
	food outlook	No.4, December 2005
	global information and early warning system on food and agriculture(GIEWS)

MILK AND MILK PRODUCTS

OILSEEDS, OILS AND OILMEALS

SUGAR

Other relevant agricultural commodities

Ocean freight rates

Fertilizers

Special features

Statistical appendix

	TABLE A1. World cereal production (million tonnes)
	TABLE A1 (cont.)
	TABLE A2. World imports of cereals (million tonnes)
	TABLE A2 (cont.)
	TABLE A3. World exports of cereals (million tonnes)
	TABLE A3. (cont.)
	TABLE A4. Cereal supply and utilization in main exporting countries (million tonnes)
	TABLE A5. World cereal stocks1(million tonnes)
	TABLE A6. Selected export prices of cereals and soybeans (US$/tonne)
	TABLE A7. Wheat and maize price indices
	TABLE A8. Price indices and selected export prices for rice
	TABLE A9. Price indices and selected international prices for oilcrop products
	TABLE A10. Wheat and maize futures prices ( US$/tonne)
	TABLE A11. Ocean freight rates for wheat (US$/tonne)
	TABLE A12. Selected international commodity prices
	TABLE A13. Fertilizer spot price ranges (bulk f.o.b., US$/tonne)

STATISTICAL NOTE

Statistical appendix

TABLE A1. World cereal production (million tonnes)

	Wheat			Coarse Grains
	2003	2004 estimate	2005 forecast	2003	2004 estimate	2005 forecast
ASIA	244.4	253.5	264.4	221.2	230.0	232.5
Bangladesh	1.3	1.0	1.3	0.1	0.1	0.1
China¹	86.5	92.0	96.2	126.5	140.4	139.1
India	65.1	72.1	72.0	37.8	31.9	34.0
Indonesia	-	-	-	10.9	11.2	12.0
Iran (Islamic Republic of)	13.4	14.0	14.5	4.8	4.4	4.4
Japan	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.2	0.2	0.2
Kazakhstan	11.5	9.9	11.4	3.3	2.4	2.7
Dem. People’s Rep. of Korea	0.2	0.2	0.2	1.9	1.9	2.0
Korea, Republic of	-	-	-	0.3	0.3	0.4
Myanmar	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.9	0.8	0.9
Pakistan	19.2	19.5	21.1	2.5	3.3	3.0
Philippines	-	-	-	4.6	5.4	5.4
Saudi Arabia	2.1	1.6	1.6	0.2	0.2	0.2
Thailand	-	-	-	4.4	4.4	4.5
Turkey	19.0	20.7	20.2	11.1	12.2	12.6
Viet Nam	-	-	-	3.1	3.5	2.9
AFRICA	21.3	21.7	19.3	90.1	82.7	92.2
North Africa	17.1	17.2	14.6	12.7	12.8	10.0
Egypt	6.8	7.2	8.2	7.6	7.8	7.4
Morocco	5.1	5.5	3.0	2.8	2.9	1.3
Sub-Saharan Africa	4.2	4.6	4.7	77.3	69.9	82.3
Western Africa	0.1	0.1	0.1	34.7	28.1	37.4
Nigeria	0.1	0.1	0.1	17.7	13.7	19.6
Central Africa	-	-	-	2.8	2.9	2.9
Eastern Africa	2.3	2.6	2.5	22.9	21.5	22.8
Ethiopia	1.6	1.8	1.8	7.6	8.4	8.5
Sudan	0.4	0.5	0.4	5.6	3.4	4.1
Southern Africa	1.8	1.9	2.1	16.9	17.3	19.1
Madagascar	-	-	-	0.2	0.2	0.2
South Africa	1.5	1.7	1.9	10.2	10.3	13.0
Zimbabwe	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.9	0.9	0.7
CENTRAL AMERICA	2.7	2.4	3.0	32.6	33.5	32.4
Mexico	2.7	2.4	3.0	28.6	29.7	28.6
SOUTH AMERICA	23.6	25.2	20.0	80.4	74.5	71.6
Argentina	14.6	16.0	12.0	19.2	18.7	23.7
Brazil	6.0	5.7	4.8	50.5	44.8	37.1
Colombia	-	-	-	1.5	1.7	1.7
NORTH AMERICA	87.4	84.6	82.7	302.0	346.6	321.7
Canada	23.6	25.9	25.5	26.6	26.7	24.8
United States of America	63.8	58.7	57.1	275.4	319.9	296.9
EUROPE	153.7	218.8	204.9	197.8	244.1	207.1
Bulgaria	2.0	4.0	3.3	1.8	3.4	2.1
European Union²	90.9	137.3	123.1	95.7	152.3	130.0
Hungary³	2.9	5.9	5.1	5.8	11.1	11.1
Poland³	7.9	9.9	8.6	15.6	19.7	16.2
Romania	2.5	7.8	7.3	10.6	16.8	11.5
Russian Federation	34.0	45.3	47.1	30.2	29.8	28.9
Ukraine	3.6	17.5	17.9	16.0	23.1	16.8
OCEANIA	26.5	20.7	24.4	15.7	11.2	13.1
Australia	26.1	20.4	24.1	15.1	10.6	12.6
WORLD	559.5	626.9	618.8	939.8	1 022.6	970.6
Developing countries	266.5	278.9	280.3	408.6	405.8	410.7
Developed countries	292.9	347.9	338.4	531.2	616.8	559.9

¹ Including Taiwan Province.

² Up to 2003 15 member countries, from 2004 25 member countries.

³ From 2004 included in EU 25.

Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

TABLE A1 (cont.)

	Rice (paddy)			Total Cereals
	2003	2004 estimate	2005 forecast	2003	2004 estimate	2005 forecast
ASIA	532.2	547.0	562.3	997.7	1 030.6	1 059.2
Bangladesh	39.3	38.0	42.0	40.6	39.0	43.4
China¹	162.3	180.5	184.3	375.3	412.9	419.6
India	132.4	128.0	130.5	235.3	231.9	236.5
Indonesia	52.1	54.1	54.0	63.0	65.3	66.0
Iran (Islamic Republic of)	2.9	3.1	3.3	21.1	21.5	22.2
Japan	9.7	10.9	11.4	10.8	12.0	12.5
Kazakhstan	0.2	0.2	0.2	15.1	12.6	14.3
Dem. People’s Rep. of Korea	2.2	2.4	2.5	4.3	4.4	4.6
Korea, Republic of	6.2	6.7	6.5	6.5	7.1	6.8
Myanmar	23.1	23.7	24.5	24.2	24.6	25.6
Pakistan	7.3	7.5	7.5	29.0	30.3	31.6
Philippines	14.2	14.5	14.8	18.8	19.9	20.2
Saudi Arabia	-	-	-	2.3	1.8	1.8
Thailand	27.0	23.9	27.0	31.4	28.3	31.5
Turkey	0.4	0.5	0.5	30.5	33.4	33.4
Viet Nam	34.6	36.1	35.8	37.7	39.6	38.7
AFRICA	18.9	19.5	20.2	130.3	123.9	131.8
North Africa	6.2	6.4	6.0	36.0	36.3	30.6
Egypt	6.2	6.4	6.0	20.7	21.3	21.6
Morocco	-	-	-	8.0	8.5	4.3
Sub-Saharan Africa	12.7	13.1	14.2	94.3	87.5	101.2
Western Africa	7.8	8.2	8.8	42.6	36.4	46.3
Nigeria	3.4	3.5	4.0	21.2	17.3	23.7
Central Africa	0.4	0.4	0.4	3.2	3.3	3.4
Eastern Africa	1.4	1.3	1.4	26.6	25.3	26.7
Ethiopia	-	-	-	9.3	10.2	10.3
Sudan	-	-	-	6.0	3.9	4.5
Southern Africa	3.1	3.3	3.6	21.9	22.5	24.9
Madagascar	2.8	3.0	3.4	3.0	3.2	3.6
South Africa	-	-	-	11.7	12.0	14.9
Zimbabwe	-	-	-	1.0	1.0	0.8
CENTRAL AMERICA	2.6	2.4	2.4	38.0	38.3	37.8
Mexico	0.3	0.3	0.3	31.6	32.4	31.9
SOUTH AMERICA	20.0	23.3	23.8	124.0	123.0	115.4
Argentina	0.7	1.1	1.0	34.4	35.7	36.7
Brazil	10.4	12.8	13.2	66.9	63.3	55.2
Colombia	2.5	2.7	2.6	4.1	4.4	4.4
NORTH AMERICA	9.1	10.5	10.0	398.4	441.7	414.3
Canada	-	-	-	50.1	52.6	50.4
United States of America	9.1	10.5	10.0	348.3	389.1	364.0
EUROPE	3.3	3.4	3.4	354.7	466.3	415.4
Bulgaria	-	-	-	3.8	7.4	5.5
European Union²	2.7	2.8	2.6	189.4	292.4	255.7
Hungary³	-	-	-	8.8	17.0	16.2
Poland³	-	-	-	23.4	29.6	24.8
Romania	-	-	-	13.1	24.5	18.9
Russian Federation	0.5	0.5	0.6	64.6	75.6	76.6
Ukraine	0.1	0.1	0.1	19.7	40.7	34.8
OCEANIA	0.4	0.6	0.3	42.6	32.4	37.8
Australia	0.4	0.5	0.3	41.6	31.5	37.0
WORLD	586.4	606.7	622.5	2 085.7	2 256.2	2 211.9
Developing countries	563.2	580.8	596.8	1 238.3	1 265.5	1 287.8
Developed countries	23.2	26.0	25.7	847.3	990.6	924.0

¹ Including Taiwan Province.

² Up to 2003 15 member countries, from 2004 25 member countries.

³ From 2004 included in EU 25.

Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

TABLE A2. World imports of cereals (million tonnes)

	Wheat (July/June)¹			Coarse Grains (July/June)
	2003/04	2004/05 estimate	2005/06 forecast	2003/04	2004/05 estimate	2005/06 forecast
ASIA	41.3	49.0	44.9	59.3	58.7	57.6
Bangladesh	2.0	2.1	2.1	0.2	0.2	0.2
China	4.0	8.4	4.0	6.4	7.0	7.2
Taiwan Province	1.0	1.1	1.0	5.0	4.8	4.8
Georgia	0.6	0.9	0.6	-	-	-
India	-	0.1	1.0	0.2	0.1	0.1
Indonesia	4.7	4.6	4.7	1.4	1.0	0.6
Iran (Islamic Republic of)	0.5	0.2	0.2	1.7	3.1	3.1
Iraq	2.0	2.7	3.3	0.3	0.2	0.2
Israel	1.0	1.4	1.5	2.0	1.9	1.6
Japan	5.6	5.5	5.6	20.3	19.8	19.8
Dem. People’s Rep. of Korea	0.3	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.4	0.2
Korea, Republic of	3.3	3.5	3.8	9.6	8.7	8.8
Malaysia	1.4	1.4	1.4	2.4	2.5	2.5
Pakistan	0.2	1.4	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.1
Philippines	3.0	3.0	3.1	0.1	0.1	0.1
Saudi Arabia	0.1	0.1	0.1	7.9	7.9	8.0
Singapore	0.3	0.3	0.3	-	-	-
Sri Lanka	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.1	0.1	0.1
Syria	0.2	0.2	0.2	1.8	2.3	1.7
Thailand	1.1	1.0	1.1	0.1	0.1	0.1
Yemen	2.0	1.9	2.2	0.3	0.2	0.3
AFRICA	25.6	29.7	31.0	13.7	15.5	16.5
North Africa	15.0	17.5	18.1	8.8	10.6	10.9
Algeria	3.6	5.0	5.3	2.1	2.1	2.3
Egypt	6.9	7.8	7.5	4.1	4.9	5.0
Morocco	2.4	2.3	2.8	1.0	1.8	1.9
Tunisia	0.7	0.9	1.0	0.8	1.1	1.0
Sub-Saharan Africa	10.6	12.2	12.9	5.0	4.9	5.6
Côte d'Ivoire	0.3	0.3	0.3	-	-	-
Ethiopia	0.6	0.7	0.8	0.1	-	-
Kenya	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.6	1.0	1.0
Nigeria	2.4	3.0	4.0	0.1	0.1	0.1
Senegal	0.3	0.3	0.3	-	-	-
Sudan	1.1	1.3	1.1	0.1	0.3	0.1
South Africa	0.7	1.2	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.3
CENTRAL AMERICA	7.2	7.3	7.3	12.4	13.4	14.2
Cuba	1.0	1.0	1.1	0.3	0.3	0.3
Dominican Rep.	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.8	0.9	0.9
Mexico	3.6	3.6	3.6	8.7	9.3	10.2
SOUTH AMERICA	11.0	10.8	11.4	5.8	6.4	6.5
Brazil	5.6	5.4	5.8	0.7	1.0	1.3
Chile	0.4	0.2	0.3	0.9	0.8	0.7
Colombia	1.2	1.3	1.2	2.2	2.3	2.2
Peru	1.4	1.4	1.6	0.9	1.2	1.3
Venezuela	1.4	1.5	1.6	0.6	0.4	0.4
NORTH AMERICA	1.4	1.6	1.8	5.0	5.0	4.8
Canada	0.1	0.1	-	2.5	2.7	2.6
United States of America	1.3	1.5	1.8	2.4	2.3	2.3
EUROPE	17.5	10.6	10.5	12.2	4.7	5.2
Belarus	0.4	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.3	0.4
European Union²	5.9	7.2	7.2	7.7	2.8	3.2
Poland³	0.8	-	-	0.7	-	-
Romania	2.1	0.3	0.2	0.4	-	0.1
Russian Federation	1.1	1.1	0.9	0.9	0.8	0.8
Ukraine	3.6	0.1	0.1	0.3	-	-
OCEANIA	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.1	0.1
New Zealand	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.1
WORLD	104.7	109.7	107.5	108.5	103.8	105.0
Developing countries	76.1	86.3	84.4	68.2	71.8	73.0
Developed countries	28.7	23.4	23.1	40.3	31.9	32.0

¹Including wheat flour in wheat grain equivalent, but excluding semolina. ² Excluding trade between the EU member countries. Up to 2003/04 15 member countries, from 2004/05 25 member countries. ³From 2004/05 included in EU 25.

Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

TABLE A2 (cont.)

	Rice (milled)			Total Cereals¹
	2004	2005 estimate	2006 forecast	2003/04	2004/05 estimate	2005/06 forecast
ASIA	12.0	12.8	11.5	112.7	120.5	114.0
Bangladesh	0.8	1.3	0.7	2.9	3.5	2.9
China	0.9	0.6	0.8	11.4	16.0	11.9
Taiwan Province	0.2	0.2	0.2	6.2	6.0	5.9
Georgia	-	-	-	0.6	1.0	0.7
India	-	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	1.2
Indonesia	0.9	0.8	0.7	7.0	6.4	6.0
Iran (Islamic Republic of)	1.0	0.8	0.8	3.2	4.1	4.0
Iraq	1.1	1.1	1.2	3.4	4.0	4.7
Israel	0.1	0.1	0.1	3.1	3.4	3.2
Japan	0.7	0.7	0.7	26.6	26.1	26.1
Dem. People’s Rep. of Korea	0.6	0.7	0.5	1.0	1.3	1.0
Korea, Republic of	0.2	0.2	0.3	13.1	12.4	12.8
Malaysia	0.7	0.6	0.6	4.5	4.4	4.5
Pakistan	-	-	-	0.4	1.5	0.6
Philippines	1.0	1.8	1.2	4.1	4.9	4.3
Saudi Arabia	0.9	0.9	0.9	8.8	8.8	8.9
Singapore	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.6	0.7	0.7
Sri Lanka	0.2	0.1	-	1.4	1.2	1.2
Syria	0.2	0.3	0.3	2.2	2.7	2.2
Thailand	-	-	-	1.2	1.1	1.2
Yemen	0.3	0.3	0.3	2.6	2.4	2.8
AFRICA	8.5	8.9	8.5	47.9	54.1	56.0
North Africa	0.2	0.2	0.2	24.0	28.4	29.3
Algeria	0.1	0.1	0.1	5.7	7.2	7.6
Egypt	-	-	-	11.0	12.7	12.5
Morocco	-	-	-	3.5	4.0	4.7
Tunisia	-	-	-	1.5	2.0	2.0
Sub-Saharan Africa	8.3	8.6	8.3	23.9	25.7	26.7
Côte d'Ivoire	0.8	0.8	0.8	1.1	1.2	1.2
Ethiopia	-	-	-	0.7	0.8	0.9
Kenya	0.2	0.2	0.2	1.3	1.7	1.8
Nigeria	1.6	1.5	1.3	4.1	4.6	5.4
Senegal	0.8	0.8	0.8	1.1	1.0	1.0
Sudan	-	0.1	0.1	1.3	1.7	1.2
South Africa	0.7	1.0	0.9	2.1	2.5	2.3
CENTRAL AMERICA	2.0	2.3	2.2	21.7	23.0	23.7
Cuba	0.6	0.8	0.8	2.0	2.1	2.1
Dominican Rep.	0.1	0.1	-	1.2	1.3	1.3
Mexico	0.5	0.5	0.5	12.8	13.4	14.3
SOUTH AMERICA	1.1	0.7	1.0	18.0	17.9	18.9
Brazil	0.9	0.5	0.7	7.1	6.9	7.8
Chile	0.1	0.1	0.1	1.5	1.1	1.1
Colombia	0.1	0.1	0.1	3.5	3.6	3.5
Peru	0.1	-	-	2.4	2.6	2.9
Venezuela	-	-	-	2.0	1.9	2.0
NORTH AMERICA	0.8	0.7	0.8	7.2	7.2	7.4
Canada	0.3	0.3	0.3	2.9	3.1	2.9
United States of America	0.5	0.4	0.5	4.2	4.2	4.5
EUROPE	1.8	1.8	1.8	31.5	17.2	17.5
Belarus	-	-	-	0.6	0.6	0.7
European Union²	0.7	0.9	1.0	14.3	10.9	11.4
Poland³	0.1	-	-	1.5	-	-
Romania	0.1	0.1	0.1	2.6	0.4	0.3
Russian Federation	0.5	0.5	0.4	2.5	2.4	2.1
Ukraine	0.1	0.1	0.1	4.0	0.2	0.3
OCEANIA	0.4	0.4	0.4	1.1	1.1	1.1
New Zealand	-	-	-	0.4	0.5	0.5
WORLD	26.7	27.6	26.1⁴	240.0	241.0	238.7
Developing countries	22.3	23.0	21.5	166.6	181.1	178.9
Developed countries	4.4	4.6	4.6	73.4	60.0	59.8

¹ Trade in rice refers to the calendar year of the second year shown. ² Excluding trade between the EU member countries. Up to 2003/04 15 member countries, from 2004/05 25 member countries. ³From 2004/05 included in EU 25. ⁴Highly tentative.

Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

TABLE A3. World exports of cereals (million tonnes)

	Wheat (July/June)¹			Coarse Grains (July/June)
	2003/04	2004/05 estimate	2005/06 forecast	2003/04	2004/05 estimate	2005/06 forecast
ASIA	16.7	10.9	10.1	14.7	7.8	7.0
China²	2.1	0.3	0.4	11.3	5.6	4.5
India	5.0	1.5	0.3	0.8	0.3	0.3
Indonesia	-	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.1
Japan	0.4	0.4	0.4	-	-	-
Kazakhstan	5.4	3.9	4.4	0.5	0.2	0.3
Myanmar	-	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.1
Pakistan	0.2	0.1	0.2	-	-	-
Syria	1.0	0.8	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.1
Thailand	-	-	-	0.7	0.5	0.3
Turkey	0.8	2.0	1.5	0.1	0.3	0.5
Viet Nam	-	-	-	-	-	-
AFRICA	0.7	0.6	0.6	3.0	3.7	4.1
Egypt	-	-	-	-	-	-
Ethiopia	-	-	-	-	-	-
Nigeria	-	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.2
South Africa	0.2	0.1	0.2	1.1	1.1	2.3
Sudan	-	-	-	0.2	0.1	0.1
Uganda	-	-	-	0.4	0.4	0.4
CENTRAL AMERICA	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.3
SOUTH AMERICA	8.4	12.8	7.7	17.0	16.4	15.5
Argentina	6.8	12.4	7.0	9.9	12.9	14.3
Brazil	1.4	-	0.5	6.2	2.6	0.6
Paraguay	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.3
Uruguay	-	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1
NORTH AMERICA	47.3	43.4	42.0	54.6	55.2	58.1
Canada	15.3	15.2	15.5	3.5	2.7	3.6
United States of America	32.0	28.2	26.5	51.1	52.4	54.5
EUROPE	13.8	27.0	30.1	11.8	15.6	13.9
Bulgaria	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.1	1.0	0.6
Czech Rep.³	-	-	-	0.3	-	-
European Union⁴	9.0	13.5	14.3	4.0	4.0	4.7
Hungary³	0.5	-	-	0.4	-	-
Romania	-	0.1	0.6	0.2	1.8	1.4
Russian Federation	4.0	7.9	9.0	3.3	1.1	1.1
Ukraine	0.1	4.4	5.2	2.8	6.8	5.1
OCEANIA	17.0	15.8	16.5	5.0	6.5	6.3
Australia	17.0	15.8	16.5	5.0	6.5	6.3
WORLD	104.3	111.0	107.5	106.4	105.1	105.0
Developing countries	19.7	19.7	13.4	33.3	26.6	24.2
Developed countries	84.6	91.3	94.1	73.1	78.5	80.8

¹ Including wheat flour in wheat grain equivalent, but excluding semolina.

² Including Taiwan Province.

³From 2004/05 included in EU 25.

⁴ Excluding trade between the EU member countries. Up to 2003/04 15 member countries, from 2004/05 25 member countries.

Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

TABLE A3. (cont.)

	Rice (milled)			Total Cereals¹
	2004	2005 estimate	2006 forecast	2003/04	2004/05 estimate	2005/06 forecast
ASIA	21.2	21.0	19.8	52.5	39.6	36.8
China²	1.0	0.7	1.0	14.4	6.7	5.9
India	3.6	4.4	3.0	9.3	6.2	3.6
Indonesia	-	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.1
Japan	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.6
Kazakhstan	-	-	-	5.9	4.1	4.7
Myanmar	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.3	0.4
Pakistan	1.9	2.7	2.5	2.1	2.8	2.7
Syria	-	-	-	1.3	0.9	1.1
Thailand	10.1	7.6	8.2	10.8	8.1	8.5
Turkey	-	-	-	0.9	2.3	2.0
Viet Nam	4.1	4.7	4.3	4.1	4.7	4.3
AFRICA	0.8	1.0	0.8	4.5	5.3	5.5
Egypt	0.8	1.0	0.8	0.8	1.0	0.8
Ethiopia	-	-	-	-	-	-
Nigeria	-	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.2
South Africa	-	-	-	1.2	1.2	2.4
Sudan	-	-	-	0.2	0.1	0.1
Uganda	-	-	-	0.4	0.4	0.4
CENTRAL AMERICA	0.1	-	-	0.8	0.6	0.8
SOUTH AMERICA	1.2	1.5	1.4	26.6	30.6	24.6
Argentina	0.3	0.3	0.3	17.0	25.6	21.6
Brazil	-	0.1	-	7.6	2.7	1.1
Paraguay	-	-	-	0.7	0.8	0.5
Uruguay	0.6	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.9	0.8
NORTH AMERICA	3.1	3.8	3.8	105.0	102.3	103.9
Canada	-	-	-	18.7	17.9	19.1
United States of America	3.1	3.8	3.8	86.2	84.4	84.8
EUROPE	0.3	0.2	0.2	25.9	42.8	44.1
Bulgaria	-	-	-	0.3	1.7	1.2
Czech Rep.³	-	-	-	0.3	-	-
European Union⁴	0.3	0.2	0.2	13.2	17.7	19.2
Hungary³	-	-	-	0.9	-	-
Romania	-	-	-	0.2	1.9	2.0
Russian Federation	-	-	-	7.3	9.1	10.1
Ukraine	-	-	-	2.9	11.2	10.3
OCEANIA	0.1	0.1	0.2	22.1	22.4	23.0
Australia	0.1	0.1	0.2	22.1	22.3	23.0
WORLD	26.7	27.6	26.1⁵	237.5	243.7	238.7
Developing countries	23.2	23.3	21.8	76.2	69.6	59.4
Developed countries	3.6	4.3	4.4	161.2	174.1	179.3

¹ Trade in rice refers to the calendar year of the second year shown.

² Including Taiwan Province.

³From 2004/05 included in EU 25.

⁴ Excluding trade between the EU member countries. Up to 2003/04 15 member countries, from 2004/05 25 member countries.

⁵Highly tentative.

Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

TABLE A4. Cereal supply and utilization in main exporting countries (million tonnes)

	Wheat¹			Coarse Grains²			Rice (milled basis)
	2003/04	2004/05 estimate	2005/06 forecast	2003/04	2004/05 estimate	2005/06 forecast	2003/04	2004/05 estimate	2005/06 forecast
	UNITED STATES (June/May)			UNITED STATES			UNITED STATES (Aug./July)
Opening stocks	13.4	14.9	14.7	30.9	28.8	58.7	0.8	0.8	1.2
Production	63.8	58.7	57.1	275.4	319.9	296.9	6.4	7.4	7.0
Imports	1.3	1.5	1.7	2.5	2.2	2.2	0.5	0.4	0.5
Total Supply	78.5	75.1	73.5	308.8	350.9	357.8	7.7	8.6	8.7
Domestic use	32.4	31.7	32.2	226.2	240.7	238.4	3.7	3.8	4.0
Exports	31.2	28.7	26.9	53.8	51.4	56.0	3.3	3.5	3.8
Closing stocks	14.9	14.7	14.4	28.8	58.7	63.4	0.8	1.2	0.8
	CANADA (August/July)			CANADA			THAILAND (Nov./Oct.)³
Opening stocks	5.7	6.1	8.0	3.2	4.2	6.6	4.9	3.2	2.0
Production	23.6	25.9	25.5	26.6	26.7	24.8	17.9	15.8	17.9
Imports	0.1	0.1	0.0	2.2	2.5	2.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
Total Supply	29.4	32.0	33.6	31.9	33.5	33.5	22.8	19.0	19.9
Domestic use	7.5	9.2	8.8	23.0	22.8	23.9	9.5	9.4	9.6
Exports	15.7	14.8	16.0	4.7	4.0	4.1	10.1	7.6	8.2
Closing stocks	6.1	8.0	8.8	4.2	6.6	5.5	3.2	2.0	2.1
	ARGENTINA (Dec./Nov.)			ARGENTINA			CHINA (Jan./Dec.)^{3 4}
Opening stocks	2.1	2.0	0.9	1.1	1.4	1.0	73.7	59.2	56.6
Production	14.6	16.0	12.0	19.2	18.7	23.7	111.3	123.7	126.3
Imports	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.9	0.6	0.8
Total Supply	16.6	18.0	12.9	20.2	20.1	24.7	185.9	183.5	183.7
Domestic use	5.9	5.6	5.3	7.2	8.1	8.9	125.7	126.2	125.6
Exports	8.7	11.5	7.2	11.7	11.0	14.6	1.0	0.7	1.0
Closing stocks	2.0	0.9	0.4	1.4	1.0	1.2	59.2	56.6	57.1
	AUSTRALIA (Oct./Sept.)			AUSTRALIA			PAKISTAN (Nov./Oct.)³
Opening stocks	2.9	6.1	6.0	1.7	2.8	1.8	0.4	0.6	0.3
Production	26.1	20.4	24.1	15.1	10.6	12.6	4.8	5.0	5.0
Imports	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Total Supply	29.1	26.5	30.1	16.8	13.4	14.4	5.2	5.6	5.3
Domestic use	5.1	5.2	4.9	7.3	6.6	6.8	2.8	2.6	2.5
Exports	17.9	15.3	16.1	6.7	5.0	5.7	1.9	2.7	2.5
Closing stocks	6.1	6.0	9.1	2.8	1.8	1.9	0.6	0.3	0.3
	EU (July/June)⁵			EU⁵			VIET NAM (Nov./Oct.)³
Opening stocks	15.0	10.5	24.0	18.0	14.4	23.7	4.9	4.9	4.9
Production	90.9	137.3	123.1	95.8	152.3	130.0	23.1	24.1	23.9
Imports	5.9	7.2	7.2	7.7	2.8	3.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
Total Supply	111.9	155.0	154.3	121.5	169.5	156.9	28.0	29.0	28.8
Domestic use	93.2	117.3	119.8	106.1	141.7	136.0	19.0	19.4	19.6
Exports	9.2	13.7	14.5	4.0	4.0	4.7	4.1	4.7	4.3
Closing stocks	9.5	24.0	20.0	11.3	23.7	16.2	4.9	4.9	4.9
	TOTAL OF ABOVE			TOTAL OF ABOVE			TOTAL OF ABOVE
Opening stocks	39.1	39.6	53.6	54.9	51.5	91.8	84.7	68.6	65.0
Production	219.0	258.2	241.8	432.0	528.2	488.0	163.5	176.0	180.1
Imports	7.3	8.7	8.9	12.3	7.6	7.4	1.4	1.0	1.3
Total Supply	265.4	306.5	304.3	499.2	587.3	587.2	249.6	245.7	246.3
Domestic use	144.0	169.0	170.9	369.8	420.0	414.0	160.7	161.4	161.4
Exports	82.8	83.9	80.7	80.9	75.4	85.1	20.3	19.2	19.8
Closing stocks	38.6	53.6	52.7	48.5	91.8	88.2	68.6	65.0	65.2

¹ Trade data include wheat flour in wheat grain equivalent. For the EU semolina is also included.

² Argentina (December/November) for rye, barley and oats, (March/February) for maize and sorghum; Australia (November/October) for rye, barley and oats, (March/February) for maize and sorghum; Canada (August/July); EU (July/June); United States (June/May) for rye, barley and oats, (September/August) for maize and sorghum.

³ Rice trade data refer to the calendar year of the second year shown.

⁴ Including Taiwan province.

⁵ Excluding trade between the EU member countries. Up to 2003/04 15 member countries, from 2004/05 25 member countries.

Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

TABLE A5. World cereal stocks¹(million tonnes)

	Crop Years ending in:
	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005 estimate	2006 forecast
TOTAL CEREALS	633.8	602.4	577.5	487.7	416.3	465.2	444.4
Wheat	248.2	245.7	237.6	204.2	161.7	173.2	165.9
held by:
- main exporters²	50.2	52.8	49.0	39.1	38.6	53.6	52.7
- others	198.0	192.9	188.7	165.2	123.1	119.6	113.2
Coarse Grains	232.7	206.0	195.7	162.9	150.0	193.5	181.3
held by:
- main exporters²	78.5	77.0	70.0	54.9	48.5	91.8	88.2
- others	154.2	129.1	125.7	108.0	101.5	101.7	93.1
Rice (milled basis)	152.9	150.7	144.2	120.5	104.6	98.4	97.2
held by:
- main exporters²	102.0	100.0	94.2	84.7	68.6	65.0	65.2
excl. China³	8.2	9.4	10.8	11.0	9.4	8.4	8.1
- others	50.9	50.7	50.0	35.8	36.0	33.4	32.0
Developed Countries	166.6	162.2	169.5	144.8	124.0	186.6	180.7
Australia	5.0	6.1	10.0	4.9	9.0	8.0	11.1
European Union⁴	34.5	32.0	31.1	33.7	21.5	48.4	36.8
Canada	13.5	14.1	10.3	8.9	10.3	14.6	14.3
Hungary⁵	2.2	1.5	2.0	1.4	1.0	-	-
Japan	6.2	6.0	5.7	5.4	4.9	4.8	5.1
Poland⁵	3.8	2.2	3.0	3.1	2.6	-	-
Romania	3.7	0.4	2.5	2.0	1.2	5.0	4.1
Russian Federation	4.9	6.5	13.5	12.5	7.3	9.1	9.2
South Africa	1.8	2.9	1.9	3.8	3.5	4.0	4.7
Ukraine	2.2	2.3	5.2	5.1	2.9	4.1	3.8
United States	75.6	77.4	67.4	45.1	44.4	74.7	78.7
Developing Countries	467.2	440.3	408.0	342.9	292.3	278.6	263.6
Asia	429.2	405.1	369.4	309.2	252.1	236.5	226.9
China³	311.2	281.1	249.2	210.2	164.1	156.4	150.1
India	57.4	62.3	60.5	40.4	31.9	27.3	26.0
Indonesia	8.6	7.4	5.0	5.7	6.0	5.7	4.8
Iran (Islamic Republic of)	4.3	4.1	4.9	4.4	3.5	2.6	1.9
Korea, Republic of	3.3	3.0	3.2	3.1	3.0	3.1	2.9
Pakistan	8.6	9.3	6.6	2.9	1.9	2.1	2.6
Philippines	1.9	2.2	1.9	2.2	1.8	2.2	2.2
Syria	3.7	3.0	3.8	3.9	4.0	3.8	3.6
Turkey	8.3	8.7	7.8	8.0	7.5	6.9	6.1
Africa	23.2	21.6	21.9	20.1	22.0	23.3	22.7
Algeria	2.2	2.1	2.1	2.6	2.8	3.9	3.8
Egypt	4.3	4.3	4.3	3.6	2.9	3.7	3.8
Ethiopia	0.3	0.9	0.3	0.6	0.1	0.2	0.3
Morocco	3.7	1.9	1.9	1.8	3.0	4.5	2.9
Nigeria	1.7	2.2	2.1	2.1	1.8	1.0	1.4
Tunisia	1.9	1.8	1.9	1.5	1.8	2.0	1.9
Central America	6.7	6.3	6.7	5.5	5.8	6.3	6.0
Mexico	4.9	4.5	4.7	3.7	4.0	4.8	4.6
South America	7.8	7.0	9.6	7.8	12.2	12.3	7.8
Argentina	1.8	1.6	2.3	3.2	3.5	2.0	1.7
Brazil	2.9	1.8	3.7	1.6	5.6	7.1	3.0

¹ Stock data are based on an aggregate of carryovers at the end of national crop years and do not represent world stock levels at any point in time.

² The major wheat and coarse grains exporters are Argentina, Australia, Canada, the EU and the United States. The major rice exporters are China (including Taiwan Province), Pakistan, Thailand, the United States and Viet Nam. See Table A.4 for country details.

³ Including Taiwan Province.

⁴Up to 2003/04 15 member countries, from 2004/05 25 member countries.

⁵From 2004/05 included in EU 25.

Note: Based on official and unofficial estimates. Totals computed from unrounded data.

TABLE A6. Selected export prices of cereals and soybeans (US$/tonne)

	Wheat			Maize		Sorghum	Soybeans
Period	US No.2 Hard Red Winter Ord. Prot.¹	US Soft Red Winter No.2²	Argentina Trigo Pan³	US No.2 Yellow²	Argentina³	US No.2 Yellow²	US No.1 Yellow²
Annual (July/June)
2001/2002	127	113	119	90	89	95	182
2002/2003	161	138	145	107	102	112	222
2003/2004	161	149	154	115	109	118	305
2004/2005	154	138	123	97	90	99	238
Monthly
2004 – November	162	139	116	94	86	96	217
2005 – June	146	131	133	98	91	106	267
2005 – July	148	130	144	105	100	113	267
2005 – August	157	129	142	99	98	108	247
2005 – September	167	128	136	97	97	98	226
2005 – October	175	135	132	101	95	102	226
2005 – November	167	133	134	97	91	94	230
Weekly
2005 – November I	171	133	136	99	93	99	229
2005 – November II	168	134	137	96	91	94	231
2005 – November III	167	133	135	97	92	94	236
2005 – November IV	163	130	132	96	90	93	230
2005 – November V	165	132	128	95	89	91	226

¹ Delivered US f.o.b Gulf.

² Delivered US Gulf.

³ Up River f.o.b.

Sources: International Grain Council and USDA.

TABLE A7. Wheat and maize price indices

	Wheat¹	Maize²
Period	(1997/98-1999/00=100)	(1997/98-1999/00=100)
Annual (July/June)
2000/2001	97	87
2001/2002	99	91
2002/2003	121	108
2003/2004	119	116
2004/2005	118	98
Monthly
2004 – November	123	94
2005 – April	114	98
2005 – May	115	95
2005 – June	117	99
2005 – July	114	106
2005 – August	116	99
2005 – September	121	98
2005 – October	123	102
2005 – November	121	98

¹ The wheat price index has been constructed based on the IGC wheat price index, rebased to

July/June 1997/98-1999/00 = 100. The IGC wheat price index is composed of a simple average of

following price quotations, converted to an index, with base July/December 1986 = 1000:

a Australian Standard White, f.o.b. Eastern States - second position quoted.

b Canadian No.1 CWRS 13.5%, f.o.b. St. Lawrence.

c Canadian No.1 CWRS 12.5%, f.o.b. Vancouver.

d United States No.2 HRW (Ordinary), f.o.b. Gulf.

e United States No.2 SRW, Gulf.

f United States No.2 DNS 14%, f.o.b. Lakes

g United States No.2 Western White, f.o.b. Pacific

² United States Maize No.2 Yellow (delivered Gulf ports) with base July/June, 1997/98-1999/00 = 100.

Sources: FAO, International Grain Council, USDA.

TABLE A8. Price indices and selected export prices for rice

	Export Prices ( US$ per tonne)				FAO Indices ( 1998-2000=100)
Period	Thai 100% B¹	Thai broken²	US Long grain³	Pakistani Basmati⁴	Total	Indica		Japonica	Aromatic
Period	Thai 100% B¹	Thai broken²	US Long grain³	Pakistani Basmati⁴	Total	High quality	Low quality	Japonica	Aromatic
Annual (January/December)
2001	177	135	264	332	74	74	74	76	69
2002	197	151	207	366	72	73	75	67	74
2003	201	151	284	358	82	79	81	82	91
2004	244	207	372	486	104	101	110	104	96
Monthly
2004 – November	265	215	332	457	101	101	110	92	98
2005 – June	290	213	310	472	101	103	112	91	92
2005 – July	280	208	304	473	100	101	110	93	92
2005 – August	287	214	291	475	101	102	111	93	94
2005 – September	290	218	309	475	101	104	112	90	95
2005 – October	293	211	318	475	101	104	112	91	95
Weekly
2005 – November I	286	216	324	500	)
2005 – November II	281	210	324	475	) 102	103	112	93	94
2005 – November III	281	208	324	475	)
2

¹ White rice, 100% second grade, f.o.b. Bangkok, indicative traded prices.

² A1 super, f.o.b. Bangkok, indicative traded prices.

³ US No.2, 4% brokens f.o.b.

⁴ Basmati: ordinary, f.o.b. Karachi.

Note: The FAO Rice Price Index is based on 16 rice export quotations. 'Quality' is defined by the precentage of broken kernels, with high (low) quality referring to rice with less (equal to or more) than 20 percent brokens. The Sub-Index for Aromatic Rice follows movements in prices of Basmati and Fragrant rice.

Sources: FAO for indices. Rice prices: Jackson Son & Co. (London) Ltd. and other public sources.

TABLE A9. Price indices and selected international prices for oilcrop products

	FAO Indices (1990-92=100)			International Prices (US$ per tonne)
Period	Oilseeds	Edible/Soap Fats/Oils	Oilcakes/ Meals	Soybeans¹	Soybean Oil²	Palm Oil ³	Soybean Cake⁴	Rapeseed Meal⁵
Annual (October/September)
1996/97	118	134	133	298	536	545	278	174
1997/98	109	154	116	256	634	641	197	138
1998/99	89	125	82	209	483	514	149	104
1999/00	84	91	89	209	355	337	180	124
2000/01	82	81	96	201	335	272	188	141
2001/02	86	101	102	201	411	357	175	129
Semestral
2002/03 – Oct.- Mar.	103	124	106	241	543	442	186	133
2002/03 – Apr.- Sep.	104	123	110	246	535	414	197	149
2003/04 – Oct.- Mar.	140	144	138	351	653	512	274	199
2003/04 – Apr.- Sep.	121	140	126	294	612	464	240	157
2004/05 – Oct.- Mar.	111	134	115	264	539	420	205	133
2004/05 – Apr.- Sep.	116	132	123	284	550	418	220	127

Latest period
2005 – October	107	135	126	258	582	444	202	129

¹ Soybeans (US, No.2 yellow, c.i.f. Rotterdam).

² Soybean oil (Dutch, fob ex-mill).

³ Palm oil (Crude, c.i.f. North West Europe).

⁴ Soybean cake (Pellets, 44/45%, Argentina, c.i.f. Rotterdam).

⁵ Rapeseed meal (34%, Hamburg, f.o.b. ex-mill).

Note: The FAO indices are calculated using the Laspeyres formula; the weights used are the average export values of each commodity for the 1990-92 period. The indices are based on the international prices of five selected seeds, ten selected oils and fats and seven selected cakes and meals.

Sources: FAO and Oil World.

TABLE A10. Wheat and maize futures prices ( US$/tonne)

	December		March		May		July
	this year	last year	this year	last year	this year	last year	this year	last year
Wheat
October 25	120	116	125	120	128	122	131	122
November 1	116	113	122	117	125	119	128	120
November 8	115	113	118	118	124	120	127	123
November 15	113	113	119	116	122	119	125	121
November 22	109	111	115	115	118	117	122	120
November 29	110	105	116	110	120	113	123	115
Maize
October 25	79	81	84	85	87	88	90	90
November 1	77	79	83	83	86	86	89	89
November 8	77	78	83	83	86	96	89	88
November 15	77	80	83	84	86	87	89	90
November 22	75	78	81	82	84	85	87	88
November 29	73	76	79	81	82	84	86	87

Source: Chicago Board of Trade.

TABLE A11. Ocean freight rates for wheat (US$/tonne)

	From US Gulf ports to:
Period	EU¹	CIS Black Sea^{1 2}	Egypt¹	Bangladesh¹
Annual (July/June)
2001/2002	11.00	40.97	15.00	18.50
2002/2003	12.50	40.97	16.67	22.50
2003/2004	28.27	41.89	36.96	48.50
2004/2005	34.50	41.18	46.50	65.42
Monthly
2004 – November	39.00	45.00	53.00	62.00
2005 – May	32.00	39.00	43.00	70.00
2005 – June	29.00	37.00	40.00	60.00
2005 – July	23.00	33.00	36.00	50.00
2005 – August	21.00	31.00	30.00	43.00
2005 – September	21.00	33.00	32.00	47.00
2005 – October	24.00	35.00	35.00	49.00
2005 – November	23.00	35.00	35.00	49.00

¹ Size of vessels: EU over 40 000 tonnes; CIS 20 000-40 000 tonnes; Egypt over 30 000 tonnes; Bangladesh over 40 000 tonnes.

² Excludes CIS and the United States flag vessels.

Note: Estimated mid-month rates based on current chartering practices for vessels ready to load three to four weeks ahead.

Source: International Grains Council.

TABLE A12. Selected international commodity prices

	Currency and Unit	Effective Date	Latest Quotation	1 month ago	1 year ago	Average 2000-2004
Sugar (I.S.A. daily price)	US cents per lb	28.11.05	11.95	11.28	8.43	7.59
Coffee (I.C.O. daily price)	US cents per lb	18.11.05	84.39	85.93	70.85	54.32
Cocoa (I.C.C.O. daily price)	US cents per lb	18.11.05	66.83	65.83	74.94	64.03
Tea (FAO Tea Composite Price)	US$ per kg	31.10.05	1.68	1.66	1.77	1.60
Cotton (COTLOOK, index “A” 1-3/32")	US cents per lb	11.11.05	56.80	59.40	49.40	55.68
Jute “BWD” f.o.b. Mongla at sight	US$ per Ton	25.11.05	380	380	350	279.13
Wool (64's, London)	Pence per kg	11.11.05	393	403	400	422

TABLE A13. Fertilizer spot price ranges (bulk f.o.b., US$/tonne)

	October 2005	November 2005 ¹	November 2004	Change from last year ² (percentage)
Urea
Baltic	222 - 228	230 - 239	203 - 209	9.2
Persian Gulf	243 - 249	248 - 252	249 - 254	-2.2
Ammonium Sulphate
eastern Europe	81 - 85	78 - 79	90 - 95	-10.3
Diammonium Phosphate
North Africa	263 - 267	264 - 268	250 - 256	4.7
US Gulf	266 - 267	265 - 266	235 - 237	12.9
Triple Superphosphate
North Africa	186 - 189	186 - 191	184 - 190	0.3
US Gulf	201 - 201	201 - 201	198 - 199	1.3
Muriate of Potash
Baltic	155 - 178	155 - 178	130 - 151	18.5
Vancouver	148 - 190	148 - 190	130 - 155	18.6

¹Up till 10 November 2005.

² From mid-point of given ranges.

Source: Compiled from Fertilizer Week and Fertilizer Market Bulletin.


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Statistical appendix

TABLE A1. World cereal production (million tonnes)

TABLE A1 (cont.)

TABLE A2. World imports of cereals (million tonnes)

TABLE A2 (cont.)

TABLE A3. World exports of cereals (million tonnes)

TABLE A3. (cont.)

TABLE A4. Cereal supply and utilization in main exporting countries (million tonnes)

TABLE A5. World cereal stocks1(million tonnes)

TABLE A6. Selected export prices of cereals and soybeans (US$/tonne)

TABLE A7. Wheat and maize price indices

TABLE A8. Price indices and selected export prices for rice

TABLE A9. Price indices and selected international prices for oilcrop products

TABLE A10. Wheat and maize futures prices ( US$/tonne)

TABLE A11. Ocean freight rates for wheat (US$/tonne)

TABLE A12. Selected international commodity prices

TABLE A13. Fertilizer spot price ranges (bulk f.o.b., US$/tonne)

TABLE A5. World cereal stocks¹(million tonnes)