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Country Briefs


Reference Date: 20-December-2016


  1. Wheat production in 2016 increased from last year’s record

  2. Cereal imports expected to increase in 2016/17 marketing year (July/June)

  3. Prices of wheat flour decreased in November

Cereal production in 2016 increased from last year’s record

FAO’s latest estimates for cereal production in 2016 point to 4 percent increase compared to the already high level in 2015. Wheat production is set to increase by 7 percent to 410 million tonnes following better yields and increased area planted.

Planting of winter cereals for harvest in 2017 is complete. Recent remote sensing data shows that rainfall in Shirak Province, the main wheat producer, has been above average and similar to the levels of last year from October to mid‑December.

Cereal imports expected to rebound in 2016/17 after low level of last year

Cereal imports in the 2016/17 marketing year (July/June), essentially wheat and wheat flour, are forecast to increase to 350 000 tonnes. Wheat imports have been reduced in 2015/16 after the country replenished its stocks in 2014/15, profiting from the weak Rouble in the Russian Federation, the main wheat supplier.

Prices of wheat flour decreased in November

Prices of wheat flour declined in November, mainly reflecting ample supplies of the 2016 wheat and were 8 percent below their exceptionally high levels a year ago. Prices of bread remained unchanged over the past three months, but were around 5 percent down compared to their values in December 2015. Prices of potatoes, another key staple, rose in November, but remained 23 percent below their year‑earlier levels, reflecting a big production in 2016.