FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - June 2004 p.37
The 2004 main paddy crop is estimated at 2.65 million tonnes, 5 percent below last year’s level. The coarse grain crop, mainly produced in southern parts, is estimated to improve by 9 percent compared to last year’s drought-affected crop. Cereal imports and food aid needs are forecast in the 2004/05 marketing year at 412 000 tonnes.
| CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2004/05 MARKETING YEAR (April/March) | ||||
| Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
| [ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
| Previous year production (incl. paddy rice) | 10 | 2 800 | 155 | 2 965 |
| Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice) | 10 | 2 601 | 173 | 2 784 |
| Previous year imports | 106 | 240 | 24 | 369 |
| Previous five years average imports | 100 | 231 | 18 | 349 |
| 2004/05 Domestic Availability | 10 | 1 817 | 170 | 1 997 |
| 2004 Production (incl. paddy rice) | 10 | 2 650 | 170 | 2 830 |
| 2004 Production (incl. milled rice) | 10 | 1 802 | 170 | 1 982 |
| Possible stock drawdown | - | 15 | - | 15 |
| 2004/05 Utilization | 140 | 2 069 | 200 | 2 409 |
| Food use | 140 | 1 954 | 179 | 2 273 |
| Non-food use | - | 115 | 21 | 136 |
| Exports or re-exports | - | - | - | - |
| Possible stock build up | - | - | - | - |
| 2004/05 Import Requirement | 130 | 252 | 30 | 412 |
| Anticipated commercial imports | 80 | 237 | 10 | 327 |
| of which: received or contracted | - | - | - | - |
| Food aid needs | 50 | 15 | 20 | 85 |
| Current Aid Position | ||||
| Food aid pledges | - | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| of which: delivered | - | - | - | - |
| Donor-financed purchases | - | - | - | - |
| of which: for local use | - | - | - | - |
| for export | - | - | - | - |
| Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 8 | 110 | 10 | 128 |
| Indexes | [ | percentage | ] | |
| 2004 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice) | 100 | 102 | 98 | 102 |
| 2004/05 Import requirement compared to average | 130 | 109 | 167 | 118 |
| Cereal share of total calorie intake | 53 | |||
| Additional Information | ||||
| Major foodcrops | rice; roots; tubers; maize; fruit | |||
| Lean season | February-March | |||
| Population (000s) | 17 788 | |||
| GNI per capita in 2002 (US$) | 230 | |||