FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - June 2004 p.59
An FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission in April estimated the 2004 cereal production at 975 000 tonnes, including forecast for the winter wheat and barley crops. At this level, production is 3.5 percent below last year and well below average. Consequently, cereal import requirement for 2004/05 are increased to 1.29 million tonnes, of which maize accounts for 77 percent. Given the current tight foreign exchange position, about 910 000 tonnes are anticipated to be imported commercially.
| CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2004/05 MARKETING YEAR (April/March) | ||||
| Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
| [ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
| Previous year production (incl. paddy rice) | 90 | 5 | 917 | 1 011 |
| Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice) | 230 | 1 | 1 396 | 1 627 |
| Previous year imports | 33 | 9 | 813 | 855 |
| Previous five years average imports | 109 | 19 | 479 | 607 |
| 2004/05 Domestic Availability | 80 | 2 | 893 | 975 |
| 2004 Production (incl. paddy rice) | 80 | 3 | 893 | 976 |
| 2004 Production (incl. milled rice) | 80 | 2 | 893 | 975 |
| Possible stock drawdown | - | - | - | - |
| 2004/05 Utilization | 356 | 11 | 1 898 | 2 265 |
| Food use | 345 | 11 | 1 584 | 1 940 |
| Non-food use | 11 | - | 269 | 280 |
| Exports or re-exports | - | - | - | - |
| Possible stock build up | - | - | 45 | 45 |
| 2004/05 Import Requirement | 276 | 9 | 1 005 | 1 290 |
| Anticipated commercial imports | 276 | 9 | 629 | 914 |
| of which: received or contracted | 10 | - | 50 | 60 |
| Food aid needs | - | - | 376 | 376 |
| Current Aid Position | ||||
| Food aid pledges | - | - | 85 | 85 |
| of which: delivered | - | - | 58 | 58 |
| Donor-financed purchases | - | - | 2 | 2 |
| of which: for local use | - | - | 2 | 2 |
| for export | - | - | - | - |
| Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 29 | 1 | 133 | 163 |
| Indexes | [ | Percentage | ] | |
| 2004 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice) | 35 | 300 | 64 | 60 |
| 2004/05 Import requirement compared to average | 253 | 47 | 210 | 213 |
| Cereal share of total calorie intake | 58 | |||
| Additional Information | ||||
| Major foodcrops | maize; wheat; millet; sorghum | |||
| Lean season | February-April | |||
| Population (000s) | 11 900 | |||
| GNI per capita in 2002 (US$) | n.a. | |||