FAO FISHERIES AND AQUACULTURE TECHNICAL PAPER No. 521
Prospective analysis of
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© FAO 2010
|Hishamunda, N., Poulain, F. & Neil Ridler
Prospective analysis of aquaculture development.
FAO Fisheries and AquacultureTechnical Paper; No. 521. Rome, FAO. 2009. 104p.
In order to evaluate the major impediments to aquaculture development in different
regions of the world and to indicate opportunities for expansion, a Delphi analysis was
undertaken. The Delphi method is particularly useful for sectors such as aquaculture
where discontinuities exist and where historic trends cannot be easily extrapolated
into the future. The recent global expansion of aquaculture is unlikely to continue
at the same pace; however, certain regions have underexploited resources and offer
considerable potential. The Delphi method allowed experts in different regions to
indicate where the potential and constraints are; they were also encouraged to offer
their policy solutions.
Preparation of this document (Download 233 Kb)
1. Background and summary
2. Method (Download 57Kb)
2.1 The Delphi method
2.2 Application of the Delphi method in this study
2.3 Response rate
3. Overall results (Download 61 Kb)
3.1 Should aquaculture be encouraged and why?
3.2 What factors have contributed to the positive development of aquaculture in the past ?
3.3 What factors affected aquaculture development negatively in the past – will they become more determinant over time ?
3.4 What are the “unexplored opportunities ” that would have a very large positive impact in regions?
4. Common constraints and
strategies (Download 61 Kb)
4.1 Lack of (good) policies
4.3 Feed constraints and policies
4.4 Seed constraints and policies
4.5 Perceptions of and opposition to aquaculture
5. Results by regions (Download 115 Kb)
5.2 Asia and the Pacific
5.3 Latin America
5.4 North America
5.5 Eastern Europe
5.6 Western Europe
6. Conclusions (Download 49 Kb)
7. Appendixes (Download 86 Kb - Download 78 Kb - Download 61 Kb - Download 78 Kb - Download 623 Kb)
Appendix 1 Africa
Appendix 2 Asia and the Pacific
Appendix 3 Latin America
Appendix 4 North America
Appendix 5 Eastern Europe
Appendix 6 Western Europe