FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - September 2005 p.40
Aggregate 2004 cereal output has been estimated at some 116 000 tonnes, about 36 percent below last year and 36 percent below the previous five years average. Total imports of cereal in the marketing year ending in October 2005 are forecast to be around 379 000 tonnes, including re-exports of wheat. Commercial cereal imports are estimated at about 280 000 tonnes.
CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2004/05 MARKETING YEAR (November/October) | ||||
Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
[ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice) | 1 | 79 | 102 | 181 |
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 77 | 80 | 157 |
Previous year imports | 289 | 31 | 9 | 3291/ |
Previous five years average imports | 297 | 35 | 13 | 345 |
2004/05 Domestic Availability | 1 | 61 | 25 | 86 |
2004 Production (incl. paddy rice) | 1 | 92 | 24 | 116 |
2004 Production (incl. milled rice) | 1 | 61 | 24 | 85 |
Possible stock drawdown | - | - | 1 | 1 |
2004/05 Utilization | 305 | 90 | 70 | 465 |
Food use | 245 | 80 | 65 | 390 |
Non-food use | 40 | 9 | 5 | 54 |
Exports or re-exports | 20 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
Possible stock build up | - | - | - | - |
2004/05 Import Requirement | 305 | 28 | 46 | 3792/ |
Anticipated commercial imports | 252 | 10 | 18 | 280 |
of which: received or contracted | 175 | 2 | 14 | 192 |
Food aid needs | 53 | 18 | 28 | 99 |
Current Aid Position | ||||
Food aid pledges | 53 | 18 | 2 | 73 |
of which: delivered | 27 | 17 | 1 | 45 |
Donor-financed purchases | - | - | - | - |
of which: for local use | - | - | - | - |
for export | - | - | - | - |
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 80 | 26 | 21 | 127 |
Indexes | [ | percentage | ] | |
2004 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice) | - | 119 | 29 | 74 |
2004/05 Import requirement compared to average | 103 | 81 | 353 | 110 |
Cereal share of total calorie intake | 54 | |||
Additional Information | ||||
Major foodcrops | wheat; rice; millet; sorghum | |||
Lean season | July-September | |||
Population (000s) | 3 069 | |||
GNI per capita in 2003 (US$) | 430 |