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Reference Date: 17-August-2016


  1. Cereal production in 2016 forecast to increase but remain below average

  2. Cereal imports in 2016/17 marketing year expected to remain relatively high

  3. Rice prices unchanged in July and at low levels, maize prices increase

Cereal production in 2016 forecast to increase but remain below average

Cereal production in 2016 is forecast at 215 000 tonnes, some 3 percent up from last year’s drought‑reduced level but still below the five‑year average. The harvest of the first main cereal season will begin towards the end of August. According to remote sensing data for the month of July, vegetation growth appears to have progressed normally through the season so far, despite lower‑than‑average levels of rainfall. Maize production is anticipated to increase by some 25 percent from last year and reach 10 000 tonnes. Rice production is forecast at 205 000 tonnes, 2 percent above last year’s level. However, at the forecasted level, rice and maize outputs would be below the five‑year average, reflecting reduced plantings for the first season, due to the late start of the rainy season. Aggregate 2016 output of both crops may yet be revised depending on prospects for the second season, plantings for which may increase reflecting a recovery in rainfall levels at the end of July and greater availability of water for irrigation.

Cereal imports in 2016/1marketing year expected to remain relatively high

Cereal imports, mainly maize and wheat, in the 2016/17 marketing year (July/June) are anticipated to remain close to the last year’s high levels, supported by strong demand from the feed industry for maize and the less‑than‑average cereal output in 2016.

Rice prices unchanged in July and at low levels, maize prices increase

Rice prices in July remained unchanged and well‑below their level a year earlier, reflecting ample availabilities from imports. By contrast, maize prices increased almost 5 percent in July and were well above their year‑earlier level reflecting tight supplies from the reduced 2015 harvests and high demand from the feed sector.

Relevant links:
 Food Price Data and Analysis Tool
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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