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Early Warning Bulletin

The Quarterly Early Warning Bulletin integrates information on threats to the food chain and food security for the three months ahead.

It is the result of a collaboration between the Emergency Prevention System (EMPRES) for transboundary animal and plant pests and diseases and food safety threats, the Global Information and Early Warning System (GIEWS) and the Food Chain Crisis Management Framework (FCC). Data is provided by GIEWS and EMPRES.

October 2017 - December 2017


Twenty-eight plant and forest pests and diseases and animal diseases were forecasted for the period October to December 2017. A total of 207 forecasts were conducted in 103 countries.

According to the forecasts, the following pests and diseases will be representing a high or moderate risk to the food chain for the period October to December 2017: African swine fever, Avian influenza, Foot-and-mouth disease, and Lumpy skin disease for Animal diseases including zoonosis; Bark beetles, Blue gum chalcid, Boxwood blight, Bronze bug, Dry cone syndrome, Pine processionary moth and Red gum lerp psyllid for Forest pests and diseases; Desert Locust and Red Locust for Locusts; Banana bunchy top disease, Banana fusarium wilt disease, Cassava brown streak and mosaic diseases, Fall armyworm and Tomato leaf miner for Plant pests and diseases. No forecast was carried out on aquatic diseases for this period.