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Reference Date: 17-August-2016

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  1. Cereal production in 2016 forecast to increase from last year’s drought‑reduced level but remains below average

  2. Cereal imports anticipated to increase in 2016/17 marketing year reflecting continuing tight domestic availability

Cereal production in 2016 forecast to increase from last year’s drought‑reduced level

The harvest of the main cereal season will begin from late August. Prospects for this year’s crop have improved as rainfall levels recovered in June with the dissipation of the El Niño phenomena. Despite some early season dryness, as of late July, latest remote sensing data indicates that the season has progressed normally and none of the crop area was affected by drought. Cereal production in 2016 is forecast at 890 000 tonnes, 14 percent above last year’s drought-reduced level but still below the five‑year average. Rice production for 2016 is forecast at 500 000 tonnes, a 20 percent increase from last year’s reduced level but also still below the five-year average. While plantings of rice increased from 2015, they were still somewhat constrained by lower‑than‑normal precipitation and difficulties in accessing inputs during the sowing period. Maize production is forecast to increase 7 percent and reach 390 000 tonnes, above the five‑year average, as both plantings and yields are anticipated to recover from the previous year’s drought‑reduced levels.

Cereal imports anticipated to increase in 2016/17 marketing year reflecting continuing tight domestic availability

Cereal imports for the 2016/17 marketing year (July/June) are forecast to increase moderately to 2.1 million tonnes. The increase mainly reflects expected higher rice imports as a result of the lower‑than‑average harvest and high demand. Maize imports are also anticipated to increase marginally, reflecting high local demand.









Relevant links:
From GIEWS:
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Maps
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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