No.4  October 2008  
   Crop Prospects and Food Situation

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Highlights

Countries in crisis requiring external assistance (total: 36 countries)

Food Emergencies Update

Global cereal supply and demand brief

FAO global cereal supply and demand indicators

Regional reviews

Statistical appendix

Note

COUNTRIES IN CRISIS REQUIRING EXTERNAL ASSISTANCE1 (total: 36 countries)

Nature of Food Insecurity

Main Reasons

Changes from last report

(July 2008)

AFRICA (21 countries)

Exceptional shortfall in aggregate food production/supplies

   

Lesotho

Low productivity, HIV/AIDS pandemic

Somalia

Conflict, economic crisis

Swaziland

Low productivity, HIV/AIDS pandemic

Zimbabwe

Deepening economic crisis, adverse weather

Widespread lack of access

   

Eritrea

IDPs, economic constraints

Liberia

War related damage

Mauritania

Several years of drought

Sierra Leone

War related damage

Severe localized food insecurity

   

Burundi

Civil strife, IDPs and returnees

Central African Republic

Refugees, insecurity in parts

Chad

Refugees, conflict

Congo, Democratic Republic of

Civil strife, returnees

Congo, Republic of

IDPs

Côte d'Ivoire

Conflict related damage

Ethiopia

Insecurity in parts, localized crop failure

Ghana

After-effects of drought and floods

Guinea

Refugees, conflict

Guinea-Bissau

Localized insecurity

Kenya

Civil strife, adverse weather, pests

Sudan

Civil strife (Darfur), insecurity (southern Sudan), localized crop failure

Uganda

Localized crop failure

ASIA (12 countries)

Exceptional shortfall in aggregate food production/supplies

   

Iraq

Conflict and insufficient rainfall

Widespread lack of access

   

Afghanistan

Conflict and insecurity, inadequate rainfall

Korea, Dem. People's Rep. of

Economic constraints and effects of past floods

Myanmar

Cyclone

Severe localized food insecurity

   

Bangladesh

Floods and cyclone

China

Earthquake in southwestern China

Nepal

Poor market access and drought/floods

Iran, Islamic Rep. of

Past drought

Philippines

Typhoons

Sri Lanka

Conflict

Tajikistan

Winter crop damage, poor market access, locusts

Timor-Leste

IDPs, high food prices

 

LATIN AMERICA (3 countries)

Severe localized food insecurity

   

Bolivia

Past floods

Cuba

Hurricane

 

Haiti

Hurricane

 

COUNTRIES WITH UNFAVOURABLE PROSPECTS FOR CURRENT CROPS 2

AFRICA
Ethiopia Insufficient rainfall in parts  
Kenya Insufficient rainfall, crop diseases  
Somalia Adverse weather, conflicts  
ASIA
Afghanistan Adverse weather, limited supplies and high food prices  
Iraq Generalized insufficient rainfall  
Jordan Insufficient rainfall  
Syrian Arab Rep. Insufficient rainfall  
Tajikistan Adverse weather  
Turkmenistan Adverse weather  
LATIN AMERICA
Argentina Insufficienjt rainfall  
Haiti Adverse weather  

   No change   Improving    Deteriorating

TERMINOLOGY

1 Countries in crisis requiring external assistance are expected to lack the resources to deal with reported critical problems of food insecurity. Food crises are nearly always due to a combination of factors but for the purpose of response planning, it is important to establish whether the nature of food crises is predominantly related to lack of food availability, limited access to food, or severe but localized problems. Accordingly, the list of countries requiring external assistance is organized into three broad, not mutually exclusive, categories:

    Countries facing an exceptional shortfall in aggregate food production/supplies as a result of crop failure, natural disasters, interruption of imports, disruption of distribution, excessive post-harvest losses, or other supply bottlenecks.

    Countries with widespread lack of access, where a majority of the population is considered to be unable to procure food from local markets, due to very low incomes, exceptionally high food prices, or the inability to circulate within the country.

    Countries with severe localized food insecurity due to the influx of refugees, a concentration of internally displaced persons, or areas with combinations of crop failure and deep poverty.

2 Countries facing unfavourable prospects for current crops are countries where prospects point to a shortfall in production of current crops as a result of a reduction of the area planted and/or adverse weather conditions, plant pests, diseases and other calamities which indicate a need for close monitoring of the crops for the remainder of the growing season.

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