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Reference Date: 22-September-2016

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  1. Cereal output in 2016 estimated at sharply reduced level

  2. Cereal imports in 2016/17 marketing year anticipated to increase

  3. Wheat and maize prices increased in August, underpinned by low availabilities

Cereal output in 2016 estimated at sharply reduced level

Cereal production in 2016 is estimated at a sharply reduced level, as the summer and winter cereal crops were severely affected by drought conditions and high pest infestations. A preliminary estimate points to a reduction in aggregate cereal output in 2016 to 2 million tonnes, 23 percent below the previous year’s level and below the five‑year average. Losses to the agricultural sector due to the drought are estimated at USD 240 million. Planting of the 2017 summer crop will begin from the end of September, sowing levels for the season remain uncertain. According to remote sensing data, precipitation levels had improved by the beginning of September. However, high incidence of dryness still remained in the main producing province of Santa Cruz. High levels of debt is also affecting the ability of farmers to access much needed inputs such as seeds and fertilizers. The Government is seeking financial resources to provide financing, particularly to small farmers, for these inputs.

Cereal imports in 2016/17 marketing year anticipated to increase

Cereal imports in the 2016/17 marketing year (July/June) are expected to increase some 22 percent, reflecting this year’s reduced outputs and reach 581 000 tonnes. Most of the anticipated increase in imports reflects higher purchases of maize and wheat.

Wheat and maize prices increased in August, underpinned by low availabilities

Yellow maize prices increased for the third consecutive month in August and were well above their year-earlier levels, underpinned by the drought‑reduced 2016 crop.

Prices of wheat flour generally strengthened and were above their levels in August last year, underpinned by reduced market supplies following a decline in this year’s output and lower imports of wheat in the past months.











Relevant links:
From GIEWS:
 Food Price Data and Analysis Tool
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Maps
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
 Crop and Food Security Assessment Mission (CFSAM) Reports & Special Alerts: 2008, 2007
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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