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Table 35. Turkey. Tests for Granger causality (monthly data)


Dependent variable

Regressors

Dependent variable

Regressors

sample: Jan 1982 - May 2001

TKWHWS

TKWHWS(-1)

WRWHRP(-6)


TKWHRP

WRWHRP(-1)

WRWHRP(-2)



0.98

0.30



1.28

-0.39


sample: Jan 1982 - May 2001

TKWHPR

TKWHPR(-1)



TKWHRP

TKWHRP(-1)

WRWHRP(-2)



0.89




1.28

-0.37



12.11




17.29

-3.09


sample: Jan 1982 - May 2001

TKMZPR

TKMZPR(-1)



TKMZRP

WRMZRP(-1)




0.92




0.95




28.27




40.02



sample: Jan 1982 - May 2001

TKRIWS

TKRIWS(-1)

TKRIWS(-8)

WRRIRP(-1)






0.93

0.32

0.09






13.93

3.37

2.68





TKRIRP

TKRIWS(-1)

TKRIWS(-3)

WRRIRP(-1)






0.11

-0.18

0.95






2.07

-2.51

37.20





sample: Jan 1982 - May 2001

TKRIPR

TKRIPR(-1)

WRRIRP(-1)


TKRIRP

TKRIPR(-1)

WRRIRP(-1)



0.87

0.07



0.09

0.92



22.20

2.03



2.58

32.94


sample: Jan 1983 - May 2001

TKSYPR

TKSYPR(-1)



WRSYRP

WRSYRP(-1)

WRSYRP(-2)



0.69




1.30

-0.41



9.57




17.72

-3.40


sample: Jan 1982 - May 2001

TKSFWS

TKSFWS(-1)

WRSFRP(-1)

WRSFRP(-5)

TKSFRP

WRSFRP(-1)

WRSFRP(-2)

WRSFRP(-3)


0.93

0.14

0.26


1.31

-0.59

0.28


35.59

2.32

2.68


19.42

-5.32

2.40

sample: Jan 1982 - May 2001

TKWHWS

TKWHWS(-1)

TKWHPR(-1)


TKWHPR

TKWHPR(-1)




0.75

0.36



0.92




14.01

3.57



12.11



sample: Jan 1982 - May 2001

TKRIWS

TKRIWS(-1)

TKRIPR(-1)


TKRIPR

TKRIWS(-1)

TKRIWS(-8)

TKRIPR(-1)


0.83

0.16



0.15

0.15

0.82


10.58

2.82



2.09

2.12

15.52

sample: Jan 1982 - May 2001

TKRIRT

TKRIWS(-1)

TKRIRT(-1)


TKRIWS

TKRIWS(-1)




0.10

0.81



0.81




2.32

15.00



13.53



sample: Jan 1982 - May 2001

TKSYWS

TKSYWS(-1)

TKSYPR(-1)


TKSYPR

TKSYPR(-1)




0.93

0.09



0.79




12.63

2.15



16.05



see Table 1 for variables' names
source: own calculation on ESCB price data


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