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Country Briefs


Reference Date: 26-May-2017


  1. Cereal production in 2017 forecast close to good 2016 level

  2. Cereal imports expected to increase in 2017/18 marketing year (July/June)

  3. Prices of wheat flour decreased in April

Cereal production in 2017 forecast close to good 2016 level

The 2017 winter cereals (wheat and minor barley crop) are currently entering maturity, while spring cereals (barley, maize and minor wheat crops) are now being sown. The total area planted is officially forecast close to the previous year.

Throughout the season, the level of precipitation has been sufficient to provide adequate soil moisture in most of the areas. Only Shirak Region in the northwest and Gegharkunik Region in the centre show crop areas moderately affected by drought conditions (see Agricultural Stress Index map). Shirak and Gegharkunik regions both account for about 40 percent of the total wheat production and 50 percent of barley crop production.

At this stage, FAO’s early forecast for cereal production in 2017 is set at 567 000 tonnes, about 3 percent less than 2016.

Cereal imports in 2017/18 expected close to previous year’s level

Cereal imports in the 2017/18 marketing year (July/June) are forecast at 290 000 tonnes, close to the previous year’s level. Wheat imports, which account for the majority of total cereal purchases, are forecast at 260 000 tonnes. The Russian Federation continues to be the main wheat and flour supplier.

Prices of wheat flour decreased in April

Prices of wheat flour declined in April and were around 4 percent below their values of a year ago, mainly reflecting relatively low export prices and a stable national currency. Prices of bread were almost 10 percent below their year-earlier values.

By contrast, prices of potatoes, another key staple, rose in April by 12 percent and were 4 percent above their April 2016 levels, reflecting worries over conditions of the recently-planted potatoes, which have been negatively affected by cold weather.