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Table 21. Egypt. ECM models with dummy variables for positive residuals of the static model (monthly data)


Dependent variable

Regressors

sample: Aug 1989 - May 2001

dEGWHWS

=

dEGWHWS6

dEGWHWS8

dEGWHWS9

dWRDWH

ecm(-1)



-0.14

0.15

0.16

0.20

-0.24



-2.85

2.82

3.08

6.42

-4.00

sample: Jan 1969 - Jul 1989

dEGBMWS

=

dWRBMRP

dDBM

ecm(-1)





-0.15

0.10

-0.23





-5.30

9.54

-5.95



sample: Jan 1969 - May 2001

dEGSHRT

=

dEGSHRT2

dEGSHWS

dDSH

dDSHR1

ecm(-1)



0.05

0.87

0.07

-0.01

-0.50



2.07

34.94

16.38

-2.24

-11.44

see Table 1 for variables' names

Bold = significantly different from zero at 5 percent or less

* figures reported are the ADF coefficients and t values for the level of the residual of the static regression between the two variables reported on the left. This corresponds to the Engle and Granger (1987) test for cointegration


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