ANNEX: CEREALS PRODUCTION AND NET TRADE, DATA AND PROJECTIONS BY COMMODITY (million tonnes)

 

Production

Net trade

Data used in this study

Revised data

Data used in this study

Revised data

1969 /71 1979 /81 1988/ 90 1988/ 90 1991 1992 2010 1969 / 71 1979 / 81 1988 / 90 1988 / 90 1991 1992* 2010
World
Wheat 327.7 442.7 550.3 544.0 546.9 563.8 712 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.9 5.4    
Rice milled 206.8 264.2 341.4 339.9 345.4 351.0 482 0.0 -0.3 0.7 1.0 1.0    
Maize 283.6 422.3 451.6 449.1 487.9 528.0 698 0.5 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.9    
Other coarse grains 311.0 327.5 353.9 345.9 325.2 342.0 442 0.1 1.5 0.7 1.0 0.5    
Total cereals 1129.1 1456.6 1697.5 1678.9 1705.3 1784.8 2334 2.1 2.6 2.6 4.0 7.8    
All developing countries
Wheat 96.5 156.9 224.9 224.7 241.7 244.2 348 -25.4 -48.8 -59.7 -59.0 -57.2 -55.6 -94
Rice milled 191.1 247.3 324.3 323.0 329.2 333.2 461 -1.2 -2.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 -2
Maize 102.6 150.1 197.0 194.8 209.3 219.3 358 5.9 -11.5 -18.1 -18.1 -11.1 -14.3 -40
Other coarse grains 92.2 98.1 100.9 102.4 95.7 105.2 151 0.3 -4.7 -12.1 -11.8 -11.6 -14.5 -26
Total cereals 482.4 652.3 847.4 844.9 875.9 901.9 1318 -20.4 -66.8 -90.0 -88.8 -79.5 -83.9 -162
Developed countries
Wheat 231.2 285.8 325.5 319.3 305.2 319.7 364 27.0 50.3 60.9 60.9 62.6   94
Rice milled 15.7 16.9 17.1 16.9 16.1 17.8 21 1.2 1.6 0.8 0.9 0.7   2
Maize 181.0 272.2 254.6 254.3 278.6 308.6 340 -5.4 11.4 18.1 18.3 12.0   40
Other coarse grains 218.8 229.4 253.0 243.5 229.6 236.8 291 -0.3 6.2 12.8 12.8 12.1   26
Total cereals 646.7 804.3 850.2 834.1 829.5 882.9 1016 22.5 69.4 92.6 92.9 87.3   162
93 Developing countries
Wheat 96.3 156.6 224.2 224.0 241.2 243.7 347 -24.0 -47.0 -57.5 -57.0 -55.1 53.5 -92
Rice milled 189.0 245.1 322.8 321.4 327.6 331.6 459 -0.4 -1.0 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.6 - 1
Maize 102.5 149.9 196.6 194.4 208.9 218.9 357 6.8 -8.0 -12.8 -13.0 -5.2 -8.4 -31
Other coarse grains 92.1 97.9 100.6 102.1 95.4 105.0 151 0.7 -3.4 -11.3 -11.1 -11.1 -13.9 -24
Total cereals 479.9 649.6 844.5 841.9 873.1 899.2 1314 -16.8 -59.4 -80.4 -80.0 -70.1 -74.2 -148
Sub-Saharan Africa
Wheat 1.2 1.4 1.9 1.9 2.3 2.2 5 -1.6 -3.7 -4.3 -4.2 -5.3 -5.1 -10
Rice milled 3.1 4.0 5.7 6.1 6.6 6.5 13 -0.6 -2.3 -2.4 -2.4 -2.9 -3.1 -6
Maize 11.8 13.8 20.6 20.2 18.9 15.9 41 0.0 -1.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -2
Other coarse grains 20.3 21.6 26.0 26.8 27.8 27.8 51 -0.4 -0.5 -0.6 -0.4 -0.7 -0.9 - I
Total cereals 36.5 40.8 54.3 55.1 55.6 52.5 109 -2.5 -7.8 -7.7 -7.4 -9.3 -13.1 -19
Near East/North Africa
Wheat 25.1 34.1 42.9 43.0 51.9 49.4 67 -6.1 -15.8 -23.5 -23.1 -17.4 -14.7 -37
Rice milled 3.0 3.2 3.6 3.5 4.4 4.8 6 0.2 -1.3 -1.8 -1.9 -1.6 -2.7 -5
Maize 4.6 5.6 7.7 7.8 8.8 8.6 15 -0.2 -3.3 -6.0 -6.0 -5.4 -5.8 -13
Other coarse grains 13.1 15.0 19.0 19.1 21.4 19.7 31 -0.2 -2.5 -6.6 -6.7 -6.2 -6.3 -16
Total cereals 45.8 57.9 73.1 73.4 86.4 82.5 119 -6.3 -22.9 -37.9 -37.8 -30.6 -29.4 -71
East Asia
Wheat 30.0 59.5 92.1 91.8 96.2 101.9 143 -8.0 -17.3 -21.8 -21.7 -24.0 -20.2 -23
Rice milled 117.7 158.2 203.4 202.4 206.0 211.1 276 0.8 1.7 5.5 5.6 5.4 7.1 12
Maize 41.6 75.6 105.3 103.4 117.1 115.2 198 1.3 -2.9 -3.0 -3.2 1.6 1.2 -10
Other coarse grains 26.8 22.9 17.6 18.0 15.2 15.9 18 -0.1 -0.2 -0.6 -0.6 -0.9 -1.0 - 1
Total cereals 216.1 316.2 418.7 415.6 434.5 444.0 635 -6.0 -18.8 -19.9 -19.9 -17.9 -12.9 -22
South Asia
Wheat 28.0 46.6 65.6 65.6 71.5 71.6 104 -4.4 -3.1 -5.0 -4.9 -2.5 -7.1 -10
Rice milled 57.8 69.4 97.8 97.1 99.0 97.2 144 -0.9 1.3 0.4 0.3 1.6 1.6 0
Maize 7.6 8.1 11.4 11.3 10.4 13.0 16 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 0
Other coarse grains 22.4 23.4 24.9 24.9 19.1 27.9 28 -0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
Total cereals 115.7 147.5 199.7 199.0 200.1 209.6 292 -5.5 -1.7 -4.8 -4.8 -1.0 -5.5 -10
Latin America and Caribbean
Wheat 12.0 15.1 21.7 21.7 19.2 18.6 29 -3.9 -7.1 -2.9 -3.0 -5.9 -6.4 - 11
Rice milled 7.3 10.3 12.3 12.3 11.5 12.1 20 0.0 -0.4 -0.5 -0.5 -1.4 -1.3 -2
Maize 36.9 46.8 51.5 51.6 53.8 66.2 87 5.8 -0.4 -3.3 -3.2 -0.9 0.2 -6
Other coarse grains 9.7 15.0 13.2 13.2 11.9 13.7 24 1.6 -0.2 -3.4 -3.4 -3.3 -5.8 -6
Total cereals 65.9 87.2 98.6 98.8 96.5 110.6 159 3.5 -8.1 -10.1 -10.0 -11.5 -13.3 -25
Developed countries
Ex-CPEs
Wheat 112.1 113.1 130.5 124.5 103.8 112.7 140 2.9 -14.9 -16.0 -16.1 -18.8   4
Rice milled 1.0 1.8 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.3 3 -0.5 - 1. 1 -0.6 -0.6 -0.6   - 1
Maize 25.1 30.2 29.6 29.6 32.1 21.2 40 0.0 -17.5 -15.5 -15.6 -13.3   2
Other coarse grains 85.8 92.9 122.6 114.0 102.3 112.4 123 0.0 -6.8 -4.2 -4.1 -5.8   0
Total cereals 224.0 237.9 284.6 269.7 239.6 247.5 306 2.4 -40.3 -36.4 -36.4 -38.4   5
Eastern Europe
Wheat 19.3 23.2 35.0 35.2 31.8 22.8   -2.4 -2.6 -0.3 -0.3 0.5 -0.7  
Rice milled 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0   -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2  
Maize 15.1 21.1 15.8 15.8 22.3 14.1   0.3 -4.6 -1.2 -1.3 -0.5 1.9  
Other coase grains 20.6 23.9 29.6 29.6 30.1 22.5   -0.7 -1.7 -0.4 -0.3 -0.3 0.7  
Total cereals 55.1 68.3 80.5 80.7 84.4 59.4   -3.0 -9.2 -2.2 -2.1 -0.5 1.6  
Former USSR
Wheat 92.8 89.9 95.5 89.3 72.0 89.8   5.3 -12.3 -15.7 -15.7 -19.3    
Rice milled 0.8 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.3 1.3   -0.3 -0.9 -0.4 -0.5 -0.4    
Maize 10.0 9.1 13.7 13.7 9.8 7.1   -0.3 -12.9 -14.3 -14.3 -12.8    
Other coarse grains 65.3 69.0 93.1 84.4 72.2 89.9   0.8 -5.1 -3.8 -3.8 -5.5    
Total cereals 168.9 169.6 204.0 189.0 155.3 188.1   5.4 -31.1 -34.2 -34.2 -38.0    
Western Europe, North America, Oceania
Wheat 116.8 170.0 191.4 191.2 198.3 204.7 217 29.1 71.3 82.5 82.4 88.4   95
Rice milled 3.9 6.2 6.7 6.6 6.7 7.7 10 1.3 2.4 1.7 1.9 1.7   4
Maize 149.1 230.7 215.6 215.5 238.3 284.4 286 -0.7 38.7 48.7 48.7 41.9   55
Other coarse grains 131.6 135.1 129.1 128.3 126.3 123.8 166 5.1 20.3 24.7 24.7 25.8   35
Total cereals 401.5 542.1 542.8 541.6 569.6 620.5 679 34.7 132.6 157.6 157.6 157.8   189
Western Europe
Wheat 53.5 68.6 92.6 92.6 101.5 92.2   -6.0 5.9 18.9 18.8 21.4    
Rice milled 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5   -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.6 -0.6    
Maize 23.6 32.1 36.0 36.2 40.6 38.3   -14.2 -20.2 -2.7 -2.7 -3.2    
Other coarse grains 65.4 76.7 76.4 76.3 75.4 62.4   -3.4 3.3 8.8 8.8 11.5    
Total cereals 143.6 178.5 206.4 206.5 219.1 194.4   -23.8 -11.4 24.4 24.3 29.2    
EC-12
Wheat 46.1 61.1 92.1 82.0 90.9 84.9   -5.1 7.1 18.0 17.9 20.1 22.5  
Rice milled 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.4   -0.1 -0.2 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 -0.1  
Maize 15.4 20.9 26.2 26.4 27.3 29.7   -13.8 -19.4 -2.2 -2.3 -3.1 -0.5  
Other coarse grains 55.4 65.1 64.7 64.7 63.6 53.8   -2.6 3.8 8.8 8.8 9.7 13.1  
Total cereals 118.0 148.2 174.3 174.5 183.2 169.9   -21.5 -8.7 24.1 24.1 26.5 35.0  
Other Western Europe
Wheat 7.5 7.5 10.5 10.6 10.6 7.2   -0.9 -1.2 0.9 0.9 1.3    
Rice milled 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1   -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2    
Maize 8.1 11.2 9.8 9.8 13.4 8.6   -0.4 -0.8 -0.4 -0.4 -0.1    
Other coarse grains 10.0 11.6 11.7 11.7 11.8 8.6   -0.8 -0.6 0.0 0.0 1.7    
Total cereals 25.6 30.3 32.0 32.0 35.8 24.5   -2.2 -2.7 0.3 0.2 2.7    
North America
Wheat 53.9 86.7 84.2 84.0 85.9 96.8   27.7 54.6 52.3 52.3 55.1 57.3  
Rice milled 2.6 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.8 5.4   1.4 2.5 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.8  
Maize 125.3 198.3 179.3 178.9 197.3 245.7   13.4 58.8 51.3 51.3 45.1 42.7  
Other coarse grains 61.4 52.3 45.3 44.5 43.3 52.0   7.0 13.5 12.9 12.9 11.0 12.0  
Total cereals 243.3 341.9 313.5 312.2 331.2 399.9   49.6 129.4 118.7 118.6 113.1 113.7  
Oceania
Wheat 9.4 14.8 14.6 14.6 10.9 15.7   7.4 10.8 11.3 11.3 11.8 8.0  
Rice milled 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.8   0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5  
Maize 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4   0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
Other coarse grains 4.8 6.1 7.4 7.5 7.6 9.4   1.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.4 2.9  
Total cereals 14.6 21.7 22.9 22.9 19.4 26.2   9.0 14.6 14.5 14.6 15.6 11.4  
Other developed countries
Wheat 2.2 2.7 3.6 3.7 3.1 2.3 7 -5.0 -6.1 -5.6 -5.5 -7.0 -7.0 -5
Rice milled 10.9 8.9 8.6 8.6 8.0 8.8 8 0.4 0.4 -0.4 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4 -1
Maize 6.8 11.3 9.4 9.3 8.2 3.1 14 -4.7 -9.8 -15.0 -14.8 -16.7 -19.9 -17
Other coarse grains 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.7 2 -5.3 -7.3 -7.7 -7,7 -7.9 -8.2 -9
Total cereals 21.2 24.3 22.8 22.7 20.2 14.9 31 -14.6 -22.8 -28.6 -28.4 -32.0 -35.5 -32

*1992 trade data are not available in the same specification as for the other years (i.e. imports and exports of all cereal products converted into grain equivalent) for the countries of the former USSR and former Yugoslavia because no 1992 supply-utilization accounts could be constructed for them.
Production and net trade projections not made separately for the country groups with blanks in the 2010 column.
The revised data include the revisions for the former USSR indicated in Table 3.17.