FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3 - December 2005 p.15
Aggregate 2005/06 cereal production is provisionally estimated at a record 4 million tonnes, an increase of 40 percent over the drought and desert locust-affected crop of 2004. This, in addition to favourable crop prospects in neighbouring countries should result in moderate price increase and improved access to food in 2005/06. Per caput cereal consumption which dropped to about 209 kg in 2004/05 is expected to recover significantly this commercial year.
CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2005/06 MARKETING YEAR (November/October) | ||||
Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
[ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 73 | 2 829 | 2 902 |
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 90 | 2 902 | 2 992 |
Previous year imports | 45 | 322 | 12 | 379 |
Previous five years average imports | 55 | 210 | 15 | 280 |
2005/06 Domestic Availability | - | 72 | 3 956 | 4 028 |
2005 Production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 108 | 3 956 | 4 065 |
2005 Production (incl. milled rice) | - | 72 | 3 956 | 4 028 |
Possible stock drawdown | - | - | - | - |
2005/06 Utilization | 45 | 262 | 3 962 | 4 269 |
Food use | 44 | 251 | 2 765 | 3 061 |
Non-food use | 1 | 10 | 622 | 633 |
Exports or re-exports | - | - | 200 | 201 |
Possible stock build up | - | - | 375 | 375 |
2005/06 Import Requirement | 45 | 190 | 6 | 241 |
Anticipated commercial imports | 45 | 178 | 6 | 229 |
of which: received or contracted | - | - | - | - |
Food aid needs | - | 12 | - | 12 |
Current Aid Position | ||||
Food aid pledges | - | 12 | - | 12 |
of which: delivered | - | - | - | - |
Donor-financed purchases | - | - | - | - |
of which: for local use | - | - | - | - |
for export | - | - | - | - |
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 3 | 18 | 195 | 215 |
Indexes | [ | percentage | ] | |
2005 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice) | - | 121 | 136 | 136 |
2005/06 Import requirement compared to average | 82 | 91 | 41 | 86 |
Cereal share of total calorie intake | 75 | |||
Additional Information | ||||
Major foodcrops | millet; sorghum; pulses; maize | |||
Lean season | July-September | |||
Population (000s) | 14 212 | |||
GNI per capita in 2004 (US$) | 360 |