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Reference Date: 29-June-2016

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  1. Early prospects for 2016 cereal production favourable

  2. Cereal imports expected to remain at high levels in 2016/17 marketing year

  3. Rice prices declined in June

  4. Improved prospects for food security following peace accord agreement and cessation of hostilities between Government and FARC

Early prospects for 2016 cereal production favourable

Planting of the 2016 main season rice and maize crops was concluded earlier in the year. Rice planting suffered from slight rainfall deficits during February and March but maize, with a longer planting window, benefitted from precipitation that arrived in late March and April. Assuming favourable weather conditions continue throughout the main season, initial forecasts point to an aggregate cereal production of close to 3.6 million tonnes in 2016, just slightly below last year’s high level and well above the country’s five‑year average. A recovery expected in sorghum output after last year’s reduced level, would only partially offset lower rice output expected due to the unfavourable planting conditions.

Cereal imports expected to remain at high levels in 2016/17 marketing year

Cereal imports in the 2016/17 marketing year (July/June) are forecast to remain relatively unchanged from last year’s level and well above the country’s five‑year average, mainly reflecting high import demand for rice and maize. Imports during the marketing year are anticipated to reach 7.5 million tonnes.

Rice prices declined in June

Rice prices declined in June for the third consecutive month from their record levels earlier this year. Ample stocks from the good 2015 harvest and the continued flow of imports have pressured prices lower.

Improved prospects for food security following peace accord agreement and cessation of hostilities between Government and FARC

The Government and the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC), a rebel group, have reached an agreement on a peace accord putting an end to 50 years of armed conflict. It is anticipated that with the immediate cessation of hostilities the rural populations directly affected by the conflict will see an improvement in their food security situation, as a more stable security environment will allow the resumption of farming activities, better functioning of markets and access to Government assistance.









Relevant links:
From GIEWS:
 Food Price Data and Analysis Tool
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Maps
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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