereal prices started to decrease. The reconstitution of the National Security Stock to its optimum level of 35 000 tonnes will require the purchase of 15 000 tonnes in 2002/03.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2002/03 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
     Previous five years average production 6 741 1 761 2 508
     Previous five years average imports 53 80 5 138
2002/03 Domestic Availability 11 555 1 700 2 266
     2002 Production (rice in paddy terms) 11 816 1 700 2 527
     2002 Production (rice in milled terms) 11 555 1 700 2 266
     Possible stock drawdown - - - -
2002/03 Utilization 74 733 1 717 2 524
     Food use 73 527 1 438 2 038
       of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
     Non-food use 1 106 259 366
     Exports or re-exports - 100 20 120
     Possible stock build up - - - -
2002/03 Import Requirement 63 178 17 258
     Anticipated commercial imports 63 178 10 251
     Food aid needs - - 7 7
Current Aid Position        
     Food aid pledges - - 3 3
       of which: delivered - - - -
     Donor-financed purchases - - - -
       of which: for local use - - - -
                        for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 7 48 132 186
Indexes        
     2002 Production as % of average:       101
     2002/03 Import requirement as % of average:       187

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