FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - June 2004 p.52

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  SOUTH AFRICA

Latest official estimates of the main maize crop in 2004 have been revised slightly upwards to 8.14 million tonnes, and those of sorghum slightly upwardsto271 000tonnes. In aggregate, the coarse grain crop is below average, 16 percent lower than in 2002. However, export availability is reduced to about 1.2 million tonnes.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2003/04 MARKETING YEAR (May/April)
 WheatRiceCoarse GrainsTotal Cereals
 [thousand tonnes]
Previous year production1 540310 17811 721
Previous five years average production2 08639 59011 679
Previous year imports1 1007807812 661
Previous five years average imports7345908162 140
2004/05 Domestic Availability2 20029 11911 321
2004 Production (rice in paddy terms)2 20038 62910 832
2004 Production (rice in milled terms)2 20028 62910 831
Possible stock drawdown--490490
2004/05 Utilization3 05075210 05013 852
Food use2 5506974 5657 812
Non-food use200554 4854 740
Exports or re-exports200-1 0001 200
Possible stock build up100--100
2004/05 Import Requirement8507509312 531
Anticipated commercial imports8507509312 531
of which: received or contracted--8383
Food aid needs----
Current Aid Position    
Food aid pledges----
of which: delivered----
Donor-financed purchases----
of which: for local use----
for export----
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)5615101173
Indexes[percentage]
2004 production compared to average (rice paddy terms)1051009093
2004/05 Import requirement compared to average116127114118
Cereal share of total calorie intake   54
Additional Information    
Major foodcropsmaize, wheat
Lean seasonFebruary-April
Population (000s)45 295   
GNI per capita in 2002 (US$)2 500   

FAO/GIEWS - June 2004

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