FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1 - May 2003 p.48
The 2003 cereal production is expected to recover from the reduced levels of the previous two years. However, domestic availability of coarse grains will be insufficient to cover consumption requirements. Imports of 40 000 tonnes, mostly on commercial basis, will be required, as well as 44 000 tonnes of wheat. Food aid will be needed in the Lowveld where the harvest is expected to be very poor.
| CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2003/04 MARKETING YEAR (May/April) | ||||
| Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
| [ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
| Previous year production | - | - | 70 | 70 |
| Previous five years average production | - | - | 100 | 100 |
| Previous year imports | 44 | 8 | 53 | 105 |
| Previous five years average imports | 41 | 8 | 36 | 85 |
| 2003/04 Domestic Availability | - | - | 106 | 106 |
| 2003 Production (rice in paddy terms) | - | - | 106 | 106 |
| 2003 Production (rice in milled terms) | - | - | 106 | 106 |
| Possible stock drawdown | - | - | - | - |
| 2003/04 Utilization | 44 | 8 | 146 | 198 |
| Food use | 44 | 8 | 139 | 191 |
| Non-food use | - | - | 4 | 4 |
| Exports or re-exports | - | - | - | - |
| Possible stock build up | - | - | 3 | 3 |
| 2003/04 Import Requirement | 44 | 8 | 40 | 92 |
| Anticipated commercial imports | 44 | 8 | 35 | 87 |
| of which: received or contracted | - | - | - | - |
| Food aid needs | - | - | 5 | 5 |
| Current Aid Position | ||||
| Food aid pledges | - | - | - | - |
| of which: delivered | - | - | - | - |
| Donor-financed purchases | - | - | - | - |
| of which: for local use | - | - | - | - |
| for export | - | - | - | - |
| Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 40 | 7 | 127 | 174 |
| Indexes | [ | percentage | ] | |
| 2003 Prod. compared to average (rice paddy terms): | - | - | 106 | 106 |
| 2003/04 Import requirement compared to average: | 107 | 100 | 111 | 108 |
| Cereal share of total calorie intake: | 44 | |||
| Additional Information | ||||
| Major foodcrops: | maize | |||
| Lean season: | February-April | |||
| Population (000s): | 1 095 | |||
| GNP per capita in 2001 (US$): | 1 300 | |||