TABLE 13
Summary of Effects: Harbinson Proposal Scenario
with no SSP/SPP or LDC exemptions
| |
WELFARE ($US million) |
OTHER |
||||||||
|
Producer surplus |
Consumer surplus |
Tariff revenue |
Change in subsidy payments |
Net welfare effect |
Change in Overall Consumer Prices |
Change in Overall Export Prices |
Change in Output |
Change in Imports |
Change in Exports |
|
|
A |
B |
C |
D |
E=A+B+C+D |
percent |
percent |
percent |
percent |
percent |
|
|
Bangladesh |
0 |
-19 |
0 |
0 |
-19 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-3% |
|
|
Cambodia |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-8% |
-8% |
|
China |
0 |
-65 |
0 |
0 |
-64 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-7% |
10% |
|
Taiwan Prov. of China |
-6 |
277 |
-4 |
0 |
268 |
-36% |
-39% |
-10% |
65% |
193% |
|
India |
3 |
-91 |
0 |
0 |
-87 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
6% |
|
Indonesia |
0 |
-11 |
0 |
0 |
-11 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-3% |
|
|
Iran, Islamic Rep. of |
0 |
-4 |
0 |
0 |
-4 |
1% |
1% |
0% |
-1% |
|
|
Japan |
-2 |
715 |
-464 |
0 |
249 |
-18% |
-3% |
-1% |
22% |
-10% |
|
Korea Rep. of |
2 |
191 |
-182 |
0 |
11 |
-8% |
2% |
0% |
13% |
-28% |
|
Malaysia |
0 |
-2 |
0 |
0 |
-2 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-1% |
|
|
Myanmar |
0 |
-9 |
0 |
0 |
-9 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
10% |
|
Pakistan |
1 |
-3 |
0 |
0 |
-2 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
1% |
|
Philippines |
0 |
48 |
5 |
0 |
53 |
-2% |
-2% |
-1% |
3% |
|
|
Saudi Arabia |
0 |
-1 |
0 |
0 |
-1 |
1% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Thailand |
18 |
-33 |
0 |
0 |
-15 |
1% |
0% |
0% |
|
2% |
|
Viet Nam |
-2 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
-1% |
|
Other Asia |
0 |
58 |
-4 |
0 |
54 |
-2% |
-2% |
0% |
-2% |
|
|
Egypt |
-3 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
-1% |
-1% |
0% |
|
-5% |
|
Other N. Africa |
0 |
21 |
-18 |
0 |
3 |
-19% |
-33% |
-8% |
2% |
|
|
Côte d'Ivoire |
0 |
-3 |
-3 |
0 |
-6 |
1% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
|
|
Nigeria |
0 |
245 |
-165 |
0 |
80 |
-17% |
-20% |
-2% |
26% |
|
|
Senegal |
0 |
-2 |
0 |
0 |
-2 |
1% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
|
|
South Africa |
0 |
-2 |
0 |
0 |
-2 |
1% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Other Sub-Saharan. Africa |
0 |
6 |
-2 |
0 |
4 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-1% |
|
|
Mexico |
0 |
-7 |
0 |
0 |
-7 |
4% |
5% |
3% |
0% |
|
|
Cuba |
0 |
-2 |
-4 |
0 |
-6 |
1% |
1% |
2% |
-1% |
|
|
Argentina |
1 |
-3 |
0 |
0 |
-2 |
1% |
0% |
1% |
-7% |
-7% |
|
Brazil |
0 |
-20 |
0 |
0 |
-20 |
1% |
1% |
0% |
-5% |
25% |
|
Colombia |
0 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-2% |
|
|
Guyana |
-1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
-2% |
-2% |
-1% |
|
-4% |
|
Uruguay |
5 |
-3 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2% |
0% |
0% |
|
3% |
|
Other Lat. Amer. & Caribb. |
0 |
53 |
-21 |
0 |
31 |
-3% |
-3% |
-1% |
14% |
37% |
|
United States |
28 |
-64 |
-1 |
7 |
-31 |
3% |
-1% |
3% |
7% |
17% |
|
Other N. America |
0 |
-2 |
0 |
0 |
-2 |
3% |
0% |
0% |
2% |
|
|
EU(25) |
-14 |
233 |
-2 |
0 |
216 |
-20% |
-18% |
-12% |
46% |
8% |
|
Other Europe |
0 |
0 |
-5 |
0 |
-4 |
0% |
-1% |
2% |
2% |
|
|
Australia |
1 |
-5 |
0 |
0 |
-4 |
4% |
-5% |
3% |
9% |
38% |
|
Other Oceania |
6 |
-1 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
1% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
2% |
|
Russian Federation |
0 |
3 |
-1 |
0 |
2 |
-1% |
-1% |
-1% |
1% |
|
|
Other CIS |
0 |
-3 |
-11 |
0 |
-14 |
1% |
-1% |
1% |
-8% |
|
|
Global |
37 |
1524 |
-881 |
7 |
687.1 |
-3.05% |
0.37% |
-0.48% |
3.94% |
3.94% |
TABLE 14
Summary of Effects: Harbinson Proposal Scenario
with SSP/SPP and LDC Exemptions
| |
WELFARE ($US million) |
OTHER |
||||||||
|
Producer surplus |
Consumer surplus |
Tariff revenue |
Change in subsidy payments |
Net welfare effect |
Change in Overall Consumer Prices |
Change in Overall Export Prices |
Change in Output |
Change in Imports |
Change in Exports |
|
|
A |
B |
C |
D |
E=A+B+C+D |
percent |
percent |
percent |
percent |
percent |
|
|
Bangladesh |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Cambodia |
0 |
-1 |
0 |
0 |
-1 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-1% |
0% |
|
China |
0 |
-18 |
0 |
0 |
-18 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-1% |
3% |
|
Taiwan Prov. of China |
0 |
-3 |
-2 |
0 |
-4 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-1% |
-3% |
|
India |
0 |
-1 |
0 |
0 |
-1 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
0% |
|
Indonesia |
0 |
-4 |
0 |
0 |
-4 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-1% |
|
|
Iran, Islamic Rep. of |
0 |
-1 |
0 |
0 |
-1 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Japan |
0 |
-4 |
0 |
0 |
-5 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
|
Korea Rep. of |
0 |
-2 |
1 |
0 |
-1 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
|
Malaysia |
0 |
-1 |
0 |
0 |
-1 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Myanmar |
0 |
-1 |
0 |
0 |
-1 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
1% |
|
Pakistan |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
0% |
|
Philippines |
0 |
-6 |
-1 |
0 |
-6 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Saudi Arabia |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Thailand |
4 |
-8 |
0 |
0 |
-4 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
1% |
|
Viet Nam |
1 |
-5 |
0 |
0 |
-4 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
0% |
|
Other Asia |
0 |
-4 |
0 |
0 |
-4 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Egypt |
-1 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0% |
-1% |
0% |
|
-1% |
|
Other N. Africa |
0 |
20 |
-17 |
0 |
3 |
-18% |
-32% |
-7% |
5% |
|
|
Côte d'Ivoire |
0 |
0 |
-3 |
0 |
-4 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Nigeria |
0 |
-2 |
0 |
0 |
-1 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Senegal |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
South Africa |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Other Sub-Saharan. Africa |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Mexico |
0 |
-1 |
0 |
0 |
-1 |
0% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Cuba |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Argentina |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
Brazil |
0 |
-1 |
0 |
0 |
-1 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
|
Colombia |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-1% |
|
|
Guyana |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
1% |
|
Uruguay |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
0% |
|
Other Lat. Amer. & Caribb. |
0 |
-3 |
0 |
0 |
-4 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-1% |
0% |
|
United States |
1 |
-8 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
|
Other N. America |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
EU(25) |
-2 |
26 |
-13 |
20 |
30 |
-2% |
-1% |
-2% |
-12% |
-89% |
|
Other Europe |
0 |
-3 |
-4 |
0 |
-7 |
2% |
4% |
3% |
-3% |
|
|
Australia |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-1% |
0% |
|
Other Oceania |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
Russian Federation |
0 |
3 |
-1 |
0 |
2 |
-1% |
-2% |
-1% |
1% |
|
|
Other CIS |
0 |
-9 |
-11 |
0 |
-20 |
3% |
-2% |
1% |
-6% |
|
|
Global |
5 |
-36 |
-51 |
27 |
-55.5 |
-0.03% |
0.10% |
0.08% |
-0.53% |
-0.53% |
TABLE 15
Summary of Effects: Harbinson Proposal Scenario
with LDC exempted and concessions on SSP/SPP
| |
WELFARE ($US million) |
OTHER |
||||||||
|
Producer surplus |
Consumer surplus |
Tariff revenue |
Change in subsidy payments |
Net welfare effect |
Change in Overall Consumer Prices |
Change in Overall Export Prices |
Change in Output |
Change in Imports |
Change in Exports |
|
|
A |
B |
C |
D |
E=A+B+C+D |
percent |
percent |
percent |
percent |
percent |
|
|
Bangladesh |
0 |
-9 |
0 |
0 |
-9 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-1% |
|
|
Cambodia |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-5% |
-5% |
|
China |
0 |
-38 |
0 |
0 |
-38 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-4% |
6% |
|
Taiwan Prov. of China |
-3 |
131 |
14 |
0 |
142 |
-17% |
-19% |
-5% |
31% |
130% |
|
India |
2 |
-44 |
0 |
0 |
-42 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
3% |
|
Indonesia |
0 |
-6 |
0 |
0 |
-7 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-2% |
|
|
Iran, Islamic Rep. of |
0 |
-2 |
0 |
0 |
-2 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-1% |
|
|
Japan |
-1 |
344 |
-181 |
0 |
162 |
-9% |
-2% |
0% |
10% |
-5% |
|
Korea Rep. of |
0 |
111 |
-113 |
0 |
-1 |
-5% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-4% |
|
Malaysia |
0 |
-1 |
0 |
0 |
-1 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Myanmar |
0 |
-4 |
0 |
0 |
-4 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
5% |
|
Pakistan |
0 |
-1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
0% |
|
Philippines |
0 |
22 |
4 |
0 |
25 |
-1% |
-1% |
0% |
1% |
|
|
Saudi Arabia |
0 |
-1 |
0 |
0 |
-1 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Thailand |
10 |
-19 |
0 |
0 |
-9 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
1% |
|
Viet Nam |
-1 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
0% |
|
Other Asia |
0 |
33 |
-1 |
0 |
32 |
-1% |
-1% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Egypt |
-2 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
-1% |
-1% |
0% |
|
-3% |
|
Other N. Africa |
0 |
21 |
-17 |
0 |
3 |
-18% |
-33% |
-7% |
4% |
|
|
Côte d'Ivoire |
0 |
-2 |
-3 |
0 |
-5 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Nigeria |
0 |
119 |
-80 |
0 |
40 |
-8% |
-10% |
-1% |
13% |
|
|
Senegal |
0 |
-1 |
0 |
0 |
-1 |
0% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
South Africa |
0 |
-1 |
0 |
0 |
-1 |
0% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Other Sub-Saharan. Africa |
0 |
4 |
-1 |
0 |
3 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
Mexico |
0 |
-4 |
0 |
0 |
-4 |
2% |
3% |
2% |
0% |
|
|
Cuba |
0 |
-1 |
-2 |
0 |
-3 |
0% |
0% |
1% |
0% |
|
|
Argentina |
0 |
-2 |
0 |
0 |
-1 |
1% |
0% |
0% |
-3% |
-3% |
|
Brazil |
0 |
-10 |
0 |
0 |
-10 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-3% |
13% |
|
Colombia |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
-2% |
|
|
Guyana |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
-1% |
-1% |
0% |
|
-2% |
|
Uruguay |
2 |
-2 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1% |
0% |
0% |
|
1% |
|
Other Lat. Amer. & Caribb. |
0 |
25 |
-10 |
0 |
15 |
-2% |
-2% |
-1% |
6% |
18% |
|
United States |
14 |
-35 |
0 |
7 |
-14 |
1% |
0% |
1% |
4% |
9% |
|
Other N. America |
0 |
-1 |
0 |
0 |
-1 |
1% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
|
|
EU(25) |
-8 |
127 |
16 |
8 |
144 |
-11% |
-9% |
-7% |
17% |
-36% |
|
Other Europe |
0 |
-1 |
-4 |
0 |
-5 |
1% |
2% |
2% |
1% |
|
|
Australia |
1 |
-3 |
0 |
0 |
-2 |
2% |
-2% |
1% |
4% |
18% |
|
Other Oceania |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
1% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
|
Russian Federation |
0 |
3 |
-1 |
0 |
2 |
-1% |
-1% |
-1% |
1% |
|
|
Other CIS |
0 |
-6 |
-11 |
0 |
-17 |
2% |
-2% |
1% |
-6% |
|
|
Global |
17 |
763 |
-390 |
16 |
404.8 |
-1.43% |
0.23% |
-0.25% |
1.80% |
1.80% |
