No.5  October 2007  
   Crop Prospects and Food Situation

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Highlights

COUNTRIES IN CRISIS REQUIRING EXTERNAL ASSISTANCE

Food Emergencies Update

Global cereal supply and demand brief

Low-Income Food-Deficit Countries food situation overview

Regional reviews

Statistical Appendix

Note

COUNTRIES IN CRISIS REQUIRING
EXTERNAL ASSISTANCE1
(total: 36 countries)

AFRICA (21 countries)

Exceptional shortfall in aggregate food production/supplies

 

Lesotho

Multiple year droughts, HIV/AIDS impact

Somalia

Conflict and drought

Swaziland

Multiple year droughts, HIV/AIDS impact

Zimbabwe

Deepening economic crisis, drought

Widespread lack of access

 

Eritrea

IDPs, returnees, high food prices

Ethiopia

Low incomes, high food prices, insecurity in parts

Liberia

Post-conflict recovery period, IDPs

Mauritania

Multiple year droughts, floods in parts

Sierra Leone

Post-conflict recovery period, refugees

Severe localized food insecurity

 

Burundi

Civil strife, IDPs, returnees and recent dry spells

Central African Republic

Civil strife, IDPs

Chad

Refugees, insecurity

Congo, Democratic Republic of

Civil strife, IDPs and refugees

Congo, Republic of

IDPs, refugees

Côte d'Ivoire

Civil strife, IDPs

Ghana

Floods

Guinea

IDPs, refugees, high food prices

Guinea-Bissau

Localized insecurity, marketing problems

Kenya

Drought in parts

Sudan

Civil strife, returnees

Uganda

Civil strife, IDPs

ASIA (9 countries)

Exceptional shortfall in aggregate food production/supplies

 

Iraq

Conflict and insecurity, IDPs

Widespread lack of access

 

Afghanistan

Conflict, IDPs and returnees, floods

Indonesia

Earthquakes

Korea, Dem. People's Rep. of

Economic constraints, floods

Nepal

Market access and effects of conflict and floods

Severe localized food insecurity

 

Bangladesh

Floods

Pakistan

After effects of the Kashmir earthquake, floods

Sri Lanka

After effects of the Tsunami, deepening conflicts and floods

Timor-Leste

IDPs and drought/floods

LATIN AMERICA (4 countries)

Exceptional shortfall in aggregate food production/supplies

 

Dominica

Hurricane

Jamaica

Hurricane

St. Lucia

Hurricane

Severe localized food insecurity

 

Nicaragua

Hurricane

EUROPE (2 countries)

Exceptional shortfall in aggregate food production/supplies

 

Moldova

Drought and lack of access to inputs for winter cropping

Severe localized food insecurity

 

Russian Federation (Chechnya)

Civil conflict



COUNTRIES WITH UNFAVOURABLE PROSPECTS
FOR CURRENT CROPS2
(total: 3 countries)

AFRICA
Cape VerdeDrought
GhanaFloods
SomaliaConflict, drought in parts

TERMINOLOGY

1 Countries in crisis requiring external assistance are expected to lack the resources to deal with reported critical problems of food insecurity. Food crises are nearly always due to a combination of factors, but for the purpose of response planning, it is important to establish whether the nature of food crises is predominantly related to lack of food availability, limited access to food, or severe but localized problems. Accordingly, the list of countries requiring external assistance is organized into three broad, not mutually exclusive, categories:

    Countries facing an exceptional shortfall in aggregate food production/supplies as a result of crop failure, natural disasters, interruption of imports, disruption of distribution, excessive post-harvest losses, or other supply bottlenecks.

    Countries with widespread lack of access, where a majority of the population is considered to be unable to procure food from local markets, due to very low incomes, exceptionally high food prices, or the inability to circulate within the country.

    Countries with severe localized food insecurity due to the influx of refugees, a concentration of internally displaced persons, or areas with combinations of crop failure and deep poverty.

2 Countries facing unfavourable prospects for current crops are countries prospects point to a shortfall in production of current crops as a result of a reduction of the area planted and/or adverse weather conditions, plant pests, diseases and other calamities which indicate a need for close monitoring of the crops for the remainder of the growing season.

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