GIEWS Country Briefs

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Reference Date: 13-November-2014

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  1. 2014 cereal production to remain high despite reduction in barley harvest

  2. Cereal imports forecast to increase in 2014/15 marketing year (July/June) from last year’s low level

  3. Prices of wheat flour products and bread generally stable in October, while those of potatoes increase considerably

2014 cereal production to remain high despite reduction in barley harvest

Harvesting of 2014 cereal crops (mainly wheat and barley) was completed in October. FAO’s latest estimates put this year’s wheat production at a record level of 340 000 tonnes, 13 percent up from last year’s bumper level. This mainly reflects an increase in yields of 11 percent as a result of favourable weather conditions during the cropping season, as well as Government support measures, such as the provision of subsidized credit, fuel and high quality seeds. By contrast, cold and dry conditions during the growing period, caused a sharp reduction in 2014 barley output, which is now estimated by FAO at 147 000 tonnes, some 18 percent below last year’s record level and 4 percent down from the preceding five-year average. Overall, total cereal output in 2014 stands at 516 000 tonnes, a slight increase from last year’s crop and some 26 percent above the previous five-year average. Planting of winter wheat is currently underway under favourable weather conditions. Early indications show that the area planted under wheat is to remain similar to last year’s level.

Cereal imports forecast to increase considerably in 2014/15 marketing year (July/June) from last year’s low level

The country is dependent on cereals imports, mainly from the Russian Federation, as the national production covers about 59 percent of the total cereal needs. In the 2014/15 marketing year (July/June), cereal imports, consisting of almost 90 percent of wheat, are forecast at 308 000 tonnes, some 21 percent above last year’s low level and some 5 percent below the five-year average. The increase mainly reflects strong local demand.

Prices of wheat flour and bread generally stable in October, while those of potatoes increase considerably

Prices of bread and wheat flour remained stable in October, at the same levels of the previous three months. By contrast, prices of potatoes, another key staple, increased considerably in October for the third consecutive month, more than 50 percent above their year-earlier levels.









Relevant links:
From GIEWS:
 Food Price Data and Analysis Tool
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Maps
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
 Crop and Food Security Assessment Mission (CFSAM) Reports & Special Alerts: 2000, 2000, 2000
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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