FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1 - May 2003 p.13
Following unfavourable weather and armed conflicts that disrupted economic activities, aggregate 2002 cereal production is estimated at some 137 000 tonnes (including rice in paddy terms), which is 7 percent lower than average. Cereal import requirement in 2003 is forecast at 38 000 tonnes, mostly wheat. While cereal deficits used to be mainly covered by commercial imports, more external food assistance may be needed this year due to the impact of the conflict.
| CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2003 MARKETING YEAR (January/December) | ||||
| Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
| [ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
| Previous year production | - | 25 | 125 | 150 |
| Previous five years average production | - | 21 | 127 | 148 |
| Previous year imports | 30 | 4 | 3 | 37 |
| Previous five years average imports | 32 | 3 | 3 | 38 |
| 2003 Domestic Availability | 5 | 14 | 117 | 136 |
| 2002 Production (rice in paddy terms) | - | 20 | 117 | 137 |
| 2002 Production (rice in milled terms) | - | 13 | 117 | 130 |
| Possible stock drawdown | 5 | 1 | - | 6 |
| 2003 Utilization | 35 | 19 | 120 | 174 |
| Food use | 34 | 16 | 102 | 152 |
| Non-food use | 1 | 2 | 18 | 22 |
| Exports or re-exports | - | - | - | - |
| Possible stock build up | - | - | - | - |
| 2003 Import Requirement | 30 | 5 | 3 | 38 |
| Anticipated commercial imports | 30 | 5 | 2 | 37 |
| of which: received or contracted | - | - | - | - |
| Food aid needs | - | - | 1 | 1 |
| Current Aid Position | ||||
| Food aid pledges | - | - | 1 | 1 |
| of which: delivered | - | - | 1 | 1 |
| Donor-financed purchases | - | - | - | - |
| of which: for local use | - | - | - | - |
| for export | - | - | - | - |
| Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 9 | 4 | 27 | 40 |
| Indexes | [ | percentage | ] | |
| 2002 Prod. compared to average (rice paddy terms): | - | 95 | 92 | 93 |
| 2003 Import requirement compared to average: | 94 | 167 | 100 | 100 |
| Cereal share of total calorie intake: | 22 | |||
| Additional Information | ||||
| Major foodcrops: | roots; tubers; tree nuts; coarse grains; fruit | |||
| Lean season: | May-July | |||
| Population (000s): | 3 817 | |||
| GNP per capita in 2001 (US$): | 270 | |||