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Reference Date: 17-January-2013

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  1. Early prospects for the 2013 wheat crop

  2. Good 2012 cereal harvest

  3. Import of cereals to significantly decline in the 2012/13 marketing year (July/June)

  4. Wheat flour prices increased significantly in the past months

Early prospects for the 2013 wheat crop are favourable

The planting of the 2013 winter cereals, mainly wheat, was completed under favourable weather conditions and crops are currently at dormant stage. Remote sensing data indicates that soil moisture is generally adequate so far. However, the main crop maize, accounting in average for about 74 percent of the total cereal production, is not planed until spring.

Good cereal harvest in 2012

Weather conditions in 2012 were generally satisfactory. The lack of rain observed in parts of Southern Georgia resulted in lower soil moisture, although overall this has not badly impacted the cereal output. This good harvest also reflects support measures implemented by the Ministry of Agriculture.

The aggregated cereal output was estimated 7 percent higher than in the previous year and well above the five-year average.

Import of cereals to significantly decline in the 2012/13 marketing year (July/June)

The country covers some three-quarters of its domestic cereal consumption needs with imports, mainly wheat, from Kazakhstan and the Russian Federation. In light of ample reserves from the previous year high volumes of imports and the good cereal production, imports are expected to decline in marketing year 2012/13 (July/June). Despite the reduction in import volumes, the cereal import bill is expected to increase because of higher international wheat prices.

Prices of wheat flour rose sharply in late 2012

Prices of staple wheat flour increased significantly in the last three months of 2012 and in December they were 12 percent higher than at the same time a year earlier. The country imports some 90 percent of wheat to satisfy its consumption requirements. Prices of potatoes, another key food staple, in December 2012 were 24 percent lower than at the same time a year earlier and low, as a result of the good production last year.









Relevant links:
From GIEWS:
 Food Price Data and Analysis Tool
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Maps
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
 Crop and Food Security Assessment Mission (CFSAM) Reports & Special Alerts: 2000, 1999
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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