FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - June 2004 p.24
Cereal output in 2003 declined for the second consecutive year. Aggregate cereal production was estimated by a joint FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission at 1.46 million tonnes, lower than both the 2002 level and the average of the previous five years. Total cereal import requirements in 2004 were estimated by the mission at about 1.4 million tonnes, virtually unchanged from last year, of which about 1.2 million tonnes would be obtained on commercial terms, leaving about 185 000 tonnes to be met through external assistance.
| CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2004 MARKETING YEAR (January/December) | ||||
| Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
| [ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
| Previous year production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 976 | 698 | 1 674 |
| Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 996 | 740 | 1 736 |
| Previous year imports | 270 | 1 101 | 10 | 1 381 |
| Previous five years average imports | 302 | 946 | 11 | 1 259 |
| 2004 Domestic Availability | - | 508 | 628 | 1 137 |
| 2003 Production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 847 | 613 | 1 460 |
| 2003 Production (incl. milled rice) | - | 508 | 613 | 1 122 |
| Possible stock drawdown | - | - | 15 | 15 |
| 2004 Utilization | 316 | 1 424 | 788 | 2 528 |
| Food use | 311 | 1 296 | 630 | 2 238 |
| Non-food use | 5 | 128 | 153 | 286 |
| Exports or re-exports | - | - | 5 | 5 |
| Possible stock build up | - | - | - | - |
| 2004 Import Requirement | 316 | 915 | 160 | 1 392 |
| Anticipated commercial imports | 300 | 900 | 7 | 1 207 |
| of which: received or contracted | 12 | 313 | - | 325 |
| Food aid needs | 16 | 15 | 153 | 185 |
| Current Aid Position | ||||
| Food aid pledges | - | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| of which: delivered | - | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Donor-financed purchases | - | 1 | - | 1 |
| of which: for local use | - | 1 | - | 1 |
| for export | - | - | - | - |
| Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 18 | 75 | 36 | 129 |
| Indexes | [ | percentage | ] | |
| 2003 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice) | - | 85 | 83 | 84 |
| 2004 Import requirement compared to average | 105 | 97 | 1 455 | 111 |
| Cereal share of total calorie intake | 41 | |||
| Additional Information | ||||
| Major foodcrops | roots; tubers; fruit; rice; maize | |||
| Lean season | April-July | |||
| Population (000s) | 17 300 | |||
| GNI per capita in 2002 (US$) | 620 | |||