No.5  December 2008  
   Crop Prospects and Food Situation

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Highlights

Countries in crisis requiring external assistance (total: 33 countries)

Food Emergencies Update

Global cereal supply and demand brief

National food price review

FAO global cereal supply and demand indicators

Low-Income Food-Deficit Countries’ food situation overview

Policy measures taken by governments to reduce the impact of soaring prices

Regional reviews

Statistical appendix

Note

COUNTRIES IN CRISIS REQUIRING EXTERNAL ASSISTANCE1 (total: 33 countries)

Nature of Food Insecurity

Main Reasons

Changes from last report

(October 2008)

AFRICA (20 countries)

Exceptional shortfall in aggregate food production/supplies

   

Lesotho

Low productivity, HIV/AIDS pandemic

 

Somalia

Conflict, economic crisis

 

Swaziland

Low productivity, HIV/AIDS pandemic

 

Zimbabwe

Deepening economic crisis, adverse weather

 

Widespread lack of access

   

Eritrea

IDPs, economic constraints

 

Liberia

War related damage

 

Mauritania

Several years of drought

 

Sierra Leone

War related damage

 

Severe localized food insecurity

   

Burundi

Civil strife, IDPs and returnees

 

Central African Republic

Refugees, insecurity in parts

 

Chad

Refugees, conflict

 

Democratic Republic of Congo

Civil strife, returnees

 

Republic of Congo

IDPs

 

Côte d'Ivoire

Conflict related damage

 

Ethiopia

Insecurity in parts, localized crop failure

 

Guinea

Refugees, conflict

 

Guinea-Bissau

Localized insecurity

 

Kenya

Civil strife, adverse weather, pests

 

Sudan

Civil strife (Darfur), insecurity (southern Sudan), localized crop failure

 

Uganda

Localized crop failure

 

ASIA (10 countries)

Exceptional shortfall in aggregate food production/supplies

   

Iraq

Conflict and insufficient rainfall

 

Widespread lack of access

   

Afghanistan

Conflict and insecurity, inadequate rainfall

 

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Economic constraints and effects of past floods

 

Myanmar

Cyclone/rodent damage

 

Severe localized food insecurity

   

Bangladesh

Floods and cyclone

 

Nepal

Poor market access and drought/floods

 

Iran, Islamic Rep. of

Past drought

 

Sri Lanka

Conflict/floods

 

Tajikistan

Winter crop damage, poor market access, locusts

 

Timor-Leste

IDPs

 

LATIN AMERICA (3 countries)

Severe localized food insecurity

   

Cuba

Floods

 

Haiti

Floods

 

Honduras

Floods

 

COUNTRIES WITH UNFAVOURABLE PROSPECTS FOR CURRENT CROPS 2

AFRICA
Ethiopia Insufficient rainfall in parts  
Tunisia Insufficient rainfall  
ASIA
Afghanistan Adverse weather, limited supplies and high food prices  
Tajikistan Adverse weather  
Turkmenistan Adverse weather  
LATIN AMERICA
Argentina Insufficient rainfall  
Cuba Ādverse weather  
Haiti Adverse weather  
   No change    Improving    Deteriorating

TERMINOLOGY

1 Countries in crisis requiring external assistance are expected to lack the resources to deal with reported critical problems of food insecurity. Food crises are nearly always due to a combination of factors but for the purpose of response planning, it is important to establish whether the nature of food crises is predominantly related to lack of food availability, limited access to food, or severe but localized problems. Accordingly, the list of countries requiring external assistance is organized into three broad, not mutually exclusive, categories:

    Countries facing an exceptional shortfall in aggregate food production/supplies as a result of crop failure, natural disasters, interruption of imports, disruption of distribution, excessive post-harvest losses, or other supply bottlenecks.

    Countries with widespread lack of access, where a majority of the population is considered to be unable to procure food from local markets, due to very low incomes, exceptionally high food prices, or the inability to circulate within the country.

    Countries with severe localized food insecurity due to the influx of refugees, a concentration of internally displaced persons, or areas with combinations of crop failure and deep poverty.

2 Countries facing unfavourable prospects for current crops are countries where prospects point to a shortfall in production of current crops as a result of a reduction of the area planted and/or adverse weather conditions, plant pests, diseases and other calamities which indicate a need for close monitoring of the crops for the remainder of the growing season.

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