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Appendix B
Crop-wise estimates of rainfed arable land and production potential in Kenya -
assumption set A

The calculation procedures outlined in Chapter 3 have been performed for all crop types, pastures and fuelwood species in all agro-ecological cells of Kenya, altogether more than 90000 land units. As a result, we determine the extent and quality of arable land and production potential of each crop type in all locations. The information is then aggregated to district level, province level and national total. The results are also aggregated over crop types to indicate production potential of crop species, i.e. arable land and production potential for maize rather than nine individual maize types considered in the study.

Three sets of results are presented in this report, in Appendix B to D. The first set, Assumption Set A included here, refers to single crop suitability and production potential on all lands that are not indicated as forest zone, game park, or belong to an irrigation scheme.

Six suitability classes have been defined relating average single-crop suitability in a cell to maximum attainable yield. The classes C1 to C5 relate to average attainable yields of >80 %, 60–80%, 40–60%, 20–40%, and 5–20% compared to maximum agro-climatic yields. Note that extents in suitability class C5 are usually not considered among the viable crop options, but have been included here to indicate the scope of production in very marginal areas. A sixth suitability class accounts for areas that are entirely unsuitable or allow only for less than 5 percent of maximum yield. Data for this non-suitable class are not explicitly included in the result tables.

Production potential is calculated from land extents in suitability classes C1 to C4 only. Average, minimum and maximum production potential and yields are determined according to the LGP-Pattern and associated probabilities. The columns are labeled AVG, MIN and MAX, respectively. Multiple land use in time, sequential multi-cropping, is indicated by means of a multi-cropping index (MCI). Note, however, that MCI is always equals one in Set A due to the very nature of the assumptions underlying this set (single crop suitability assessment).

Each table shows an estimate of arable land by productivity class. The algorithm used to determine rainfed arable extents in an agro-ecological cell comprises of a two stage procedure. In a first step, the crop that performs best under worst climatic (according to LGP-Pattern) conditions is determined. Then all crops which meet the production stability constraint, i.e. fall within a tolerable neighborhood of the best performing crop, are considered in the final selection. Finally, among all qualifying crops, the crop type that maximizes the weighted sum of extents in land suitability classes C1 to C4 is selected as describing the cell's arable land potential.

The estimates of arable land have been grouped according to four broad climatic zones: the arid zone, areas inventoried with mean total dominant length of growing periods less than 120 days, the semi-arid zones comprising of areas with LGPs of 120 to 179 days, the sub-humid zone referring to LGPs in the range of 180 to 270 days, and a humid zone where growing periods exceed 270 days. For information, the sum total of all land resources inventory records processed is included in the table. Total arable land is then expressed as percentage of total zone area as a relative measure of quality of land.

NATIONAL TOTAL: KENYA (Assumption Set A)Page: C001

Arable Land by Productivity Classes (100 ha):

NRZONEC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Total
C1–C5
Total ExtentC1–C4
% of Zone
1ARID028716856479845116231246824233212.0
2SEMIARID9932327698880091831814146324646753627.1
3SUBHUMID3412463256495337190304809238393753850.7
4HUMID3543777264527246250135167301804642753.9
 TOTAL7948150182077527071708124035311116557482312.3

Potential Crop Production:

  Land by Productivity Class (100 ha)Class C1–C4Class C1–C4
NRCROPC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Production (1000 mt)Yields (kg/ha) 
MINAVGMAXMINAVGMAXMCI
1BARLEYY390259846009143483024316004209542546229693140720601.00
2MAIZEE375552711012320413395633962546398518120221173215330391.00
3CATS110934758568103642351719351124627364099530116317431.00
4MILLET1528401094382079335769314221883297134475268319641.00
5RICE13371615718463108831882296213761756884126516131.00
6SORGH334561308522207553875245419270253197509697137319381.00
7WHEAT226651754699126202475917359151336985931611149423961.00
8COWPEAA67464730188440127791327750987611763996859201.00
9GRAM17316253287699312078336493997409893306138191.00
10GRNDNT67272329108777130811280082314251965630109015021.00
11BEANS42625819700012193292741671113732483356446984812181.00
12PIGPEA205411623748908616050889585516682235533104013921.00
13SOYBEANANN5981040256986541286113624500940131738973110241.00
14CASSAVAVAA8842285308773851364117312127801427014862936910461108951.00
15SW.POT896128021916427107951367047257838102124377726194601.00
16WH.POT183242027115991723065180969341198553074240508608133281.00
17BANANA01496355109589250033957426350476715723485651.00
18OIL PALM02471419514609315967601114313111.00
19SUGCANEE75593202464719163118672147023973249912343026162272731.00
20COFFEE19033571309472171578411290       
21COTTON531851102391152514828       
22PINEAPP117463206920664716144       
23PYRETH1689595877199186245523337       
24SISAL5352051501093631695819501       
25TEA1646627973768571238717161       
26FUELW1397426315227863792390997506693628340185420503987441646211.00
27FUELW280402160819881246397416761648694807485677619936810093104651.00
28GRASS12138187151317834039780701647813811342737444224882547456901.00

PROVINCE TOTAL: (1) Central Province (Assumption Set A)Page: P001

Arable Land by Productivity Classes (100 ha):

NRZONEC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Total
C1–C5
Total ExtentC1–C4
% of Zone
1ARID0000000110.
2SEMIARID341583302434310744126734.3
3SUBHUMID583152670668635014953997544864.3
4HUMID16S152365343127753003075650042.7
 TOTAL7853064144314186711110678161322650.7

Potential Crop Production:

  Land by Productivity Class (100 ha)Class C1–C4Class C1–C4
NRCROPC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Production (1000 mt)Yields (kg/ha) 
MINAVGMAXMINAVGMAXMCI
1BARLEYY662275311371623617583948910261358792166222001.00
2MAIZE2861332169610134326754544116714211258269732851.00
3OATS9811992933104552751599306695941581131717831.00
4MILLET02128886711763707188946007487981.00
5RICE00531361238344888101210531.00
6SORGH4131436121510504114644314756921762183822381.00
7WHEAT158262910521211505016683088871234609175624441.00
8COWPEAA001223364588971429343036267361.00
9GRAM00716717411934782173934521.00
10GRNDNT0012943556478328536250494810991.00
11BEANS4212408154513685742118324353668742493311961.00
12PIGPEA1309811019382277788621802212717909721.00
13SOYBEANANN001294335627931738452986798091.00
14CASSAVAVAA01352666451045287991498810148743945997021.00
15SW.POT013010038861823611713744422766605271581.00
16WH.POT2271840151215335112154119174705639237499205125041.00
17BANANA000150150297576774995503151551.00
19SUGCANEE001516217720762423914401367722058248521.00
20COFFEE289180731120101612       
21COTTON0002332331       
23PYRETH601391105720994607722       
24SISAL012686230412922985       
25TEA123154514017193789644       
26FUELW11235518159484080752834792489149325934605761081.00
27FUELW289642231882944794433696769948100631217912522126671.00
28GRASS2530296810721338790811275570579258677043732474201.00

PROVINCE TOTAL: (2) Central Province (Assumption Set A)Page: P002

Arable Land by Productivity Classes (100 ha):

NRZONEC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Total
C1–C5
Total ExtentC1–C4
% of Zone
1ARID010411781589287144627333660674.3
2SEMIARID109882221718995107424993571379137.0
3SUBHUMID36309869139026047163319438559.4
4HUMID0105183312454672.0
 TOTAL145130542694897106159439200548428912.6

Potential Crop Production

  Land by Productivity Class (100 ha)Class C1–C4Class C1–C4
NRCROPC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Production (1000 mt)Yields (kg/ha) 
MINAVGMAXMINAVGMAXMCI
1BARLEYY519171381799512182168499011961.00
2MAIZEE2439810763811531010107286626967539117918211.00
3OATS014112853176367590110413411.00
4MILLET4081990381251081131977845411024121947890410771.00
5RICE6108751367155669678314421053592513491.00
6SORGH99528187155958093848432568896940285011971.00
7MEAT023156310213561114591112114181.00
8COWPEAA72107822863386336181012223532615749141.00
9GRAM7251819963786637364701623805472545978581.00
10GRNDNTT726398134014653321821242968245692314661.00
11BEANS432751172282511015204496388711.00
12PIGPEA01273499584118414406923369211751.00
13SOYBEANANN2034290333874652299512128747226161610151.00
14CASSAVAVAA152265921199203223591341184820176600909099241.00
15SW.POT062338858125849723866310571893527384031.00
16WH.POT0182157961513868843979706787091.00
19SUGCANEE0003131652227297713523612317611.00
20COFFEE035586648       
21COTTON002115817955       
23PYRETH077102380       
24SISAL0427757241235961957       
25TEA0019-618036       
26FUELW1323472877703610292132561923 32611869274831681.00
27FUELW222757326746218668145853371492956453889568765121.00
28GRASS0243141865608221331072109288731742565351238611.00

PROVINCE TOTAL: (3) Eastern Province (Assumption Set A)Page: P003

Arable Land by Productivity Classes (100 ha):

NRZONEC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Total
C1–C5
Total ExtentC1–C4
% of Zone
1ARID001523632378550978871191692.0
2SEMIARID2376253454501993367720170562616335.7
3SUBHUMID675808752907314333634785263597
4HUMID656341153251176701246291940.3
 TOTAL156817754375831416032136342966715351510.4

Potential Crop Production:

  Land by Productivity Class (100 ha)Class C1–C4Class C1–C4
NRCROPC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Production (1000 mt)Yields (kg/ha) 
MINAVGMAXMINAVGMAXMCI
1BARLEY57237010491130312110083494595291117147016941.00
2MAIZEE102010268832173510118016780110613351528216926171.00
3OATS14339050074217752270159213247896120013921.00
4MILLET71210424084101271596511119888119413105567488201.00
5RICE27413395311623931107139177921119415201.00
6SORGH118612291606191759381971464091910921078154818391.00
7WHEAT248306272706153221151622483101054161720261.00
8COWPEA3491786511916309622461572352825077609091.00
9GRAM4468672611072564173871251802124887048271.00
10GRNDNT349184678195131632559259390469818123514821.00
11BEANS68773955416083589164621630838260386010641.00
12PIGPEA7032744777762230436166289345744129715461.00
13SOYBEANAN40528657719183187230717127033053684910351.00
14CASSAVA3524717301135268829483195334934271188412459127501.00
15SWPOT495309558463182577712311820208967439971114441.00
16WHPOT208379501653174224538971419184651538147106001.00
17BANAN05528155237591582052306644866396881.00
18OILPAL024541732510193236758127814521.00
19SUGCA72160107666100513172588313133432575331157332691.00
20COFFEE165388174523124987       
21COTTO4881359556104447       
22PINEAP243127212918       
23PYRETH235129600766173       
24SISAL2745691422201242772218       
25TEA236390152544132267       
26FUELW153270367151552024991113555959724177722385289831101.00
27FUELW25492078356293171550619245988110917113316372704073081.00
28GRASS1346121214531020614217390675258593262053698417343641.00

PROVINCE TOTAL: (4) Nairobi Area (Assumption Set A)Page: P004

Arable Land by Productivity Classes (100 ha):

NRZONEC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Total
C1–C5
Total ExtentC1–C4
% of Zone
2SEMIARID003313426604168.2
3SUBHUMID421131167289524527.6
 TOTAL421136121025415566115.4

Potential Crop Production:

  Land by Productivity Class (100 ha)Class C1–C4Class C1–C4
NRCROPC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Production (1000 mt)Yields (kg/ha) 
MINAVGMAXMINAVGMAXMCI
1BARLEYY42113813104361221241191202423131.00
2MAIZE005511661051620780242229701.00
3OATS0423020924781315849145516641.00
4MILLET000131310112904114511.00
6SORGH005512671041214543171821091.00
7WHEAT0421138914571417721156418581.00
8COWPEAA0000010000000.
9GRAM00000140000000.
11BEANS042032743537844188710441.00
12PIGPEA00000530000000.
13SOYBEANANN0000010000000.
14CASSAVAVAA00000570000000.
15SW.POT00000420000000.
16WH.POT00421860362341473838683778361.00
23PYRETH000424212       
24SISAL0000061       
26FUELW10434354140467676775398544354591.00
27FUELW207234411967131132132110351105110631.00
28GRASS043402711032265656559036591159141.00

PROVINCE TOTAL: (5) North-Eastern (Assumption Set A)Page: P005

Arable Land by Productivity Classes (100 ha):

NRZONEC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Total
C1–C5
Total ExtentC1–C4
% of Zone
1ARID0511888431082214732281274110.8
2SEMIARID001492336598327.7
 TOTAL0512028521105218232871274940.9

Potential Crop Production:

  Land by Productivity Class (100 ha)Class C1–C4Class C1–C4
NRCROPC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Production (1000 mt)Yields (kg/ha) 
MINAVGMAXMINAVGMAXMCI
2MAIZEE00011211215441313131156119512071.00
4MILLET0512021544071550384243937102510621.00
5RICE000979724636666586586581.00
6SORGH00519369879266364646436466471.00
8COWPEAA0001071079204444134134131.00
9GRAM005111216311919995545665701.00
10GRNDNTT0001581581441111116686686681.00
13SOYBEANANN0001071079205554544544541.00
26FUELW1006510391104467496139193874125617461.00
27FUELW2000202202573357851262832422262381.00
28GRASS0003063063981955831101786270236111.00

PROVINCE TOTAL: (6) Nyanza Province (Assumption Set A)Page: P006

Arable Land by Productivity Classes (100 ha):

NRZONEC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Total
C1–C5
Total ExtentC1–C4
% of Zone
1ARID00022571412.8
2SEMIARID054951793293737021207273
3SUBHUMI882144381051179257223643516510
4HUMID70419711453127654057526157766970.5
 TOTAL7932240198725097528170192301240660.7

Potential Crap Production:

  Land by Productivity Class (100 ha)Class C1–C4Class C1–C4
NRCROPC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Production (1000 mt)Yields (kg/ha) 
MINAVGMAXMINAVGMAXMCI
1BARLEYY10040229122783072371693316458302102914911.00
2MAIZEE355974184737946970123459313322144850191130761.00
3OATS55652833592451212798135296106214651.00
4MILLET95231275175223532731801902343418099941.00
5RICE35151409225828521992242351479847123116801.00
6SORGH30878815292791541732512357271165435134321501.00
7MEAT8135417810681682422670202398414120423651.00
8COWPEA75118332193924641986801572113256388561.00
9GRAM010911048470331212442573385998171.00
10GRNDNT6612327914891957208291203290467103614801.00
11BEANS153726112922364244279912030250328371111861.00
12PIGPEA2005961011156033671878147368509437109215131.00
13SOYBEANAN74112155153818792758521281832756819731.00
14CASSAVAVA131463647121724582691224026142736911310633111301.00
15SWPOT401708791113220227118191656222137217523100901.00
16WHPOT742582553129003649246864146927359596163261.00
17BANAN030421145819089291383151418977248793699421.00
18OILPAL0044548105356687103411671.00
19SUGCA12049111934305121087208810985372362326576279811.00
20COFFEE575444384268440871332       
21COTTO027214174319841533       
22PINEAPP28265712346135117       
23PYRETH8752587066532493169       
24SISAL462701172202335112884       
25TEA4591185775174741661239       
26FUELW1112624472968195284938684819496850695674584959681.00
27FUELW217932466203319378230985991710254105121205012460127731.00
28GRASS1960254524002274917919275145579359685605631165021.00

PROVINCE TOTAL: (7) Rift Valley Province (Assumption Set A)Page: P007

Arable Land by Productivity Classes (100 ha):

NRZONEC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Total
C1–C5
Total ExtentC1–C4
% of Zone
1ARID013230316832118410962271106481.9
2SEMIARID61375110926003055142644812459412.4
3SUBHUMID198717602761112076282565101931818042.0
4HUMID168322832565319497253580133052112546.0
 TOTAL428349256721659722526116793420617454712.9

Potential Crop Production:

  Land by Productivity Class (100 ha)Class C1–C4Class C1–C4
NRCROPC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Production (1000 mt)Yields (kg/ha) 
MINAVGMAXMINAVGMAXMCI
1BARLEYY2520242732887486157226829107622493487685143122181.00
2MAIZEE20691334352865011343362001958348048371458259036011.00
3OATS86317734422716114220775870916222569499114118061.00
4MILLET31267577026984455527026342753858995912071.00
5RICE524163397517011837134234325787137819101.00
6SORGH133921461823535410662955097217592430912165022791.00
7WHEAT177718213009795114558726889421633585614148624631.00
8COWPEAA2421391050834226591713119724657786910871.00
9GRAM57311397126820332061741191513635847441.00
10GRNDNTT24915383096822001216203306395924138917971.00
11BEANS29951779331046291271380976961158167654791113181.00
12PIGPEA9501051788185847011921313548699666116614881.00
13SOYBEANANN992997941038223195012719925857189111571.00
14CASSAVAVAA286508482160628813406277929833105964410354107761.00
15SW.POT3605392291923305035881582230427835187755391251.00
16WH.POT13221706464059511361984165848118041885342948667138431.00
17BANANA0022126112838987648089815957630076511.00
18OIL PALM002131132271131668100012331.00
19SUGCANEE21421541337163429873158370739361932722684240891.00
20COFFEE9691030851132141726967       
21COTTON6764278251333309       
22PINEAPP11929161892810       
23PYRETH744407654234149143921905       
24SISAL215557568132526665193       
25TEA723235340453063101844036       
26FUELW124531110375921021531364201011487416283169674742519254101.00
27FUELW2437081848113630126967206892810130195313411042011197116221.00
28GRASS5567803253251204030964490181548317586183895000567959391.00

PROVINCE TOTAL: (8) Western Province (Assumption Set A)Page: P008

Arable Land by Productivity Classes (100 ha):

NRZONEC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Total
C1–C5
Total ExtentC1–C4
% of Zone
2SEMIARID0000066150.6
3SUBHUMID131201712959739250258.6
4HUMID33116441622230158984536351816872.2
 TOTAL33216471742247261935576750868571.3

Potential Crop Production:

  Land by Productivity Class (100 ha)Class C1–C4Class C1–C4
NRCROPC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Production (1000 mt)Yields (kg/ha) 
MINAVGMAXMINAVGMAXMCI
1BARLEYY001901680187034816316535133788218771.00
2MAIZEE220710382998. 4244175946077812851083183230261.00
3OATS00143103411772379338818528375215681.00
4MILLET0067481259725921664911411.00
5RICE38341317278334793953874985551113143215961.00
6SORGH12371309934742841148394854426113524601.00
7WHEAT101621582174519036717337238699221321.00
8COWPEAA018144452626942232464266088761.00
9GRAM001686922121342053856441.00
10GRNDNTT0012374386279819335749186214661.00
11BEANS2923882202268326998415728931358710761.00
12PIGPEA707728924552891263415424439153184213521.00
13SOYBEANANN00102322432901713232785549611.00
14CASSAVAVAA10048237015842536297223122488256291179812101051.00
15SW.POT17188168318423693684102116193716554287931.00
16WH.POT00143139315371849371954205124126210133461.00
17BANANA0641642086231430881577165918616814716980421.00
18OIL PALM00127183477889930102510931.00
19SUGCANEE0878372341326627268252856486372527026225264481.00
20COFFEE193814872232041991244       
21COTTON00813964782884       
22PINEAPP6414910651030230899       
23PYRETH81903981633 275       
24SISAL0101229128616174203       
25TEA105806983243643291139       
26FUELW1187415393112666537863745375937815728575057841.00
27FUELW2410382810211272653178347839784701277912856129681.00
28GRASS73536711471128871653934429460046436182642064791.00

DISTRICT TOTAL: (101) KiambuCentral ProvincePage: D001

Arable Land by Productivity Classes (100 ha):

NRZONEC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Total
C1–C5
Total ExtentC1–C4
% of Zone
1ARID0000000110.
2SEMIARID334413811615326957820.0
3SUBHUMID22929617262759125884110968.4
4HUMID533521138526052686960.5
 TOTAL31565132610914012781679256754.6

Potential Crop Production:

  Land by Productivity Class (100 ha)Class C1–C4Class C1–C4
NRCROPC1
> 80
C2
60–80
C3
40–60
C4
20–40
Total
C1–C4
C5
5–20
Production (1000 mt)Yields (kg/ha) 
MINAVGMAXMINAVGMAXMCI
1BARLEYY287640352621341235110262324819195624171.00
2MAIZEE802902233162417559200251946321440181.00
3OATS2645675856129520572191240558147818511.00
4MILLET00463671113443805315891.00
5RICE00044500O1706111512521.00
6SORGH802902237166414137144182553217127431.00
7WHEAT81672348192129315566240312509185624141.00
8COWPEAA00088700013314546181.00
9GRAM00000960000000.
10GRNDNTT000886401154074010071.00
11BEANS11049142623312592814512215535996912351.00
12PIGPEA0079331410174628361366878831.00
13SOYBEANANN00088700013514846671.00
14CASSAVAVAA040991035744859634654572060831.00
15SW.POT000797948782530994313438471.00
16WH.POT1094635501571280924411231156734499618122461.00
17BANANA0002727261313134995499549951.00
19SUGCANEE000004100000000.
20COFFEE01772360413404       
23PYRETH0339210563177       
24SISAL002091111702       
25TEA533314333485132       
26FUELW12119220016515591539479719806074623162861.00
27FUELW2114110314416815291891919198720111254812995131471.00
28GRASS47771412716614835401128117311887602790580071.00

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