W
hile population still continues to grow rapidly in Sub-Sahara
Africa, the expansion of cultivation
area has slowed down considerably due to the increasing scarcity
of uncultivated land. Since the yield
of food grain per unit of land has remained largely unchanged
in this region, food production per
capita has declined and if the current trend continues, food
shortages are likely to arise in near future.
Food production per capita also tended to decline in tropical
Asia in the 1950s and early 1960s. The
pessimistic prospect for future food-population balance in
Asia then was not too different from the
current situation in Sub-Sahara Africa, even though social
infrastructures, including irrigation facilities
and roads, were better developed in the former than in the
latter.
Subsequently, rice and wheat yields in Asia
began to grow dramatically due to the development
and adoption of fertilizer-responsive, high-yielding modern
rice and wheat varieties, which is heralded
as the Green Revolution. Owing to sustained improvements
of grain yields in subsequent decades, the
grain production in tropical Asia more than doubled and
the per capita food production significantly
increased over the last few decades. This Asia-Africa comparison
raises an important question:
Whether it is possible to transfer the Green Revolution
(GR) that lifted Asia out of massive food
shortages to Africa? Answer to this question is vital because
recently, the executive director of the World
Food Program, James Morris, made a statement to the UN Security
Council on April 8, 2003 that 40 million Africans, most of
them women and children, were in danger of starvation.