Economic and Social Department

global information and early warning system on food and agriculture

food outlook
No. 2	Rome, April 2003

Highlights

BASIC FACTS OF THE WORLD CEREAL SITUATION

Cereals

MANY COUNTRIES THROUGHOUT THE WORLD FACE FOOD EMERGENCIES

Current Production and Crop Prospects

UN FLASH APPEAL CALLS FOR US$ 2.2 BILLION FOR IRAQ CRISIS

Meat and Meat Products

Milk and Milk Products

Fertilizers

Appendix Tables

	A.1 a) - WORLD CEREAL PRODUCTION
	Table A.1 b) - WORLD CEREAL PRODUCTION
	Table A.2 a) - WORLD IMPORTS OF CEREALS
	Table A.2 b) - WORLD IMPORTS OF CEREALS
	Table A.3 a) - WORLD EXPORTS OF CEREALS
	Table A.3 b) - WORLD EXPORTS OF CEREALS
	Table A.4 – CEREALS: Supply and Utilization in Main Exporting Countries (National Crop Years)
	Table A.5 - WORLD CEREAL STOCKS: Estimated Total Carryovers of Cereals 1/
	Table A.6 – SELECTED EXPORT PRICES OF CEREALS AND SOYBEANS
	Table A.7 - PRICE INDICES AND SELECTED EXPORT PRICES FOR RICE
	Table A.8 – PRICE INDICES AND SELECTED INTERNATIONAL PRICES FOR OILCROP PRODUCTS
	Table A.9 - WHEAT AND MAIZE FUTURES PRICES
	Table A.10 - OCEAN FREIGHT RATES FOR WHEAT
	Table A.11 - SELECTED INTERNATIONAL COMMODITY PRICES
	Table A.12 - SHIPMENTS OF FOOD AID IN CEREALS, July/June

STATISTICAL NOTE

Appendix Tables

A.1 a) - WORLD CEREAL PRODUCTION

	Wheat			Coarse Grains
	2000	2001	2002 estim.	2000	2001	2002 estim.
	(million tonnes)
ASIA	254.7	244.7	253.9	195.8	209.7	210.7
Bangladesh	1.7	1.6	1.8	0.1	0.1	0.1
China 1/	99.6	93.9	91.9	117.2	125.2	133.9
India	76.4	68.8	71.8	31.6	34.7	25.1
Indonesia	-	-	-	9.7	9.3	9.5
Iran, Islamic Rep. of	8.1	9.5	12.5	2.8	3.5	4.5
Japan	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.2	0.2	0.3
Kazakhstan	9.1	12.7	12.6	2.1	3.0	3.1
Korea, D. P. R.	0.1	0.1	0.1	1.1	1.6	1.8
Korea, Rep. of	-	-	-	0.3	0.5	0.4
Myanmar	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.8
Pakistan	22.0	19.0	19.2	2.2	2.1	2.1
Philippines	-	-	-	4.5	4.5	4.3
Saudi Arabia	1.8	1.8	1.8	0.3	0.3	0.3
Thailand	-	-	-	4.9	4.7	4.2
Turkey	21.0	18.5	20.0	10.9	10.2	10.8
Viet Nam	-	-	-	2.0	2.1	2.3
AFRICA	14.5	17.8	16.0	80.4	82.5	79.7
North Africa	9.7	12.9	11.7	8.6	10.0	10.1
Egypt	6.6	6.3	6.6	7.5	7.8	7.7
Morocco	1.4	3.3	3.4	0.6	1.3	1.9
Sub-Saharan Africa	4.8	5.0	4.3	71.8	72.5	69.6
Western Africa	0.1	0.1	0.1	31.3	33.4	33.2
Nigeria	-	0.1	0.1	19.3	19.6	19.8
Central Africa	-	-	-	2.5	2.5	2.6
Eastern Africa	2.0	2.0	1.6	18.5	21.9	18.0
Ethiopia	1.5	1.4	1.1	7.8	7.4	5.6
Sudan	0.3	0.2	0.2	3.0	5.1	3.5
Southern Africa	2.7	2.9	2.6	19.4	14.7	15.8
Madagascar	-	-	-	0.2	0.2	0.2
South Africa	2.4	2.5	2.3	11.1	7.9	10.5
Zimbabwe	0.3	0.3	0.2	2.2	1.6	0.6
CENTRAL AMERICA	3.5	3.3	3.2	27.6	30.7	27.7
Mexico	3.5	3.3	3.2	23.9	27.1	23.9
SOUTH AMERICA	20.0	21.2	18.3	63.5	70.9	64.5
Argentina	16.0	15.3	12.5	21.7	19.6	18.7
Brazil	1.7	3.3	2.9	33.1	43.0	37.0
Colombia	-	-	-	1.4	1.4	1.4
NORTH AMERICA	87.3	73.8	59.7	297.6	285.1	264.9
Canada	26.5	20.6	15.7	24.2	22.7	19.8
United States	60.8	53.3	44.0	273.4	262.4	245.2
EUROPE	183.7	200.8	210.2	198.7	223.6	220.3
Bulgaria	2.8	3.1	3.5	1.5	1.9	2.5
EU	105.4	92.1	104.1	108.7	108.0	106.7
Hungary	3.7	5.2	3.9	6.3	9.9	7.8
Poland	8.5	9.3	9.3	13.8	17.0	16.7
Romania	4.4	7.8	4.4	6.0	10.3	9.8
Russian Fed.	34.4	47.0	50.6	29.3	35.7	34.1
Ukraine	11.0	21.3	20.5	13.8	17.1	17.4
OCEANIA	22.4	25.2	9.7	11.8	13.3	7.7
Australia	22.1	24.9	9.4	11.2	12.8	7.0
WORLD	586.2	586.9	571.0	875.3	915.8	875.6
Developing countries	272.8	261.7	264.0	352.5	380.7	366.8
Developed countries	313.4	325.1	307.0	522.8	535.0	508.8

Source: FAO Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

1/ Including Taiwan Province.

Table A.1 b) - WORLD CEREAL PRODUCTION

	Rice (paddy)			Total Cereals 1 /
	2000	2001	2002 estim.	2000	2001	2002 estim.
	(million tonnes)
ASIA	545.3	545.7	524.7	995.8	1000.1	989.4
Bangladesh	37.6	37.8	39.5	39.4	39.5	41.3
China 2/	189.8	179.3	176.5	406.6	398.4	402.3
India	127.3	139.6	116.6	235.3	243.1	213.5
Indonesia	51.9	50.5	51.4	61.6	59.8	60.9
Iran, Islamic Rep. of	2.0	2.0	2.7	12.9	14.9	19.6
Japan	11.9	11.3	11.1	12.8	12.3	12.1
Kazakhstan	0.2	0.2	0.2	11.4	15.9	15.9
Korea, D. P. R.	1.7	2.1	2.2	2.9	3.8	4.1
Korea, Rep. of	7.2	7.5	6.7	7.5	7.9	7.0
Myanmar	21.3	21.9	21.9	22.0	22.7	22.8
Pakistan	7.2	5.8	6.6	31.4	26.9	28.0
Philippines	12.5	13.1	13.2	17.0	17.6	17.5
Saudi Arabia	-	-	-	2.1	2.1	2.1
Thailand	25.8	26.5	25.9	30.7	31.2	30.1
Turkey	0.4	0.4	0.4	32.2	29.1	31.2
Viet Nam	32.5	32.0	34.1	34.6	34.1	36.3
AFRICA	17.4	17.3	18.0	112.3	117.7	113.7
North Africa	6.0	5.3	6.1	24.3	28.2	27.9
Egypt	6.0	5.2	6.0	20.1	19.3	20.3
Morocco	-	-	-	2.0	4.6	5.3
Sub-Saharan Africa	11.4	12.1	11.9	88.0	89.5	85.8
Western Africa	7.2	7.7	7.5	38.6	41.1	40.8
Nigeria	3.3	3.4	3.5	22.7	23.0	23.4
Central Africa	0.4	0.4	0.4	3.0	3.0	3.0
Eastern Africa	1.0	1.0	1.0	21.5	24.9	20.7
Ethiopia	-	-	-	9.3	8.8	6.7
Sudan	-	-	-	3.3	5.4	3.8
Southern Africa	2.7	2.9	3.0	24.9	20.5	21.4
Madagascar	2.5	2.7	2.7	2.6	2.8	2.9
South Africa	-	-	-	13.5	10.4	12.8
Zimbabwe	-	-	-	2.5	1.9	0.7
CENTRAL AMERICA	2.5	2.3	2.3	33.6	36.2	33.2
Mexico	0.4	0.2	0.2	27.8	30.6	27.3
SOUTH AMERICA	21.0	20.1	19.6	104.5	112.2	102.4
Argentina	0.9	0.9	0.7	38.5	35.7	31.9
Brazil	11.4	10.4	10.7	46.2	56.7	50.6
Colombia	2.3	2.3	2.4	3.7	3.7	3.8
NORTH AMERICA	8.7	9.8	9.6	393.5	368.7	334.2
Canada	-	-	-	50.7	43.3	35.4
United States	8.7	9.8	9.6	342.8	325.4	298.7
EUROPE	3.2	3.2	3.2	385.7	427.6	433.7
Bulgaria	-	-	-	4.3	5.0	6.0
EU	2.5	2.6	2.6	216.6	202.7	213.4
Hungary	-	-	-	10.0	15.1	11.7
Poland	-	-	-	22.3	26.3	26.0
Romania	-	-	-	10.5	18.1	14.2
Russian Fed.	0.6	0.5	0.5	64.3	83.2	85.2
Ukraine	0.1	0.1	0.1	24.9	38.5	37.9
OCEANIA	1.1	1.8	1.3	35.3	40.3	18.8
Australia	1.1	1.8	1.3	34.4	39.4	17.7
WORLD	599.2	600.1	578.7	2 060.7	2 102.7	2 025.3
Developing countries	573.9	573.7	553.1	1 199.2	1 216.2	1 183.9
Developed countries	25.3	26.4	25.6	861.5	886.5	841.4

Source: FAO Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

1/ Rice is included in the cereal total in paddy terms. 2/ Including Taiwan Province

Table A.2 a) - WORLD IMPORTS OF CEREALS

	Wheat (July/June) 1 /			Coarse Grains (July/June)
	2000/01	2001/02 estim.	2002/03 f'cast	2000/01	2001/02 estim.	2002/03 f'cast
	(million tonnes)
ASIA	44.1	47.1	44.2	58.8	57.4	56.2
Bangladesh	1.0	1.7	1.7	0.2	0.1	0.1
China	1.5	2.0	1.6	7.1	7.7	7.6
Taiwan Province	1.0	1.0	1.1	4.8	5.3	5.0
Georgia	0.7	0.5	0.6	-	-	-
India	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3
Indonesia	4.1	4.0	4.0	1.6	1.1	1.3
Iran, Islamic Rep. of	6.5	5.9	3.3	2.5	2.0	1.7
Iraq	3.2	3.0	3.0	0.3	0.1	0.1
Israel	1.3	1.5	1.5	1.4	1.2	1.1
Japan	5.7	5.7	5.9	20.4	19.9	19.9
Korea, D. P. R.	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.8	0.5	0.4
Korea, Rep. of	3.1	4.0	3.8	8.9	8.6	8.8
Malaysia	1.3	1.3	1.4	2.7	2.4	2.4
Pakistan	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.1
Philippines	3.0	3.1	3.4	0.4	0.4	0.4
Saudi Arabia	-	0.1	0.1	6.2	7.0	6.6
Singapore	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.2
Sri Lanka	0.8	0.9	0.9	0.1	0.2	0.1
Syria	0.1	0.3	0.1	1.6	0.9	0.5
Thailand	0.8	0.8	0.8	-	0.3	0.4
Yemen	1.9	2.0	2.0	0.2	0.3	0.2
AFRICA	25.8	24.9	26.3	14.4	15.1	18.0
North Africa	16.8	16.6	17.2	10.4	11.3	11.3
Algeria	4.6	4.4	4.8	2.1	2.1	2.2
Egypt	5.7	6.8	6.3	4.9	5.5	5.5
Morocco	3.3	3.0	2.9	1.5	1.7	1.5
Tunisia	1.6	1.3	1.8	1.1	1.5	1.4
Sub-Saharan Africa	9.0	8.3	9.1	4.0	3.8	6.7
Côte d'Ivoire	0.3	0.3	0.3	-	-	-
Ethiopia	0.8	0.3	1.2	0.1	-	0.4
Kenya	0.6	0.5	0.6	1.1	0.5	0.9
Nigeria	1.6	1.7	1.7	0.1	0.1	0.1
Senegal	0.3	0.3	0.3	-	0.1	-
Sudan	0.8	1.1	1.3	0.1	0.1	0.1
South Africa	0.7	0.5	0.4	0.5	0.7	0.7
CENTRAL AMERICA	6.9	6.6	6.9	14.7	12.9	13.8
Cuba	0.9	1.0	1.0	0.1	0.2	0.3
Dominican Rep.	0.5	0.3	0.3	1.1	0.7	0.7
Mexico	3.2	3.0	3.2	11.2	9.6	10.4
SOUTH AMERICA	12.7	11.8	11.6	7.5	6.2	6.4
Brazil	7.4	6.8	6.8	1.8	0.6	0.7
Chile	0.4	0.3	0.3	1.3	1.2	1.1
Colombia	1.2	1.2	1.1	1.9	2.3	2.3
Peru	1.4	1.3	1.3	0.9	1.1	1.1
Venezuela	1.3	1.3	1.2	1.1	0.6	0.7
NORTH AMERICA	2.5	2.9	2.0	5.0	6.5	6.7
Canada	0.1	0.1	0.2	2.6	3.9	4.5
United States	2.4	2.9	1.8	2.4	2.6	2.2
EUROPE	9.6	13.3	14.3	8.1	7.4	6.7
Belarus	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.3	0.2
EU 2/	3.2	10.0	10.8	2.7	3.8	3.2
Poland	0.8	0.3	0.3	1.2	0.3	0.3
Romania	0.5	-	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.1
Russian Fed.	1.6	0.5	0.4	0.8	0.8	0.9
Ukraine	0.8	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1
OCEANIA	0.5	0.4	0.7	0.1	0.1	0.2
New Zealand	0.2	0.2	0.2	-	-	-
WORLD	102.1	107.1	106.0	108.5	105.6	108.0
Developing countries	79.0	80.1	78.9	73.0	69.7	72.7
Developed countries	23.1	26.9	27.1	35.5	35.9	35.4

Source: FAO Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

1/ Including wheat flour in wheat grain equivalent, but excluding semolina.

2/ Excluding trade between the EU member countries.

Table A.2 b) - WORLD IMPORTS OF CEREALS

	Rice (milled)			Total Cereals 1 /
	2001	2002 estim.	2003 f'cast	2000/01	2001/02 estim.	2002/03 f'cast
	(million tonnes)
ASIA	11.3	14.3	13.6	114.1	118.7	113.9
Bangladesh	0.4	0.5	0.6	1.6	2.3	2.4
China	0.3	0.4	0.4	8.8	10.0	9.5
Taiwan Province	-	0.1	0.2	5.9	6.5	6.2
Georgia	-	-	-	0.7	0.5	0.6
India	-	-	-	0.3	0.2	0.4
Indonesia	1.5	3.5	3.4	7.1	8.6	8.7
Iran, Islamic Rep. of	0.8	1.0	0.7	9.8	8.9	5.7
Iraq	1.2	1.2	1.0	4.7	4.3	4.1
Israel	0.1	0.1	0.1	2.8	2.8	2.7
Japan	0.6	0.7	0.7	26.7	26.3	26.5
Korea, D. P. R.	0.7	0.7	0.7	2.0	1.8	1.8
Korea, Rep. of	0.1	0.2	0.2	12.1	12.8	12.8
Malaysia	0.6	0.6	0.5	4.6	4.3	4.3
Pakistan	-	-	-	0.1	0.5	0.6
Philippines	1.0	1.2	1.0	4.5	4.7	4.8
Saudi Arabia	0.8	0.9	1.0	7.1	7.9	7.7
Singapore	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.9	1.0	1.0
Sri Lanka	0.1	0.1	0.1	1.0	1.1	1.1
Syria	0.2	0.2	0.2	1.8	1.4	0.8
Thailand	-	-	-	0.8	1.1	1.2
Yemen	0.2	0.3	0.3	2.4	2.5	2.5
AFRICA	7.4	8.2	7.7	47.6	48.2	52.0
North Africa	0.2	0.2	0.3	27.5	28.1	28.7
Algeria	-	0.1	0.1	6.7	6.5	7.1
Egypt	-	-	-	10.6	12.3	11.8
Morocco	-	-	-	4.8	4.7	4.4
Tunisia	-	-	-	2.7	2.7	3.2
Sub-Saharan Africa	7.2	7.9	7.4	20.1	20.0	23.2
Côte d'Ivoire	1.1	1.0	0.9	1.4	1.3	1.2
Ethiopia	-	-	-	0.9	0.4	1.6
Kenya	0.1	0.2	0.2	1.9	1.3	1.7
Nigeria	1.6	1.8	1.7	3.3	3.6	3.5
Senegal	0.7	0.7	0.7	1.0	1.0	0.9
Sudan	-	-	-	1.0	1.3	1.4
South Africa	0.5	0.6	0.6	1.8	1.8	1.7
CENTRAL AMERICA	1.6	1.9	2.0	23.2	21.5	22.7
Cuba	0.5	0.6	0.6	1.5	1.7	1.8
Dominican Rep.	-	-	-	1.6	1.0	1.0
Mexico	0.5	0.5	0.6	14.8	13.2	14.2
SOUTH AMERICA	1.0	0.8	0.9	21.3	18.8	18.9
Brazil	0.7	0.6	0.6	9.9	8.0	8.0
Chile	0.1	0.1	0.1	1.8	1.5	1.5
Colombia	0.2	0.1	0.1	3.2	3.6	3.5
Peru	0.1	-	-	2.4	2.4	2.4
Venezuela	-	-	0.1	2.5	1.9	2.0
NORTH AMERICA	0.7	0.7	0.7	8.2	10.1	9.4
Canada	0.3	0.3	0.3	3.0	4.2	5.0
United States	0.4	0.4	0.4	5.2	5.9	4.4
EUROPE	1.6	1.8	1.6	19.3	22.5	22.7
Belarus	-	-	-	0.7	0.8	0.7
EU 2/	0.7	0.7	0.7	6.6	14.5	14.7
Poland	0.1	0.1	0.1	2.1	0.7	0.7
Romania	0.1	0.1	0.1	1.1	0.3	0.5
Russian Fed.	0.3	0.5	0.4	2.7	1.7	1.7
Ukraine	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.9	0.3	0.4
OCEANIA	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.9	0.9	1.3
New Zealand	-	-	-	0.3	0.2	0.2
WORLD	24.1	28.1	26.8 3/	234.7	240.7	240.9
Developing countries	20.2	23.9	22.8	172.2	173.7	174.3
Developed countries	3.9	4.2	4.0	62.5	67.1	66.5

Source: FAO Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

1/ Trade in rice refers to the calendar year of the second year shown.

2/ Excluding trade between the EU member countries.

3/ Highly tentative.

Table A.3 a) - WORLD EXPORTS OF CEREALS

	Wheat (July/June) 1 /			Coarse Grains (July/June)
	2000/01	2001/02 estim.	2002/03 f'cast	2000/01	2001/02 estim.	2002/03 f'cast
	(million tonnes)
ASIA	10.1	11.6	15.1	11.6	8.2	14.0
China 2/	0.6	0.9	1.0	10.0	6.4	12.0
India	2.4	3.5	5.0	-	-	-
Indonesia	-	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.1
Japan	0.4	0.4	0.4	-	-	-
Kazakhstan	3.7	3.8	5.0	0.4	0.4	0.4
Myanmar	-	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.2
Pakistan	0.3	0.6	1.0	-	-	-
Syria	0.1	0.5	0.5	-	-	-
Thailand	-	-	-	0.3	0.2	0.1
Turkey	1.6	0.6	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.7
Viet Nam	-	-	-	-	-	-
AFRICA	0.4	0.4	0.5	2.9	2.4	2.1
Egypt	-	-	-	-	-	-
Ethiopia	-	-	-	0.2	0.2	-
Nigeria	-	-	-	0.2	0.1	0.1
South Africa	0.1	0.1	0.3	1.6	1.4	1.3
Sudan	-	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.1
Uganda	-	-	-	0.3	0.3	0.1
CENTRAL AMERICA	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.3	0.2	0.3
SOUTH AMERICA	10.8	11.0	7.6	15.5	15.0	12.2
Argentina	10.7	11.0	7.5	12.8	9.6	10.0
Brazil	-	-	-	2.3	5.0	2.0
Paraguay	-	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2
Uruguay	0.1	-	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1
NORTH AMERICA	44.6	42.1	35.5	58.9	59.5	57.4
Canada	16.8	16.0	9.7	3.8	3.0	2.3
United States	27.8	26.1	25.9	55.0	56.5	55.0
EUROPE	17.6	26.8	38.2	14.1	16.4	20.0
Bulgaria	0.5	0.8	1.0	0.3	0.3	0.7
Czech Rep.	0.4	0.8	0.5	-	0.3	0.3
EU 3/	14.5	11.4	15.8	10.6	5.4	8.6
Hungary	0.9	2.1	0.7	0.8	3.1	1.5
Romania	0.1	0.8	0.6	0.1	0.6	0.6
Russian Fed.	0.7	4.5	10.0	0.5	2.6	3.0
Ukraine	0.1	5.5	8.0	1.6	3.5	4.2
OCEANIA	16.5	16.0	8.5	4.4	4.9	2.1
Australia	16.5	16.0	8.5	4.4	4.8	2.0
WORLD	100.7	108.6	106.0	107.8	106.6	108.0
Developing countries	17.8	19.3	18.1	28.4	24.0	26.8
Developed countries	82.9	89.3	87.9	79.4	82.6	81.2

Source: FAO

Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

1/ Including wheat flour in wheat grain equivalent, but excluding semolina.

2/ Including Taiwan Province.

3/ Excluding trade between the EU member countries.

Table A.3 b) - WORLD EXPORTS OF CEREALS

	Rice (milled)			Total Cereals 1 /
	2001	2002 estim.	2003 f'cast	2000/01	2001/02 estim.	2002/03 f'cast
	(million tonnes)
ASIA	18.5	22.5	21.0	40.1	42.3	50.0
China 2/	2.0	2.1	2.1	12.6	9.4	15.1
India	1.9	6.6	4.5	4.3	10.1	9.5
Indonesia	-	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.1
Japan	0.6	0.6	0.5	1.0	1.0	0.9
Kazakhstan	-	-	-	4.0	4.2	5.4
Myanmar	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.8	0.8	0.9
Pakistan	2.3	1.6	1.7	2.5	2.2	2.7
Syria	-	-	-	0.1	0.5	0.5
Thailand	7.5	7.2	7.5	7.8	7.4	7.6
Turkey	-	-	-	1.7	1.2	1.7
Viet Nam	3.5	3.2	3.9	3.5	3.3	3.9
AFRICA	0.7	0.4	0.6	4.1	3.2	3.2
Egypt	0.7	0.4	0.6	0.7	0.4	0.6
Ethiopia	-	-	-	0.2	0.2	-
Nigeria	-	-	-	0.2	0.1	0.1
South Africa	-	-	-	1.7	1.5	1.6
Sudan	-	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.1
Uganda	-	-	-	0.3	0.3	0.1
CENTRAL AMERICA	-	-	-	1.1	1.0	1.0
SOUTH AMERICA	1.5	1.2	1.4	27.8	27.2	21.2
Argentina	0.4	0.2	0.3	23.9	20.7	17.8
Brazil	-	-	-	2.3	5.0	2.0
Paraguay	-	-	-	0.2	0.4	0.2
Uruguay	0.8	0.6	0.7	1.0	0.7	0.8
NORTH AMERICA	2.5	3.3	3.4	106.0	104.9	96.3
Canada	-	-	-	20.6	19.0	12.0
United States	2.5	3.3	3.4	85.4	85.9	84.3
EUROPE	0.2	0.3	0.3	31.9	43.4	58.5
Bulgaria	-	-	-	0.8	1.1	1.7
Czech Rep.	-	-	-	0.5	1.1	0.8
EU 3/	0.2	0.3	0.3	25.3	17.0	24.7
Hungary	-	-	-	1.7	5.2	2.2
Romania	-	-	-	0.2	1.4	1.2
Russian Fed.	-	-	-	1.3	7.0	13.0
Ukraine	-	-	-	1.7	9.0	12.2
OCEANIA	0.6	0.4	0.2	21.6	21.3	10.8
Australia	0.6	0.4	0.2	21.6	21.2	10.7
WORLD	24.1	28.1	26.8 4/	232.6	243.3	240.9
Developing countries	20.2	23.6	22.5	66.3	66.9	67.4
Developed countries	4.0	4.5	4.4	166.3	176.4	173.5

Source: FAO

Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

1/ Trade in rice refers to the calendar year of the second year shown.

2/ Including Taiwan Province.

3/ Excluding trade between the EU member countries.

4/ Highly tentative.

Table A.4 – CEREALS: Supply and Utilization in Main Exporting Countries (National Crop Years)

	Wheat 1/			Coarse Grains 2/			Rice (milled basis)
	2000/01	2001/02 estim.	2002/03 f'cast	2000/01	2001/02 estim.	2002/03 f'cast	2000/01	2001/02 estim.	2002/03 f'cast
	(million tonnes)
	UNITED STATES (June/May)			UNITED STATES			UNITED STATES (Aug./July)
Opening stocks	25.9	23.8	21.1	48.9	52.7	45.1	0.9	0.9	1.2
Production	60.8	53.3	44.0	273.4	262.3	245.4	5.9	6.7	6.6
Imports	2.4	2.9	1.8	2.4	2.3	2.4	0.3	0.4	0.4
Total Supply	89.1	80.0	66.9	324.7	317.3	292.8	7.1	8.0	8.2
Domestic use	36.4	32.7	29.9	215.3	217.5	211.3	3.7	3.9	3.9
Exports	28.9	26.2	25.0	56.6	54.7	53.1	2.6	2.9	3.3
Closing stocks	23.8	21.1	12.0	52.7	45.1	28.5	0.9	1.2	1.0
	CANADA (August/July)			CANADA			THAILAND (Nov./Oct.) 3/
Opening stocks	7.7	9.7	6.5	5.8	4.4	3.6	1.7	1.8	2.5
Production	26.5	20.6	15.7	24.2	22.7	19.8	17.1	17.6	17.2
Imports	0.1	0.1	0.2	2.9	4.1	4.4	0.0	0.0	0.0
Total Supply	34.3	30.3	22.5	32.9	31.2	27.7	18.8	19.4	19.7
Domestic use	7.6	7.6	8.3	23.9	24.2	22.2	9.4	9.6	9.7
Exports	17.1	16.2	9.7	4.6	3.4	2.4	7.5	7.2	7.5
Closing stocks	9.7	6.5	4.5	4.4	3.6	3.1	1.8	2.5	2.5
	ARGENTINA (Dec./Nov.)			ARGENTINA			CHINA (Jan./Dec.) 3/ 4/
Opening stocks	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.8	1.2	1.2	113.0	106.5	92.9
Production	16.0	15.3	12.5	21.7	19.6	18.5	130.1	122.9	121.0
Imports	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	0.4
Total Supply	16.5	15.8	13.2	22.6	20.9	19.8	243.4	229.8	214.3
Domestic use	4.8	4.9	4.9	8.4	9.4	8.9	134.9	134.8	134.0
Exports	11.2	10.3	7.7	13.0	10.2	9.8	2.0	2.1	2.1
Closing stocks	0.6	0.7	0.6	1.2	1.2	1.0	106.5	92.9	78.2
	AUSTRALIA (Oct./Sept.)			AUSTRALIA			PAKISTAN (Nov./Oct.) 3/
Opening stocks	3.3	3.8	5.7	0.7	1.2	2.3	1.1	0.9	0.5
Production	22.1	24.9	9.4	11.2	12.8	7.0	4.8	3.9	4.4
Imports	0.0	0.0	0.4	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
Total Supply	25.5	28.6	15.4	12.0	14.0	9.4	5.9	4.8